HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: buying the dip (stays BUY) • CTP: great story, fairly valued (downgraded to HOLD) • PCF Group: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.37%, while WP TV at 0.46% in November 2025 NEUTRAL • Budimex: plans to pay out 100% of net income in dividends in 2025-29E NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: finalises agreement with Microsoft on licence for Game Pass POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: October Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the years ahead – 2026-27E • Rainbow Tours: consolidated October sales 20.7% higher yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales 14% higher yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: c.PLN 105m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: c.PLN 120m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • mBank: PLN 125m positive DTA revaluation and estimated 2026E CIT increase impact NEUTRAL • LPP: PLN 788m write-down of Russian assets NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: ...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: value á la carte (upgraded to BUY) • Diagnostyka: 3Q25 results in line with expectations; strong demand continues POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 3Q25 EBITDA below our forecasts, following weaker gross margin and higher SG&As NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tauron: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEUTRAL...
HEADLINES: • OTE: multiple tailwinds supporting the equity story (stays BUY) • PZU: very strong 3Q25 bottom line, strong beat vs. expectations, but slower revenue growth raises questions for the future POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q25 above expectations; FY25E guidance trimmed due to slower November NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 2% above our forecast and 11% above ...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: tempting, but tricky (downgraded to HOLD) • Bank Handlowy: posts neutral set of 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Krka: 3Q25 results – positive surprise in the gross margin POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 3Q25 miss on gross margin compression NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 2Q FY26 – 10% EBIT beat on lower CASKX POSITIVE • DataWalk: actual 3Q25 numbers fully in line with th...
Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
NLB reported its 3Q25 results yesterday (6 November), delivering net profit of EUR 131.6m, down 3% yoy, but slightly ahead of our expectations and materially ahead of the consensus (a 9.2% beat). Good loan book development and top-line performance beat the consensus by 3% (even if most of it was sponsored by other income), the opex was materially better than both our and the consensus expectations, and the provisions booked during the quarter were slightly higher than we were expecting (but in l...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 3Q25 trading update – strong execution, guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Otokar: 3Q25 results – weak EBITDA, low quality bottom-line beat NEGATIVE • Tofas: 3Q25 results miss expectations NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: controlling shareholder ALMEX announces intention to dispose of stake NEGATIVE • CIS+ macro: on the ground in Central Asia – reform stories enter the next phase • Brisa: guiding lower for FY25E revenues growth, but higher for EBITDA margin NEUTRAL • CEZ: natio...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q25 beat, mostly on one-off, but core result also stronger; current valuation levels justified, while waiting for finalisation of acquisition in Poland POSITIVE • Brisa: delivers 3Q25 earnings turnaround POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 financial results review – mixed NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 3Q25 results – operating recovery overshadowed by bottom-line losses NEUTRAL • Yapi Kredi: 3Q25 – first look • ADNOC Distribution: 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 3Q25 high...
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