Please find enclosed our daily market report.Market CommentCroatia European industrial production falls in May; Croatia recovers Building permits issued in May up nearly 10% YoY Slovenia NLB raises takeover bid for Addiko by 10% to EUR 22 per share Romania EBRD makes minority equity investment in Arobs Transilvania Software Hidroelectrica’s CIO Bogdan Badea sells RON 133,000 worth of shares Romania's current account deficit widens 34% YoY to EUR 9.17 bln in January-May 2024 ...
We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: AD Plastik Arena Hospitality Group Bittnet Ciech Conpet Dogus Otomotiv Ekspress Grupp Fintel Energija Immofinanz Kcell Kernel KGHM Komercijalna Banka NLB Banka Petrol Group S Immo Sava Re Shelly Group (formerly Allterco) STS Group Turk Telekom Turkcell Ulker Zagreb Stock Exchange
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: a transformation story worth paying for (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkey macro: CBT surprises with a bold move • Asseco Poland: 2Q23 review - net profit down 13% yoy, 2% above the preliminaries POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: weak 2Q23, slightly above expectations; upward revision of games' production budget NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q23 in line with the preliminary figures NEUTRAL • Budimex: may win EUR 3.7bn Rail Baltica contract (BDX's stake at 30%) POSITIVE • Electrica:...
During the second quarter, we finally see stabilization of the Group’s operations due to a gradual recovery in the supply of semiconductors, leading to an increase in car production. Consequently, in H1 2023 AD Plastik Group recorded an increase in sales revenue of 10.6% YoY, amounting to EUR 62.5m. However, Group’s real recovery still remains to be seen. Also, we note that one factory in Russia does still not work, while another one produces at reduced capacities. Nevertheless, the Group has...
In Q1 2023 AD Plastik Group recorded a drop in sales revenue of 6.3% YoY, amounting to EUR 30.8m. The sales revenues noted a further decrease mainly on the back of lower revenues from Russia. However, it should be emphasized that Group finally sees indicated relief from the semiconductor shortage in the European market, which, consequently, resulted in an increase in customer orders. However, Group’s real recovery still remains to be seen. Finally, we note that one factory in Russian does sti...
In FY AD Plastik Group recorded a drop in sales revenue of 26.6% YoY, amounting to HRK 809.2m. This is the result of a few factors: ongoing semiconductor shortage, supply chain problems, increase in input prices and the Russian invasion of Ukraine combined with economic uncertainty. In the last quarter, most western car manufacturers and Russian car manufacturers stopped their production activities. This, consequently, forced their suppliers to do the same, as their input products have no end...
In 9M AD Plastik Group recorded a drop in sales revenue of 24.9% YoY, amounting to HRK 612.1m. This is the result of a few factors: ongoing semiconductor shortage, supply chain problems, increase in input prices and the Russian invasion of Ukraine combined with economic uncertainty. In the previous quarter, most western car manufacturers and Russian car manufacturers stopped their production activities. This, consequently, forced their suppliers to do the same, as their input products have no...
EME Equity Market – September 2022 Market performance – in a rough month for the markets, Turkey emerges as the top-performing region, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 8.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.7% mom in USD in September; while the ISE index outperformed all the other indices once again, but with a muted performance this time, adding just 1.0% mom in EUR terms and 0.1% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded negative performances, with the Czech PX Index losing 4....
HEADLINES: • EME macro/strategy: shock therapy to curb inflation, but test institutions and keep FX pressure high • Fintel Energija: growth without windfall taxes or price caps (stays BUY) • AD Plastik: fairly valued until the risks fade away (stays HOLD) • Polish banks: resolution procedures begin for Getin Noble Bank • PKO BP and PZU: are buying shares in PKN Orlen from the State Treasury NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: to pay PLN 53m into the mortgagors' support fund in 2022E NEUTRAL • PCF Group: ...
