HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
A director at Banca Transilvania Cluj sold 150,000 shares at 30.126RON and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • OTE: multiple tailwinds supporting the equity story (stays BUY) • PZU: very strong 3Q25 bottom line, strong beat vs. expectations, but slower revenue growth raises questions for the future POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q25 above expectations; FY25E guidance trimmed due to slower November NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 2% above our forecast and 11% above ...
We reiterate our BUY on OTE and increase our price target (PT) to EUR 23.0 (from EUR 20.3), implying 37% upside potential. Since our previous report on the company (October 2024), we have recognised multiple tailwinds reinforcing OTE’s equity story and our positive view on the name, including: 1) the finalisation of the Telekom Romania sale, which supports the FCF and dividend outlooks materially; 2) the implementation of CPI-related price increases, and the easing competitive pressure in the mo...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today assigned a B1 (hyb) foreign-currency rating to Banca Transilvania S.A.'s (BT, long-term deposits Baa1 negative/long-term issuer rating Baa2 stable, Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) ba1) proposed euro-denominated perpetual non-cumulative AT1 capital securities with...
A director at Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. sold 1,500 shares at 16.857EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...
Q3 healthy and in line, but without much to move the needle; recalibrating numbers to Greece-only – Q3 adj. EBITDAaL came in at €360m, +2% yoy and broadly in line with forecasts, with the underlying mix unchanged: resilient mobile (mobile service revenues +2.7%), mildly improving retail fixed (+1.3%), and solid ICT momentum (other revenues +14%). Reported net profit landed at €258m due to the €105m Romania-related tax gain, with adj. net profit at €170m (-2% yoy), in sync with our model. Overall...
Q3 healthy and in line, but without much to move the needle; recalibrating numbers to Greece-only – Q3 adj. EBITDAaL came in at €360m, +2% yoy and broadly in line with forecasts, with the underlying mix unchanged: resilient mobile (mobile service revenues +2.7%), mildly improving retail fixed (+1.3%), and solid ICT momentum (other revenues +14%). Reported net profit landed at €258m due to the €105m Romania-related tax gain, with adj. net profit at €170m (-2% yoy), in sync with our model. Overall...
OTE has reported a solid set of 3Q25 results, with the Greek sales up 5% yoy, to EUR 874m (2% above our forecast) and the Greek adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, to EUR 375m (in line with our estimate). The fixed-line segment recorded sales growth of 8% yoy, to EUR 468m (driven by an ICT sales hike of 13.6% yoy, a 1.3% increase yoy in retail sales and 4.2% yoy growth in wholesale sales), while the mobile segment remained flat, at EUR 342m, as the 2.7% increase in retail sales was offset by a 15% yoy dr...
OTE has reported a solid set of results and announced a c1% extraordinary dividend following the disposal of its Romanian business. Total SR trends are unchanged as are EBITDAaL trends, and guidance has been reiterated on an underlying basis.
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line beat in 3Q25, on higher trading income and lower costs POSITIVE • Jahez: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q25 – RASK pressure exceeds our estimate NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA miss of 5%; FY25E EBITDA guidance cut to PLN 1.7-1.8bn, from PLN 2.4bn NEGATIVE • Alpha Bank: 3Q25 highlights – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • Dino: key takeaways from the 3Q25 call NEGATIVE • InPost: key takeaways from the 3Q25 call NEGATIVE • MOL: ...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded Banca Transilvania S.A.'s (BT) long-term deposit ratings to Baa1 from Baa2 and changed the outlook on these ratings to negative from positive. Concurrently we upgraded the bank's long- and short-term issuer ratings to Baa2/P-2 from Baa3/P-3 and changed ...
Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 3Q25 trading update – strong execution, guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Otokar: 3Q25 results – weak EBITDA, low quality bottom-line beat NEGATIVE • Tofas: 3Q25 results miss expectations NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: controlling shareholder ALMEX announces intention to dispose of stake NEGATIVE • CIS+ macro: on the ground in Central Asia – reform stories enter the next phase • Brisa: guiding lower for FY25E revenues growth, but higher for EBITDA margin NEUTRAL • CEZ: natio...
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