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Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #64

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

H&M: business model still fragile in an uncertain world

The mild reaction yesterday confirmed that investors had mixed feelings about the sharp 33% miss on Q1 EBIT and the scenario of gradual improvement throughout the year. Although management guided for a positive markdown impact in H2 2024, soft organic growth, rising inventory levels and volatile co

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

H&M: Soft Q1 sales momentum despite margin sacrifices

Arguably, with +2% FX-n in Q1 2025 H&M achieved two consecutive quarters of positive organic growth for the first time since Q4 2019-Q1 2020 (stripping out the atypical period of post Covid-related lockdowns until H1 2022), but it was fuelled by painful price reinvestments and marketing efforts

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

NIKE Q3 FY25: essential yet challenging marketplace clean-up

Last night, NIKE reported stronger-than-expected Q3 numbers, with beats at the revenue and EPS levels of 2% and 78%, respectively, driven by a steep decline in SG&A expenses. While management was satisfied with the good progress made on the five "fields of play" and had greater confidence in it

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #62

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's trade war is negatively impacting US consumer sentiment. Happ

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Inditex: navigating temporary sales growth hiccups

Whereas the slowdown in current trading was clearly more abrupt than expected, we believe this hiccup is temporary, as shown by the rebound in the first week of March to +7%. The latter is more consistent with our scenario of normalising sales trends towards 7% FX-n growth over the FY25-27 period,

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Inditex: sound FY24 results but current trading has decelerated

For the fourth year in a row, Inditex achieved double-digit FX-n sales growth with +10.5% in FY24 with EBIT margin improving by 70bps to a new record level of 19.6%. FY24 total dividend amounted to EUR1.68 and matched expectations. Note that Inditex's current trading only increased by 4% FX-n, part

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #61

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

adidas: Well on track to reach FY26 margin target

Yesterday's market reaction confirms that the CSS was not disappointed by the cautious margin guidance and was mindful of ADS’ traditional caution at this stage of the year. Therefore, we are leaving our FY25 estimates broadly unchanged, and similarly, we do not expect any material downward revisio

Arancha Pineiro
  • Arancha Pineiro

ADIDAS AG: RDOS. 2024 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 4T'24 vs 4T'23: Ventas: 5.965 M euros (+24,0% vs +10,5% BS(e) y +11,3% consenso); EBIT: 57,0 M euros (-377,0 M euros en 2023 vs -105,0 M euros BS(e) y -60,0 M euros consenso). Rdos. 2024 vs 2023: Ventas: 23.683 M euros (+10,5% vs +7,5% BS(e) y +7,7% consenso); EBIT: 1.337 M euros (+398,9% vs +338,4% BS(e) y +355,2% consenso).

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

adidas: we are not worried by ADS' prudent margin outlook for 2025

Definitive 2024 results released this morning are in line with the stronger-than-expected numbers pre-released on 22nd January. As a reminder, Q4 sales showed a 12% beat, while EBIT came in at EUR57m versus the CSSe at -EUR62m. All eyes are now on the FY25 outlook: we are not surprised by the relat

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 05 MARZO + RDOS. EUROPA 4T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, NATURGY, OHLA, REPSOL. EUROPA: ADIDAS, BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La segunda guerra comercial de Trump se pone en marcha Jornada de aversión al riesgo en las bolsas mundiales y, sobre todo, europeas después ...

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #58

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the drivers behdind the busy M&A activity in Beauty. Happy reading!

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #57

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage: Luxury goods, Cosmetics, Consumer goods and Retail & E-commerce. This week, we look at the Fed's dilemma between its "wait-and-see" stance and mitigating the potential inflationar

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