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Clément Genelot
  • Clément Genelot

MdM: still a risky bet on furniture market recovery post-Q2

Post-weak Q2 for sales, EBIT and FCF, we have cut our FCF estimates by 9% and our PT to EUR1.9 on the back of higher operating de-leverage and a lower WCR tailwind. Beyond an emerging inflexion point in French real estate transactions (that remains to be confirmed), we are still cautious about the

Cédric Rossi ... (+2)
  • Cédric Rossi
  • Clément Genelot

Fashion: navigating a cautious summer

Based on recent market trends, the start of Q3 appears to be a continuation of the softness observed in May and June for the fashion industry, as prolonged macroeconomic and tariff-related uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer spending. This environment has prompted a wait-and-see approach amo

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Steven Boumans
Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Steven Boumans
Cédric Rossi
  • Cédric Rossi

H&M: modest signs of improvement

While still showing a contraction YoY, Q2 margins improved sequentially versus Q1, lending more credibility to the company’s guidance for a positive inflexion point expected in H2 2025. However, H&M remains particularly sensitive to fluid external factors such as promotional activity, freight c

Cédric Rossi ... (+2)
  • Cédric Rossi
  • Clément Genelot

Fashion: No sign of spring in second quarter

As we feared in our February sector update, tariffs took a toll on US consumer sentiment, prompting shoppers to become more cautious on discretionary spending. European optimism ticked up marginally as did spending intentions, leading to soft market trends in May-June. In view of constrained pricin

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

Suspension of Coverage

From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Maisons du Monde: no sign of commercial sequential improvement

Post-weak Q1 sales marked by no sequential improvement on easy comps and market share losses, we foresee a delayed recovery in France and cut our FY 2025 sales by 1% and our EBIT & FCF by >40%. Our new EUR2.4 PT reflects a slight return to growth only from 2026 onwards. Beyond management's s

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #68

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at fragile US consumer sentiment which might precede a sharp pullback in spe

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

adidas: brand heat fuelling robust momentum and resilience amid macro ...

As expected, the focus during the call was concentrated on the potential tariff impact. Based on current tariff assumptions, ADS does not plan to increase prices unless: 1/ reciprocal tariffs are back to their initial levels after the 90-day pause,and 2/ the leading players, i.e. Nike, implement pr

Arancha Pineiro
  • Arancha Pineiro

ADIDAS AG: RDOS. 1T’25 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. AL ALZA (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADE...

Rdos. 1T'25 vs 1T'24: Ventas: 6.153 M euros (+12,7% vs +10,2% BS(e) y +11,7% consenso); EBIT: 610,0 M euros (+81,5% vs +59,2% BS(e) y +62,5% consenso).

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

adidas: Strong Q1 and FY25 outlook confirmed despite the tariff hurdle

Unsurprisingly, definitive Q1 2025 results unveiled this morning are in line with last week's pre-release (23rd April), which showed strong sales momentum, +17% FX-n ex-Yeezy, and better-than-expected margin delivery. Albeit reassuring against the highly fluid tariff backdrop and macro uncertainty,

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 29 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, SANTANDER, SECTOR SEGUROS, UNICAJA, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: ADIDAS, SCHNEIDER, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex resiste a pesar del apagón Las bolsas comenzaron la semana con gananci...

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #67

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!

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