From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
Post-weak Q1 sales marked by no sequential improvement on easy comps and market share losses, we foresee a delayed recovery in France and cut our FY 2025 sales by 1% and our EBIT & FCF by >40%. Our new EUR2.4 PT reflects a slight return to growth only from 2026 onwards. Beyond management's s
Post-Q2, we have cut our FY sales and EBIT by 1% and 2% to reflect a softening German environment while still believing in the company's ability to meet its FY 2024/25 and 2025/26 EBIT targets. We believe the back-end loaded contribution capacity of "growth businesses" is underestimated by the cons
With CEO Karsten Wildberger stepping down to become a federal minister in Germany, Ceconomy has appointed CFO Kai-Ulrich Deissner as interim CEO. In our view, this is the best option to ensure completion of a well-thought FY 2025/26 strategic plan (still not fully priced-in by the consensus and sha
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at fragile US consumer sentiment which might precede a sharp pullback in spe
As expected, the focus during the call was concentrated on the potential tariff impact. Based on current tariff assumptions, ADS does not plan to increase prices unless: 1/ reciprocal tariffs are back to their initial levels after the 90-day pause,and 2/ the leading players, i.e. Nike, implement pr
Unsurprisingly, definitive Q1 2025 results unveiled this morning are in line with last week's pre-release (23rd April), which showed strong sales momentum, +17% FX-n ex-Yeezy, and better-than-expected margin delivery. Albeit reassuring against the highly fluid tariff backdrop and macro uncertainty,
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, SANTANDER, SECTOR SEGUROS, UNICAJA, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: ADIDAS, SCHNEIDER, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex resiste a pesar del apagón Las bolsas comenzaron la semana con gananci...
With the CEO stepping down at short notice to become a federal minister, Ceconomy is entering a period of uncertainty. Far from the management instability and poor execution of the 2018-2021 era, we see the group in much better shape and hope for a smooth short-term interim with the current CFO sti
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
As it was ADS' habit to pre-announce its results every quarter last year, the German sportswear group unveiled its preliminary Q1 numbers last night (initially due on 29th April): sales were broadly in line despite stronger organic growth ex-Yeezy, +17% vs. +15%e, whilst margin delivery topped expe
Q1 proved soft with LfL decelerating and turning negative (leap-year headwind, weakening France, competitive Belgian market). No impact on our FY EBIT in line with guidance at this stage, but monitoring French retail data will be key in late Q2-early Q3. Neutral reiterated ahead of CMD on 11th June.
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