Two Directors at ConocoPhillips sold 55,789 shares at between 0.000USD and 108.113USD. The significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/AXL CN)C; target price of £0.65 per share: All eyes on the first horizontal well at Carrizales Norte – The 1Q24 production of 2,730 boe/d was close to our expectations. Arrow’s cash position of US$11.6 mm was also in line. The first water disposal well at RCE is being brought into production and the conversion of the CN-4 well is currently waiting regulatory approval. These two disposal wells are very importa...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) views ConocoPhillips' (COP, A2 stable) proposed acquisition of Marathon Oil Corporation (Marathon, Baa3 ratings under review for upgrade) on 29 May 2024 as credit neutral. COP has agreed to pay $22.5 billion in enterprise value (including $5.4 billion of Marathon net debt) ...
Upgrading Materials to Market Weight We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious. This still has not happened, meaning the short-term trend remains bullish. Closes below their 20-day MAs have been extremely rare since the October 2023 bottom, with buyers stepping-in immediately. Still, we need to be prepared. If we do get 2-3 closes below the 20-day MAs on the S&P 500 an...
STRATEGY Since early-July (7/3/23 ETF Pathfinder, 7/18/23 Compass) we have discussed that we would need to see a break below 4300-4325 on the S&P 500 in order to shift to a defensive posture. We continue to believe that 4300-4325 will act as major support moving forward, and we are constructive as long as the S&P 500 is above 4300-4325. As initially discussed in our 8/29/23 Compass, we would not be surprised to see another month+ (i.e., through the end of September, and possibly longer) of cons...
Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows In our prior Compass reports (8/22/23 and 8/29/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued, and we still believe it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback on the S&P 500. We see a low probability of a meaningful correction if the SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but, as discussed last week (8/29/23), we would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 ...
Expecting Russell 2000 (IWM) Breakout Above $199 We continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder. We also remain bullish on the S&P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward. Beginning with our 7/18/23 Compass, we discussed our expectation for major 1+ year breakouts on the equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP), Dow, and Russell 2000 (IWM). The breakouts happened later that day ...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Zone at Carrizales Norte with no booked reserves has flowed >1 mbbl/d – The Ubaque horizon at the Carrizales Norte-1 (CN-1) exploration well was put on three tests, the last of which tested at 1,134 bbl/d of 13.5 API oil on pump. The flow rate was stabilized with a 28.3% water cut (completion fluid). The water cut has been decreasing throughout testing. This is a very go...
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