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Moody's Ratings says Oracle's enormous growth in RPO, leases and capex...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) commented that Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) increase in contract backlog is impressive, though the counterparty risk and spending and commitments required to support that growth remain significant credit concerns and primary drivers of the negative outlook. The Baa2 senior...

Oracle Corporation: Enormous growth in RPO, leases and capex to meet t...

Massive data center commitments backlog is impressive, but counterparty risk and capex required to support growth are concerns.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle AI world: datapoints support our framework and numbers

Oracle hosted “AI World 2025” this week and released several datapoints that reinforce our framework and numbers.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Capital Goods / Technology: AI Lifts Automation

PSA’s automation and robotics analyst William Nestuk reviews the performance of automation stocks this year and explains why this month, AI has lit a touchpaper to strong performance by names in the sector.

Oracle Corporation - August 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle AI cloud margins: Much ado about nothing

The Information reported yesterday that Oracle’s AI cloud margins are in the high teens. Accounting for typical start-up costs, this aligns well with our analysis of the $300bn OpenAI contract. Please see the link for our analysis of Oracle's AI cloud economics over the next 10 years and the implications for overall gross margins.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The NSR AI datacenter economics cheat sheet

As we spend our days and many of our nights helping you understand what is going on in the world of AI infrastructure, we refine continuously our understanding of the cost of AI, combining our understanding of the economics of every step of the supply chain. We crystalized that in a digestible format today. Everything you need to know about a 1GW datacenter on a single slide.

Moody's Ratings assigns a Baa2 rating to Oracle's proposed senior unse...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa2 rating to Oracle Corporation's ("Oracle") proposed senior unsecured notes offering. Oracle's existing Baa2 senior unsecured and Prime-2 Commercial Paper ratings and negative outlook are unchanged. We expect the net proceeds to be used for general corporate pur...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle: What will life after giant RPOs look like?

Oracle entered a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI, starting 2027. In our note yesterday, we showed what we know of the deal suggests balanced and straightforward economics, over the life of the contract. Today we extend the analysis: GPUs aren’t scrapped after 5 years, and Oracle may in reality, after these contracts, boost profitability, monetizing fully depreciated assets, much like TSMC at the lagging edge.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle & OpenAI: All the economics of the $300bn deal, on a single sli...

Over the weekend we worked through the numbers to estimate the economics of Oracle’s $300bn contract with OpenAI. We have strong visibility on costs, supported by our long-standing work on AI datacenter economics, refined with players in every part of the supply chain, and on the ramp trajectory, informed by RPO maturity and OpenAI’s business plan. This allows us to estimate gross margins, FCF and IRR with a high degree of confidence.

Moody's Ratings says Oracle's $300 billion in contracts highlights ext...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) commented that Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) disclosed $300 billion of recently signed AI contracts do not affect the company's Baa2 rating or negative outlook. The contract size is staggering — highlighting the tremendous potential for Oracle's AI Infrastructure business. ...

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