HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Cyfrowy Polsat: TiVi Foundation exercises its rights to replace the managers and a supervisory board member of the group POSITIVE • Medicover: 2Q25 results preview (due out tomorrow) • Tofas: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 28 July) • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 30 July) • Teknosa: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 6 August) • Short News (EUR, 4iG, PPC)
We are resuming coverage of Romanian banks with an Outperform rating and a TP of RON 32.3 on Banca Transilvania (TLV) and a Neutral stance with a TP of RON 20.3 on BRD. We believe that current market prices largely factor in the downside risks of the upcoming fiscal consolidation package even beyond 2026. Despite BRD's increasing appetite for growth, we favour TLV due to its effective growth through its M&A strategy, higher long-term ROE potential and more attractive valuation metrics.
HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
While the macro outlook in Romania may not be the most inviting over the next few years, due to the budget consolidation efforts that Romania must undertake to comply with the EC targets and avoid being downgraded to non-investment grade, we remain fairly constructive on Banca Transilvania (TLV), while less so on BRD-GSG. Despite some pressure on margins, due to rate cuts by the ECB, we expect both banks’ NIMs to expand mildly in 2025E and, even though the tax burden is increasing and we see hig...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
Feedback of the companies present at the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum Company Country Market cap. (m) Company Country Market cap. (m) Accsys Technologies € 124 Hoffmann Green € 62 Afyren € 72 Hornbach € 1 451 Altri € 1 058 IDI € 537 AMG € 550 Implenia CHF 973 AmRest PLN 3 544 Jacquet Metals € 494 Arcure € 29 Kloeckner & Co € 653 Arverne 194 Knaustabbert € 144 Austriacard Holdings € 188 Lna Santé € 270 Bastide € 218 Medincell € 398 Befesa € 1 116 Nacon € 63 CAF € 1 649 N...
Our 14th edition of the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum took place on 11 June in Paris, and on 12 June virtually. 96 companies and 170 investors were present for more than 700 meetings organized. Overall, we noted a still cautious tone from companies, with limited visibility on a solid rebound in a persistently uncertain market environment (geopolitical situation, US politics, etc.), even if there are some signs of recovery and certain sectors remain very well positioned (leisure, energy, defence). At th...
One of the key questions in European Telecoms at the moment is how successful will Digi be in Portugal, Spain and Belgium; and to a lesser extent, how successful can the challengers be in general: Salt, Iliad Italy, and so on. In this report, we take a top-down look at how spectrum drives success in European mobile, and what that means for future outcomes.
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