We maintain our HOLD rating on AD Plastik, but reduce our 12M price target (PT) to HRK 84 (from HRK 88), implying 9% upside. We now see slightly higher EU revenues in 2022E and 2023E, but scale down Russia, following the announcement of the partial mobilisation, which we expect to affect both supply and demand negatively. With our 80% yoy drop in Russian sales this year, and no improvements in 2023E, we believe the downside potential from the Russian market remains limited, with only a new wave ...
Two Directors at Ad Plastik d.d bought 9,725 shares at 85.820HRK. The significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
HEADLINES: • Romanian oil and gas: value from the deep (OMV Petrom and Romgaz stay BUY - transfer of coverage) • AD Plastik: out-of-luck hero (stays HOLD) • Wirtualna Polska: acquires Szallas Group for EUR 82m POSITIVE • GEK Terna: signs land agreement with Lamda for Hellinikon • Short News (PPC)
We stick to our HOLD rating on AD Plastik, but reduce our 12M price target (PT) by half, to HRK 88/share (from HRK 176), implying 10% upside. With the European market performing weaker than expected this year and the inevitable revenue hit from Russia, we are more cautious in our mid-term forecasts. We expect solid revenue growth next year already, but it will take some time before the increasing costs are matched by higher product prices, and we do not see margin normalisation before 2024E. Mor...
In H1 AD Plastik Group recorded a drop in sales revenue of 29.8% YoY, amounting to HRK 425.7m. This is the result of a few factors: ongoing semiconductor shortage, supply chain problems, increase in input prices and the Russian invasion of Ukraine combined with economic uncertainty. Due to the geopolitical situation, most western car manufacturers and Russian car manufacturers have stopped their production activities. This, consequently, forced their suppliers to do the same, as their input p...
EME Equity Market – July 2022 Market performance – markets mostly up during the month, but Russia’s MOEX down 9.4% in EUR terms. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 2.3% mom in EUR, but lost 0.5% mom in USD in July. The Greek ASE Index was the best performing benchmark, advancing 5.0% mom in EUR. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 4.4% mom and 6.5% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Romania’s BET Index gained 1.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.3% mom in local currency, while Turkey’s ISE20 added...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: solid 2Q22 results, 2022E guidance upgrade likely after 3Q22E • Santander Bank Polska: posts stellar adjusted profits in 2Q22, as NII doubles yoy POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: strong 2Q22 results, above our expectations, but in line with the consensus POSITIVE • OMV: 2Q22 results review - solid beat vs. consensus expectations POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 2Q22 results - EBITDAaL up 6% yoy, 2% above our estimate and the consensus POSITIVE • Akbank: 2Q22 highlights - guidanc...
In Q1 AD Plastik Group recorded a drop in sales revenue of 24% YoY. This is the result of the stoppage of production in Russia, as car manufacturers in that market have stopped their production activities because of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and economic uncertainty. The European factories of AD Plastik Group have been working according to plans, although due to the lack of semiconductors, the customers’ production capacities were reduced. In FY 2021, AD Plastik generated 27% of the tot...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 1Q22 results review - strong beat vs. market's expectations • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q22 results review - in line with our expectations and 5% ahead of consensus • Akbank: 1Q22 results highlights - better than expected, due to trading • Turkish Airlines: 1Q22 yet another strong quarter, continued recovery of traffic and yield strength POSITIVE • Tofas: 1Q22 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Turk Telekom: 1Q22 - results in line, no guidance change NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 1...
In Q4 AD Plastik Group recorded a drop in sales revenue of 12.3% YoY. This is the result of a shortage in the supply of new cars on the market in FY 2021 due to disruptions in the supply of semiconductors. Producers have slowed down vehicle production, which has in turn negatively influenced the production of spare parts and sales of AD Plastik. Group’s Q4 sales revenues reported an increase of 47.6% compared to Q3, indicating a stabilization in the overall automobile sector. Also, Q4 2020 wa...
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