MSCI ACWI and EM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea to Overweight We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115). ACWI-US is now breaking out above 6-month resistance to all-time highs and EEM-US is breaking above $47, further confirming our bullish outl...
The recent announcement of the application of trade tariffs by the Trump administration led to a sharp correction in oil prices amidst fears of an economic slowdown as a result of a full-blown trade war. We are adopting a more cautious scenario, with oil prices now expected to reach $ 67/b for 2025, $ 65/b for 2026 and $ 67/b in the longer term. Our 2025-2030 capex scenario has been lowered by 5% and our EPS expectations by 13% on average over 2025-2027, whilst our target prices have been lowere...
La récente annonce de mise en place de droits de douanes par l’administration Trump a entraîné une vive correction des cours du pétrole sur fond de crainte de ralentissement économique à la suite d’une véritable guerre commerciale. Nous adoptons un scenario plus prudent avec un baril désormais attendu respectivement à 67 $ sur2025, 65 $ 2026 et 67 $ sur le LT. Notre scénario de Capex 2025/30 a été abaissé de 5% et nos attentes de BPA de 13% en moyenne sur 2025/27 et nos OC de 10%. Nous privilégi...
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