Based on recent market trends, the start of Q3 appears to be a continuation of the softness observed in May and June for the fashion industry, as prolonged macroeconomic and tariff-related uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer spending. This environment has prompted a wait-and-see approach amo
While still showing a contraction YoY, Q2 margins improved sequentially versus Q1, lending more credibility to the company’s guidance for a positive inflexion point expected in H2 2025. However, H&M remains particularly sensitive to fluid external factors such as promotional activity, freight c
As we feared in our February sector update, tariffs took a toll on US consumer sentiment, prompting shoppers to become more cautious on discretionary spending. European optimism ticked up marginally as did spending intentions, leading to soft market trends in May-June. In view of constrained pricin
Whereas Q1 results broadly met expectations, current trading was again underwhelming, with sales from 1st May to 9th June up 6% FX-n (vs. CSSe c.+7%), reflecting volatile demand and a tough comp base. We have trimmed our FY25 estimates by 3% to account for the ongoing normalisation phase and a more
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at fragile US consumer sentiment which might precede a sharp pullback in spe
As expected, the focus during the call was concentrated on the potential tariff impact. Based on current tariff assumptions, ADS does not plan to increase prices unless: 1/ reciprocal tariffs are back to their initial levels after the 90-day pause,and 2/ the leading players, i.e. Nike, implement pr
Unsurprisingly, definitive Q1 2025 results unveiled this morning are in line with last week's pre-release (23rd April), which showed strong sales momentum, +17% FX-n ex-Yeezy, and better-than-expected margin delivery. Albeit reassuring against the highly fluid tariff backdrop and macro uncertainty,
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, SANTANDER, SECTOR SEGUROS, UNICAJA, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: ADIDAS, SCHNEIDER, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex resiste a pesar del apagón Las bolsas comenzaron la semana con gananci...
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
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