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Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #47

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Sporting Goods: hurdling the threat of higher tariffs

With 99% of all shoes sold in the US being imported in 2023, Donald Trump’s proposal to place a universal 10-20% tariff on imports from all foreign countries and an additional 60-100% tariff on imports specifically from China, would significantly impact the footwear (and apparel) categories. The in

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Zalando: On track, constant execution needed to continue rerating

Post-FY guidance upgrade and the full Q3 release, we still believe in Zalando's ability to further accelerate growth in 2025 and have notched up our estimates and our PT from EUR36 to EUR37. We no longer see Zalando as an e-commerce growth story, but more as a business model optimisation/show-me st

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Hugo Boss: still limited visibility on FY25 outlook and MT targets

After outperforming the luxury sector over recent weeks, the stock was subject to profit taking moves yesterday, unleashed by the group's Q3 GM miss which overshadowed the EBIT beat, and another delay in its MT targets. We cut our FY24-26 estimates by 5% on average and adjust our WACC assumptions t

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/05/2024

European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/11/2024

Les marchés actions européens ont fléchi en octobre après les nombreuses déceptions sur la saison des résultats. L’approche de l’élection US, très incertaine selon les sondages, pourrait également avoir poussé à la prudence certains opérateurs. Les taux longs souverains ont nettement remonté, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, sur la base d’indicateurs macro susceptibles de donner des arguments aux plus faucons des banquiers centraux. Tous les yeux sont désormais rivés sur le scrutin du 5...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/05/2024

Carrefour said to be mulling several options to increase valuation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program Auchan Retail reportedly plans to cut between 2,100 and 2,300 jobs>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 05/11/2024

Auchan Retail prévoirait la suppression de 2 100 à 2 300 postes Carrefour étudierait plusieurs options pour augmenter sa valorisation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program>...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Zalando : Q3 in line with prelims, FY outlook confirmed

>Some 8% GMV growth and 290bp margin improvement in Q3 - In Q3, GMV was up 8% y-o-y to € 3.46bn (prelim € 3.5bn). Sales increased 5% to € 2.39bn (prelim: € 2.4bn). Revenue growth by segment: B2C +4%, B2B +11%. Adjusted EBIT came in at € 93m (prelim: € 93m) with a margin of 3.9% (up 290bp). The strong demand in September resulted in very good full price business which supported the gross margin. The gross margin increased 400bp and fulfilment costs were down 120bp wher...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Hugo Boss: resilient sales increase and EBIT beat in Q3

This morning Hugo Boss has reported in-line Q3 sales of EUR1,029m incl. +1% FX-n sales growth thanks to limited exposure to China (c.6% of sales) and a resilient performance in EMEA. Q3 EBIT came in at EUR95m, or 5% above CSSe of EUR90m as the miss at the GM level was more than offset by tighter op

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Zalando Records Strong Q3 Growth in Both B2C and B2B, Invest...

EQS-News: Zalando SE / Key word(s): Quarter Results Zalando Records Strong Q3 Growth in Both B2C and B2B, Invests in Customer Loyalty, Lifestyle Propositions, Fashion Discovery and Logistics 05.11.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.                                                                               Zalando Records Strong Q3 Growth in Both B2C and B2B, Invests in Customer Loyalty, Lifestyle Propositions, Fashion Discovery and Logistics  Q3 gross merchandise volume (GMV) rises 7.8% to 3.5 billion euros, r...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Zalando verzeichnet im dritten Quartal starkes Wachstum im B...

EQS-News: Zalando SE / Schlagwort(e): Quartalsergebnis Zalando verzeichnet im dritten Quartal starkes Wachstum im B2C- und B2B-Geschäft und investiert in Kund*innenbindung, Lifestyle-Angebot, Fashion Discovery und Logistiknetzwerk 05.11.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich.                                                                                                                       Zalando verzeichnet im dritten Quartal starkes Wachstum im B2C- und B2B-Geschäft und investiert in Kund*innenbindung, Lifes...

Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #46

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024

Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

adidas: no inflection in robust momentum

Having stated in yesterday's PR that inventory composition would allow for "continued double-digit top-line growth", management confirmed that scenario during the call, supported by strong current trading that showed no signs of slowing. Interestingly, this momentum is broad-based as ADS is activat

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Adidas : Q3 conference call – very strong order book for next few quar...

>Some 14% underlying top-line growth - Yesterday, adidas reported final results for Q3 2024 in line with prelims which were out on 15 October. Sales rose 10% at constant FX and even 14% excluding Yeezy effects. Regions excluding Yeezy: Europe (+21%), LatAm (+30%) and Emerging markets (+17%) did well. China (+8%) was good despite negative comments from other consumer names and North America grew again (+1%). Segments: Footwear +14% and Apparel +5%. Moreover, adidas spe...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Adidas : Final Q3 in line with prelims, outlook confirmed

>Some 14% underlying top-line growth and 9% EBIT margin - Today adidas reported final results for Q3 2024 in line with prelims which were out on 15 October. Sales rose 10% at constant FX and even 14% excluding Yeezy effects. Regions including Yeezy: Europe (+18%), LatAm (+28%) and Emerging markets (+16%) did well. China (+9%) was good and North America improved as well (-7% including Yeezy and growing excluding Yeezy). Segments: Footwear +14% and Apparel +5%. Moreover...

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