Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: FY24 adjusted EBITDA -17%, FY25 guidance of flat to +20%
Tessenderlo's FY24 adjusted EBITDA dropped by c17%, in line with the -15-20% guidance and broadly in line with our and consensus forecasts. The FY25 guidance points to a flat to 20% higher adjusted EBITDA, with our forecast (+12%) in line with this guidance whilst consensus (+24%) seems too high. Whilst business conditions in a number of end markets are clearly challenging, Tessenderlo is still generating a sizeable cash flow. Despite the fairly weak recent earnings momentum, we consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumulate rating with a € 28 target price.Tessenderlo Group is engaged in providing solutions for food, agriculture, water management and use and re-use of natural resources. Co. has three operating segments: Agro, which is engaged in the production and marketing of crop nutrients (liquid crop fertilizers and Sulfate of Potash) and crop protection products; Bio-Valorization, which combines Co.'s activities in animal by-product processing, comprised of Akiolis (rendering, production and sales of proteins and fats) and PB Gelatins (production and sales of gelatins); and Industrial Solutions, with activities including the production and sales of plastic pipes systems and water treatment chemicals.
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