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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...

HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MIL PW; JAHEZ AB; CCC PW; APR PW; CAR PW; RICHT HB; FROTO ...

HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: solid, but neutral, set of 1Q25 results; FX mortgage saga still eating material part of profits • Jahez: mixed 1Q25 results, affected by seasonality and intensified competition NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 2-8%, on FX differences NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: April sales growth slows down to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: April sales growth decelerates to 6% yoy NEGATIVE • Richter: Trump promises 30-80% cuts in US drug prices NEGATIVE • For...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly & trade ideas update

Tariff noise has calmed in recent weeks, although the threat of slowing global growth remains a risk for EM credit.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the red in A...

EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...

GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; EBS AV; MBK PW; SPL PW; CCC PW; PCF PW; C...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: THEON NA; KRU PW; SAB1L LH; MCOVB SS; OTKAR TI; TOASO TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBR PW; OPL PW; KTY PW; EMEA Airlines; CEZ CP; MYTIL GA; S...

HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 4Q24 results miss expectations, on jumping SG&A costs NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 1Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results and new strategy presentation call takeaways NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 1Q25 traffic; demand concerns vs. cheaper USD and oil • CEZ: ANO promising privatisation and lower fees NEGATIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells Chilean RES for USD 815m (EUR 710m) POSITIVE • Polish banks: Trea...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – EMEA airlines: 1Q25 traffic; demand concerns vs. cheaper ...

Exposed to the strength of consumer demand and with high operating leverage, European airlines have been under pressure lately (albeit less so than their US peers), on concerns about the economy, in the face of the escalating trade conflict. While, at c.4%, the 2025E market capacity growth is muted, around half of last year’s pace, it could still prove too fast, if the Eurozone GDP remains stagnant this year. Within the next 1-2M, we should start to get better visibility on the crucial summer RA...

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

Strong fundamentals with limited downside risks

We cut our Dec-25 TP to 32.1 RON per share, but remain Buy rated on the stock, implying 20% upside potential including our estimated DPS of 2.1 RON. This reflects the bank’s strong capital returns. Last year TLV was active in M&A in the Romanian and Moldovan markets as they acquired OTP Bank Romania and BCR Chișinău. More importantly, around 95% of OTP customers are already with BT as of the announcement of the 2024 results. As a result, the management expects significant loan and deposit growth...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DNP PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCHGR GA; TLV RO

HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 4Q24 results spot on prelims NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 April) • Bank of Cyprus: to acquire Ethniki Insurance Cyprus POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: to acquire Microinvest in Moldova NEUTRAL

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