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Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

PGS : Fundamentals are improving

>Underperform recommendation, target price of NOK6 - Following the link-up with TGS, PGS shareholders will receive 0.06829 TGS shares for each PGS share held. We think this transaction makes sense for PGS shareholders, but we believe that it is more difficult to justify for shareholders of TGS shareholder whose business model of an asset-light group has proven its resilience over the past cycles. Following the Q1 2024 results publication and conference call, we maint...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

PGS : Les fondamentaux s’améliorent

>Recommandation Sous-performance OC 6 NOK - A l’issue du rapprochement avec TGS, les actionnaires de PGS recevront 0.06829 action TGS pour chaque action PGS. Nous pensons que cette opération fait du sens pour les actionnaires de PGS mais nous estimons qu’elle est plus difficile à justifier pour un actionnaire de TGS dont le business model d’un groupe asset light a fait la preuve de sa résilience aux cours des différents cycles passés. A l’issue de la publication et d...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

CAF : Q1 below forecasts, but guidance is confirmed and can be reached

>Q1 2024: sales up 6% and EBIT margin up 10bp to 4.7% - CAF reported its Q1 2024 results yesterday evening. Orders were down 42% to € 444m, bringing the book-to-bill ratio to well below 1x (0.44x). The backlog therefore declined to € 13.6bn. We think that this order level, although weak, does not pose a problem for the group as the pipeline is so well stocked. Moreover, CAF has announced contracts for a value of € 350m since the start of April. Sales reached € 1,...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

CAF : Un T1 en-dessous des attentes, mais la guidance est confirmée et...

>T1 2024 : CA en croissance de 6% et marge d’EBIT en hausse de 10 pb à 4.7% - CAF a publié hier soir ses résultats T1 2024. Les commandes sont en recul de 42% à 444 M€, portant le book-to-bill largement en-dessous de 1x (0.44x). Le carnet de commandes est donc en baisse à 13.6 Md€. Nous estimons que ce niveau de commandes, certes faible, n’est pas un problème pour le groupe tant le pipeline est fourni. CAF a d’ailleurs annoncé des contrats pour une valeur de 350 M€ de...

 PRESS RELEASE

PGS Contract Award in West Africa

PGS Contract Award in West Africa May 10, 2024, Oslo, Norway: PGS is awarded a 4D contract in West Africa for an international energy company. Mobilization is scheduled for early September. The contract has a total duration of approximately 65 days, with an option to extend. “We are very pleased with this contract award, securing visibility for another of our vessels well into the fourth quarter. After completion of scheduled acquisitions programs during the Northern Europe summer season we will steam a vessel to West Africa to commence this contract. By combining the Ramform acquisition p...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen

Positive outlook for merged entity

Q1 gave no reason for significant estimate changes. Merger with TGS will be good for PGS. A clear BUY, TP NOK of 12 (unch.)

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Alstom : 1 Md€ d’augmentation de capital et 750 M€ de dette hybride po...

>Un FCF de 562 M€ au S2, en ligne avec les objectifs - Alstom publie ce matin ses résultats annuels (clôture à fin mars) 2023-24. Les commandes atteignent 19 Md€ (book-to-bill 1.08x), permettant au carnet de commandes d’atteindre les 91.9 Md€. Le chiffre d’affaires progresse de 9.4% en comparable, à 17.6 Md€ et la marge d’EBIT ajusté atteint 5.7% (+50 pb). Ces chiffres sont globalement en ligne avec les attentes. Le résultat net intègre 147 M€ de charges de restr...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Knorr-Bremse AG : The effects of the strategic plan are clearly visibl...

