In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t
The mild reaction yesterday confirmed that investors had mixed feelings about the sharp 33% miss on Q1 EBIT and the scenario of gradual improvement throughout the year. Although management guided for a positive markdown impact in H2 2024, soft organic growth, rising inventory levels and volatile co
Arguably, with +2% FX-n in Q1 2025 H&M achieved two consecutive quarters of positive organic growth for the first time since Q4 2019-Q1 2020 (stripping out the atypical period of post Covid-related lockdowns until H1 2022), but it was fuelled by painful price reinvestments and marketing efforts
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how sub-sectors within our Consumer coverage have fared since the beginni
Last night, NIKE reported stronger-than-expected Q3 numbers, with beats at the revenue and EPS levels of 2% and 78%, respectively, driven by a steep decline in SG&A expenses. While management was satisfied with the good progress made on the five "fields of play" and had greater confidence in it
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read
Yesterday's market reaction confirms that the CSS was not disappointed by the cautious margin guidance and was mindful of ADS’ traditional caution at this stage of the year. Therefore, we are leaving our FY25 estimates broadly unchanged, and similarly, we do not expect any material downward revisio
Rdos. 4T'24 vs 4T'23: Ventas: 5.965 M euros (+24,0% vs +10,5% BS(e) y +11,3% consenso); EBIT: 57,0 M euros (-377,0 M euros en 2023 vs -105,0 M euros BS(e) y -60,0 M euros consenso). Rdos. 2024 vs 2023: Ventas: 23.683 M euros (+10,5% vs +7,5% BS(e) y +7,7% consenso); EBIT: 1.337 M euros (+398,9% vs +338,4% BS(e) y +355,2% consenso).
Definitive 2024 results released this morning are in line with the stronger-than-expected numbers pre-released on 22nd January. As a reminder, Q4 sales showed a 12% beat, while EBIT came in at EUR57m versus the CSSe at -EUR62m. All eyes are now on the FY25 outlook: we are not surprised by the relat
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, NATURGY, OHLA, REPSOL. EUROPA: ADIDAS, BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La segunda guerra comercial de Trump se pone en marcha Jornada de aversión al riesgo en las bolsas mundiales y, sobre todo, europeas después ...
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the relative catch-up by European stocks. Happy reading!
The recent Momentum Works' annual Asian update showed a continuous market share loss across Southeast Asia for Delivery Hero, reviving debate about this underperforming and loss-making unit. We continue to believe that a sale at any price or even a pure exit would eventually be positive for Deliver
The Q4 trading update proved to be reassuring for the Middle-East whereas Korea's recovery remains hypothetical. We have notched down our FY 2025 EBITDA again on the back of disappointing FY guidance, marked by additional investments in Korea and a slower development of adtech. We remain on the sid
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage: Luxury goods, Cosmetics, Consumer goods and Retail & E-commerce. This week, we look at the Fed's dilemma between its "wait-and-see" stance and mitigating the potential inflationar
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