COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MAPFRE, TALGO. EUROPA: DANONE, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Continúa la volatilidad en las bolsas Semana de volatilidad en las bolsas europeas tras los vaivenes en las materias primas y las dudas sobre las valoraci...
NEWS SUMMARY: MAPFRE, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets remain volatile It was a volatile week on European stock markets after the ups and downs in basic materials and doubts about the valuation of AI companies. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Food and Telecoms (tra...
L’année 2026 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la thématique momentum, aux dépens des styles value et qualité. Nous anticipons une accélération de l’amélioration de la marge (71 pb vs 36 pb en 2025e), tirée par le levier opérationnel, le pricing et la poursuite ou l’intensification des restructurations, ceci dans un environnement de croissance du CA toujours soutenue (5.1%e vs ~4.9% en 2025e). Si quelques dynamiques devraient rester fortes (datacenters, grid, rail, etc), d’autres émergeront (r...
We expect that 2026 will see a continuation of the momentum theme, at the expense of value and quality styles. We expect margin improvement to accelerate (71bp vs 36bp in 2025e), driven by operating leverage, pricing and continued or intensified restructuring, against a backdrop of sustained sales growth (5.1%e vs ~4.9% in 2025e). While some dynamics are likely to remain strong (data centres, grid, rail, etc), others will take shape (Europe residential and US trucks in H2) or accelerate (semicon...
The maturity profile of high-yield debt in the retail and personal & household goods (PHG) sectors shows a total of around € 5bn in maturities in 2026 and 2027, for which we expect a moderate € 3.5bn to € 4bn in conventional refinancing. However, a major wave of early refinancing of longer-dated notes could very well come onto the primary market this year in order to benefit from lower interest rates and spreads. Most of these bonds, issued in 2023-24 with high coupons, can be called from 2026 a...
L’échéancier de la dette high yield des secteurs Retail et Personal & Household goods (PHG) fait apparaitre un total d’environ 5 mds EUR de tombées obligataires en 2026 et 2027 au sein duquel nous attendons un montant modéré de 3,5 à 4 mds EUR de refinancements conventionnels. Toutefois, une vague importante de refinancements anticipés de maturités plus longues pourrait tout à fait venir s’inviter dans l’activité primaire cette année afin de profiter de la baisse des taux et des spreads depuis d...
NEWS SUMMARY: INDRA, REPSOL, TALGO. Geopolitical turbulence The first session of the year kicked off with gains for European stock markets, underpinned by the positive performance of Asian stock exchanges and renewed confidence in artificial intelligence. In the STOXX 600, Technology and Autos led gains vs. Real Estate and Media that were the worst performers in relative terms. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s M3 rose more than expected, whereas December’s final manufacturing PMI...
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