>A good Q1 2024, ahead of expectations for both divisions - Knorr-Bremse reported yesterday morning better-than-expected Q1 2024 results, despite a consensus which had adjusted upwards in recent weeks. The order intake topped expectations in both divisions at a consolidated € 2.11bn (css at € 1.95bn), i.e. a book-to-bill of 1.07x.The group generated revenues of € 1,974m (css € 1,962m), up 6.1% organically (css 5.1%), and an operating EBIT margin of 12.1% (cs...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Alstom : Bientôt un nouveau chapitre, après l’augmentation de capital

>2.4 Md€ de mesures inorganiques pour renforcer le bilan – suffisant selon nous - Comme anticipé, Alstom a détaillé hier comment allaient s’articuler les 2 Md€ de mesures inorganiques : i/ 700 M€ de cash provenant des cessions (TMH et signalisation conventionnelle), ii/ 1 Md€ d’augmentation de capital, avec droits préférentiels de souscription. CDPQ et BPI, qui détiennent respectivement 17.4% et 7.5% du capital, participeront à l’opération, et iii/ l’émission d’une de...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Alstom : New chapter starting, after the capital increase

>€ 2.4bn in inorganic measures to bolster the balance sheet – should be enough in our view - As expected, Alstom yesterday detailed how the € 2bn of inorganic measures would be structured: i/ € 700m of cash from disposals (TMH and conventional signalling), ii/ a € 1bn capital increase, with preferential subscription rights. CDPQ and BPI, which hold 17.4% and 7.5% of the capital respectively, will take part in the operation, and iii/ the issue of hybrid debt for € 750m...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Knorr-Bremse AG : Les effets du plan stratégique clairement visibles s...

>Un bon T1 2024, au-dessus des attentes dans les deux divisions - Knorr-Bremse a publié hier matin des résultats T1 2024 meilleurs qu’attendu, malgré un consensus qui s’était ajusté à la hausse ces dernières semaines. Les prises de commandes étaient supérieures aux attentes dans les deux divisions à 2.11 Md€ au niveau consolidé (css à 1.95 Md€), soit 1.07x de book-to-bill.Le groupe a réalisé un chiffre d’affaires de 1 974 M€ (css à 1 962 M€), en hausse de 6....

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

PGS (Hold, TP: NOK8.50) - Negative underlying FCF

Q1 EBITDA was below expectations, on higher costs. While cash conversion appeared exceptionally strong, we believe it was driven by non-recurring items, leaving underlying cash flow much weaker than headline figures suggest. We forecast negative underlying FCF in 2024, adjusting for arbitration proceeds received in Q1. Expecting soft vessel utilisation in Q2 as well, due to steaming and yard stays, we have reduced our 2024e EBITDA by 7%. We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to NO...

 PRESS RELEASE

Carmila: Réduction des moyens du contrat de liquidité

PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Par contrat en date du 3 novembre 2023 la société Carmila SA (Paris:CARM) a confié à Kepler Cheuvreux la mise en œuvre d’un Contrat de Liquidité. Ce Contrat de Liquidité, doté d’un montant initial de 124 528 Actions et 971 454,65 Euros, renouvelable annuellement par tacite reconduction, a pour objet l'animation des actions de la société Carmila SA (ISIN : FR0010828137) sur le marché réglementé de Euronext Paris. Afin de réajuster l’enveloppe mise à disposition de ce contrat, il a été procédé, en date du 07/05/2024, à un retrait de 78 000 Actions ...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

TALGO: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 166,5 M euros (+31,4% vs +28,9% consenso); EBITDA: 20,1 M euros (+30,5% vs +21,4% consenso); BDI: 10,4 M euros (+333,3% vs +137,5% consenso).

Gerardo Ibanez ... (+2)
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/08/2024 Date Performance sin...

Unifiedpost is a niche SaaS player in the e-invoicing and procurement channel space. Regulatory headwinds mean this market is ripe for growth, which should benefit Unifiedpost. Due to some unsuccessful past M&A, the company is in a challenging financial position today. However, it has recently embarked on a divestment path, aiming to streamline the business and improve its fundamentals. We like the new direction, however prefer to take a wait-and-see approach. - ...

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