Following Q1 earnings calls by some of the oil service companies, 2025 outlooks appear more challenging than previously. Baker Hughes expects international upstream spending to decline by mid- to high-single digits, while Halliburton sees its international revenues flat to slightly down. Furthermore, Weatherford expects 2025 international revenue to decline by low double- to mid-double digits. Precision Drilling flagged additional rig suspensions by Saudi Aramco, and SLB highlighted a slow start...
We view the Q1 results as soft despite strong order growth of 16% organically YOY, with all divisions contributing to the beat. A miss on adj. EBITA was driven by lower sales and a weak Facade Access (FA) margin of 9.5% due to legacy projects and lower utilisation. Alimak stated that investment decisions for new tall buildings would continue to be postponed, and legacy projects phased out through 2025. We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to SEK125 (140), having lowered our 2025–...
Driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around trade tariffs, ENI was the first large oil company to introduce capex cuts for 2025, contributing to a more challenging business environment for oil services. Over the past five years, we estimate ENI to have been the oil major with strongest offshore spending growth, and it has been considered active and opportunistic while others have been more conservative. Hence, we see its reduction as a soft datapoint for oil services. ENI has optimised its ...
Promising signs of Coor’s self-improvement case gaining momentum were crystallised in sharp increases in earnings and FCF in Q1. This further improved the risk/reward in our view, combining internal efficiencies and a strengthening Nordic FM/IFM market, with Coor’s own portfolio largely derisked for 2025. After tweaking our 2025–2027e EPS, we reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK54 (52) on a strengthening turnaround case at an attractive valuation, in our view.
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
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