Company Results | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt67.75/Target: Bt72.00) KKP reported a net profit of Bt1.77b in 4Q25, up 26% yoy and 6% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 40% and 28% respectively. The key positive surprise was a qoq reduction in provision expenses and a less-than-expected decline in investment gains. Credit costs have decreased consistently, supporting a favourable asset quality outlook. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt72.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt67.75/Target: Bt72.00) KKP reported a net profit of Bt1.77b in 4Q25, up 26% yoy and 6% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 40% and 28% respectively. The key positive surprise was a qoq reduction in provision expenses and a less-than-expected decline in investment gains. Credit costs have decreased consistently, supporting a favourable asset quality outlook. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt72.00. Company Upd...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s 4Q25 GDP growth eased to 4.5% yoy, bringing 2025 growth to 5.0%, in line with the official target. December industrial production growth rose 5.2% yoy (-0.2ppt mom), but retail sales growth slowed to 0.9% yoy (-0.4ppt mom). FAI growth contracted further to -3.8% yoy ytd (-1.2ppt mom), dragged by persistent property FAI weakness (-17.2% ytd yoy). With momentum weakening into year-end, we expect more targeted policy support in 2026, particularly ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Company Results | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt65.00/Target: Bt68.00) KKP reported a net profit of Bt1.67b for 3Q25, increasing 28% yoy and 19% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 41% and 33%, respectively. The key positive surprise was a qoq jump in investment gain and a reduction in provision expenses. The CEO guides that the bank will focus on asset quality and lend selectively. We should see a continuous improvement in the loan portfolio’s quality. Maintain HOLD...
Top Stories Company Results | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt65.00/Target: Bt68.00) KKP reported a net profit of Bt1.67b for 3Q25, increasing 28% yoy and 19% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 41% and 33%, respectively. The key positive surprise was a qoq jump in investment gain and a reduction in provision expenses. The CEO guides that the bank will focus on asset quality and lend selectively. We should see a continuous improvement in the loan portfolio’s quality. ...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s 3Q25 GDP growth slowed to 4.8% yoy, 9M25 growth to 5.1%. Ytd FAI fell 0.5% yoy, dragged by property FAI (-13.9% ytd yoy). September's industrial production rose 6.5% yoy, but retail sales growth eased to 3.0% yoy. With the stronger-than-expected 9M25 growth, we raise the full-year real GDP growth forecast to 5.0% yoy. That said, further policy support is still needed and we expect proposals for the 15th Five-year Plan to provide further clu...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Property investment has declined since Jul 25 due to weak demand, LGFV financing controls, slow destocking and urban-redevelopment, and limited new loans. Sep 25 data showed a rebound in Tier 1 city home sales, led by Shanghai. Central government capital is needed. However, the existing policy stance points to a low possibility of direct injection by the central government. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with CR Land as our top pick. Indonesia Strategy | T...
The tone of the analyst meeting on Tuesday was positive. Management has revised the financial targets for 2025. KKP guided a positive outlook for credit cost, which will be offset by a 2025 loan reduction of 5-8% yoy. KKP revealed that a selective growth strategy has yielded impressive returns. Meanwhile, the company is actively seeking opportunities to increase shareholder returns through various capital management initiatives, but has yet to give any details. Maintain HOLD with a target p...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 2Q25: Results beat; investment income lifts the bottom line above forecasts. Update Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt147.50/Target: Bt154.00) Maintain 2025 financial year targets but revise 2025 GDP forecast downward. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt52.75/Target: Bt50.00) Revise 2025 targets; credit costs expected to decline. WHA Corporation (WHA TB/BUY/Bt3.48/Target: Bt4.80) 2Q25 results preview: Expect softer net profit momentum.
Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$63.20/Target: HK$92.40): 2Q25: Results largely in line. Solid bookings beat as mainstream tools recover; AP tools progressing well in logic and at HBM clients. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$98.10/Target: HK$128.00): 1H25 results preview: Expecting solid NBP growth and focusing on capital management. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,260): Disciplined strategy and portfolio diversification. MALAYSIA Update CIMB ...
KKP posted a 2Q25 net profit of Bt1.06b (-30% yoy, -25% qoq). The results beat our and consensus expectations by 29% and 26% respectively. The key positive surprise was a qoq jump in investment gains and a reduction in provision expenses. Provision expenses fell 45% yoy and 12% qoq in 2Q25. Credit cost declined 19bp qoq to 178bp in 2Q25. We maintain a cautious view on the used car price index. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt50.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt185.00) 2Q25: Results in line with market forecasts; provision expenses increased qoq. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt48.00/Target: Bt50.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations; provisions declined yoy and qoq. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment gains boosted a strong bottom line. SCB X (SCB TB/HOLD/Bt121.00/Target: Bt134.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment and trading incom...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Channel check on Guangzhou’s and Shenzhen’s primary residential markets; 1H25 earnings preview for Longfor. INDONESIA Sector Banking: 1H25 results preview: Diverging earnings growth. MALAYSIA Sector Renewable Energy: PETRA announced the approval of 180.8MW of FIT RE projects and EPCC jobs worth RM1.87b. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Tenaga, Malakoff and Pekat. Results CapitaLand Malaysia Trust (CLMT MK/BUY/RM0.65/Target: RM0.78): Q25: Results in line. The stock...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
A director at Kiatnakin Phatra Bank Public Company Ltd bought 100,000 shares at 45.625THB and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ove...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
KKP posted a 1Q25 net profit of Bt1.06b (-30% yoy, -25% qoq). The results were in line with our forecast but missed consensus expectation by 15%. KKP could reduce losses from the sale of repossessed vehicles by 52% yoy and 37% qoq. However, we raise our provision expense assumption due to the uncertainties surrounding the US tariffs. We have factored in the expected policy rate of 1.5%. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt48.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt148.50/Target: Bt175.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectation; a significant decrease in credit costs. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt50.00/Target: Bt48.00) 1Q25: Results miss market expectations; provisions jump yoy and qoq. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt112.50/Target: Bt130.00) 1Q25: Results in line; intends to maintain a high dividend payout ratio.
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