Notre 29ième Forum vient de se dérouler (8 et 9 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 222 sociétés. L’édition 2026 de ce Forum a accueilli près de 500 investisseurs, travaillant pour environ 200 institutions de 13 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 300 investors meetings. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.
Nous initions DSV à Surperformance (OC 1 930 DKK) et Kuehne + Nagel à Sous-performance (OC 155 CHF), tout en maintenant DHL Group à Neutre (OC relevé à 48 € vs 44 €). DSV offre le plus de potentiel sur le secteur du freight forward, grâce à son profil opérationnel best-in-class et l’intégration de Schenker (numéro 4 mondial). K+N devrait sous-performer en opérationnel d’où un risque de derating. DHL Group pâtit de son profil non pure-player malgré du self-help.
We initiate coverage of DSV at Outperform (target price of DKK 1,930) and Kuehne + Nagel at Underperform (target price of CHF 155), while maintaining DHL Group at Neutral (target price lifted to € 48 vs € 44). DSV offers the greatest potential in the freight forwarding sector, thanks to its best-in-class operating profile and the integration of Schenker (global no.4). K+N is expected to underperform on an operational basis, resulting in a risk of derating. DHL Group suffers from its non-pure-pla...
NEWS SUMMARY: INDRA, REPSOL, TALGO. Geopolitical turbulence The first session of the year kicked off with gains for European stock markets, underpinned by the positive performance of Asian stock exchanges and renewed confidence in artificial intelligence. In the STOXX 600, Technology and Autos led gains vs. Real Estate and Media that were the worst performers in relative terms. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s M3 rose more than expected, whereas December’s final manufacturing PMI...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDRA, REPSOL, TALGO EUROPA: AIRBUS. Turbulencias en la esfera geopolítica La primera sesión del año comenzó con ganancias para las bolsas europeas apoyadas en el buen tono de los mercados asiáticos y una mayor confianza sobre la IA. En el STOXX 600, Tecnología y Autos registraron los mayores avances, frente a Inmobiliario y Media que fueron los peores sectores en relativo. Por el lado macro, la Eurozona la M3 de noviembre avanzó más de lo esperado,...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, GRIFOLS. US GDP spurs the markets European stock markets ended the session better than they began, leaving the losses in the rearview mirror after the strong US GDP data release. In the STOXX 600, Pharma and Basic Materials were the sectors rising the most, with Travel&Leisure and Media being the worst performers. On the macro side, in Spain the final 3Q’25 GSP confirmed the preliminary 2.8% YoY. In the US, the 3Q’25 GDP rose more than expected to 4.3% QoQ thanks ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, GRIFOLS. EUROPA: SANOFI. El PIB de EE.UU. anima las bolsas Jornada de menos a más en las bolsas europeas, que tras el buen dato de PIB en EE.UU. dejaron las pérdidas atrás. En el STOXX 600, Farma y R. Básicos fueron los sectores que más subieron frente a Viajes&Ocio y Media que fueron los que peor comportamiento relativo mostraron. Por el lado macro, en España el PIB final del 3T’25 confirmó el 2,8% a/a preliminar. En EE.UU. el PIB...
On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.
Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, INDRA. Doubts do not disappear they change Calm prevailed at both sides of the Atlantic with a battery of macroeconomic data that did not convince the market. In the STOXX 600, almost all sectors (16/20) ended with drops, led by Energy and Industrials vs. the larger gains of Consumer Goods, Financial Services and Retail Estate. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s PMI fell more than expected (the manufacturing PMI was at its lowest level in 8 months) but the co...
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