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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback Analyst & Asset Manager Day

Tessenderlo reiterated FY25 guidance at the occasion of its Investor event yesterday. We note that Luc Tack expressed his desire to become more strict in allocating capex, whilst in terms of activity portfolio there are no sacred cows and management asks themselves whether they are still the best owner of their businesses. The deal with Darling Ingredients on gelatin & collagen is progressing with deal closing probable in 2H26. We continue to appreciate Tessenderlo for its healthy FCF generation...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained

Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Tessenderlo/Model update ahead of 1H25/BUY

We update our model to reflect recent macro and FX trends as well as Tessenderlo's 2025F guidance. We lower our target price to €30 per share from €32 previously, mainly as a result of our lower estimates. We stick to our BUY on valuation grounds.

Tessenderlo Group: 1 director

A director at Tessenderlo Group bought 626,596 shares at 25.140EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Michiel Declercq ... (+2)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: Creating a global leader in gelatin/collagen w...

Tessenderlo and Darling Ingredients announced the intention to combine their gelatin & collagen businesses in a joint venture, in which Tessenderlo would have a 15% stake. In light of the difficult market conditions, we welcome the combination which will lead to a gelatin & collagen powerhouse with a global market share of 35-40%. We still appreciate Tessenderlo for the sizeable free cash flow generation and maintain our Accumulate rating for now.

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ELI BB, IVA FP, MONT BB, SOF BB, TESB BB, UMI BB, VGP ...

: ELI BB, IVA FP, MONT BB, SOF BB, TESB BB, UMI BB, VGP BB, MAAT FP, DEME BB, ONWD BB, EXO NA

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: Management team change. Belgian telcos: Extra data on Proximus brand mobile plans at no additional cost. Elia: Launch of €1.35bn rights issue and closing of €850m private placement. Randstad: Preliminary preview of 1Q25F results due 23 April. Shell plc: Very solid CMD, attractive outlook for shareholders. Tessenderlo: 2024 in-line with lowered outlook, soft 2025F guidance

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: FY24 adjusted EBITDA -17%, FY25 guidance of fl...

Tessenderlo's FY24 adjusted EBITDA dropped by c17%, in line with the -15-20% guidance and broadly in line with our and consensus forecasts. The FY25 guidance points to a flat to 20% higher adjusted EBITDA, with our forecast (+12%) in line with this guidance whilst consensus (+24%) seems too high. Whilst business conditions in a number of end markets are clearly challenging, Tessenderlo is still generating a sizeable cash flow. Despite the fairly weak recent earnings momentum, we consider valuati...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Bruno Cavalier ... (+6)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Roy Külter
IPS IPSOS
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
G24 SCOUT24 AG
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
TLGO TALGO SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
LANV PRIMAVERA CAP ACQUISITION CORP
Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
LHN HOLCIM AG
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
RMV RIGHTMOVE PLC
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
JDEP JDE PEET'S NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
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