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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Better bottom line, mixed underlying, strong capital, SBB €250m. Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 profitability beat thanks to insurance results. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC: Fizzing along nicely. Kinepolis: July 2025 box office in US/Canada and France down, on strong comps. Vonovia: Good results, 5.6% guidance increase. UCB: Evenity continues to surprise to the upside. Zabka: Another miss on Adj. Net Income in 2Q25

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - muddling through? Belgian telcos: Competition Authority investigation on Proximus/Orange Belgium MoU. Brunel International: 2Q25 below, 3Q25 outlook cut, cost savings protect FY25 estimates. Euronext: Another record set of results. Fugro: Sharper V-shape? GBL: Weak NAV performance, as expected. KBC Ancora: Cooperative CERA increasing its stake to 51.24%, using excess cash. UCB: Renewed US threats to cut drug prices. Umicore: 1H25 and guide broadly in-line, new S...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

UCB - Still Plenty of Upside – PT up to €270 (BUY, TP €270 [250], 8pgs...

We upgrade our 2026 Bimzelx sales to be €0.9bn higher than consensus with conservative assumptions & and are now 11% above consensus on 2026 group sales & 19% on EBITDA. We upgrade our already above-consensus ‘27 EBITDA by 5%. Using our proprietary product-by-product Contribution Analysis, we show that the gross margin is highly sensitive to Bimzelx growth. We analyse the galvokimig data, which looks very strong Vs Dupi. Whilst UCB pipeline readouts & Moonlake risk will dominate specialists’ tho...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB 1H25 conference call feedback

UCB reported 1H25 results this morning with a clear beat on CSS. In this note we summarise our key takeaways from the conference call with management.

Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Martial Descoutures
  • Martial Descoutures
Martial Descoutures
  • Martial Descoutures
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB 1H25 earnings beat driven by Bimzelx, raises FY25 guidance

UCB's growth continues with 1H25 earnings increasing to € 3.49b, beating CSS expectations by approx. 8%. We note that Bimzelx performed significantly higher vs. expectations bringing in € 799m (CSS: € 615m) continuing its solid growth momentum. The company updated its FY25 guidance to revenue of at least € 7b based on a strong outlook for the remainder of the year. We reiterate our €214 TP and Accumulate.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, F...

: ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, UCB BB, AZE BB, SYENS BB

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

MaaT Pharma Secures € 37.5m tranched EIB financing

MaaT announced that it has secured a € 37.5m , 4-tranche financing from the European Investment Bank (EIB), which bears interest at 7%. In addition, MaaT will issue warrants to the EIB with each tranche. MaaT's previously communicated cash runway was into January 2026, which should now extend beyond that point following this additional funding, though we do note that disbursement of Tranches B to D is subject to operational and financing conditions, which we'd be keen to learn more about. All in...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

Hybrid Software Group Tough comps continue, but positive outlook for 2...

1H25 is seeing tough comps from a large Printing Software contract signing in 1Q24 and the uptick in business in 2Q24 triggered by the Drupa trading fair. The gap to our estimates seen in 1Q25 continues in todays half-year results. Management is confident on the sales pipeline going forward, with comps significantly more benign in 2H25. We expect the second half of the year to be much stronger for Hybrid Software Group, reiterating out Buy recommendation.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Light 1H performance, lowers FY25 outlook. Acomo: Hot chocolate. BAM Group: Solid 1H25 performance. BE Semiconductor Industries: 2Q25 results, light at the end of the tunnel. Econocom: 1H25 REBITA in line, net profit hit by €18m loss on discontinued. Orange Belgium: Better 1H25, guidance increased but MSA hurt perception. RELX: 1H25 results – powering ahead. UCB: 1H25 Preview: focus on US expansion.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 pre-close call feedback. Azelis: Attractive acquisition in personal care Italy. Econocom: Two UK/Ireland AV acquisitions disclosed. Staffing: Better French volumes in May even with easier comps, June outlook sluggish. Staffing: Dutch figs Period 6 volume and revenues weaker on tougher comps. UCB: Trump threatens a 200% tariff on pharmaceutical products

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

MaaT Pharma Partnership with Clinigen secures MaaT013's EU commerciali...

MaaT signed a licensing, distribution, and commercial supply agreement with Clinigen in Europe for Xervyteg (MaaT013, microbiome therapy, enema formulation) in aGvHD for a € 10.5m upfront, € 18m in milestones, and mid-thirties flat royalty on sales. We believe this deal serves as validation of MaaT013's potential, and see the partnership as a de-risking event for MaaT013's commercialisation in Europe, given Clinigen's experience commercialising in haemato-oncology, with 3 products currently on t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Buyout deal, second in as many months, similar size (€660m). Flow Traders: Sticky digits. IMCD: Small but solid acquisition in India. Randstad: Preliminary preview of 2Q25F results due 23 July. UCB: Fintepla meets primary endpoint in CDKL5 Deficiency Disorder

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
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