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FIMA Research
  • FIMA Research

Fima Daily Insight 16 May 2024

Please find enclosed our daily market report.Market CommentCroatia HNB: GDP could increase 3.9% on year in Q1 2024 Croatia's building permits down 8.5% YoY in March Slovenia Krka reports record-high sales revenue and profit NLB announces takeover intention for Addiko Bank shares Romania Electrica switches to RON 128 mil net profit in Q1’24 Conpet Ploiesti reports RON 13 mil net profit for Q1’24, down 28.1% YoY Transport Trade Services’ net profit down 64% YoY in Q1’24 Romania...

Yapi ve Kredi Bankasi A.S.: Key facts and statistics - Q1 March 2024

A summary company profile, detailing YKB’s business operations and financial highlights.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; MTELEKOM HB; PBK RO; GEV CP; MBR PW; DAT PW; IGN1L...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...

Šiaulių bankas AB: 1 director

A director at Šiaulių bankas AB sold 77,000 shares at 0.707EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

 PRESS RELEASE

Notifications on the transactions concluded by manager in issuer's sec...

Notifications on the transactions concluded by manager in issuer's securities Šiaulių Bankas AB, company code 112025254, address of the head office Tilžės str. 149, Šiauliai, Lithuania. Šiaulių bankas AB has received the notifications of manager on transactions in securities issued by the bank (see attachment).  Deputy Head of Securities Operations Department Inga Lasauskaitė is authorized by the Issuer to provide additional information and is available on tel.: . Attachments

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...

HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Harvard Business School publishes Kaspi.kz case study

Harvard Business School publishes Kaspi.kz case study ALMATY, Kazakhstan, May 14, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (“Kaspi.kz”) (Nasdaq: KSPI) announces that the company is the subject of a Harvard Business School (HBS) case study ‘Kaspi.kz: Building Trust through Innovation’. This is the second Kaspi.kz case study, following on from HBS’s 2019 case study ‘Kaspi.kz IPO’. HBS’s latest Kaspi.kz case study examines how the company’s unique corporate culture, including its obsession with the quality of its services has helped Kaspi.kz to build the trust of its custom...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; EUR PW; BIMAS TI; RICHT HB; ARABIAND AB; CE4/GR Ma...

HEADLINES: • CEZ: 1Q24 – strong beat on supply and generation POSITIVE • Eurocash: weak 1Q24 across the board NEGATIVE • BIM: 4Q23 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Richter: 1Q24 operations in line, net beat on FX revaluation NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 1Q24 interim results – net income below expectations NEUTRAL • CE4/Greece macro: the consumption recovery – pivoting from necessities to discretionary • Türkiye macro: our takes from our Symposium; a focus on Coca-Cola Icecek, Tupras, and Aselsan ...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Photon Energy Group Secures EUR 15 Million Multi-Tranche Pro...

Issuer: Photon Energy NV / Key word(s): Financing Photon Energy Group Secures EUR 15 Million Multi-Tranche Project Financing from EBRD 14.05.2024 / 08:35 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Photon Energy Group Secures EUR 15 Million Multi-Tranche Project Financing from EBRD   The agreement was signed with Europen Bank for Reconstruction and Development to finance six solar PV power plants with a combined capacity of 29 MWp and the capacity market auctions and the research and development CapEx of Lerta S.A. The senior secured...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Photon Energy Group sichert sich 15-Millionen-Euro-Projektfi...

Emittent / Herausgeber: Photon Energy NV / Schlagwort(e): Finanzierung Photon Energy Group sichert sich 15-Millionen-Euro-Projektfinanzierung in mehreren Tranchen von der EBRD 14.05.2024 / 08:35 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Photon Energy Group sichert sich 15-Millionen-Euro-Projektfinanzierung in mehreren Tranchen von der EBRD   Die Finanzierung wurde mit der Europäischen Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung unterzeichnet, um sechs PV-Kraftwerke mit einer Gesamtkapazität von 29 MWp sowie die Kapazitätsmarktkaution...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Food Retail: Navigating stormy waters of deflation and price war

As food deflation risks increasingly diverge from one market to another, we take a fresh look at local price war risks and at the sector earnings cycle. We remain puzzled by the YTD sector derating and underperformance while FY 2024-25 expected EPS growth is still strong. Many investors seem to be

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

MOL slightly missed market consensus in Q1 2024.

Key Message Group-level clean CCS EBITDA totalled USD 718 mn in Q1 2024, falling 3% shortof market consensus and 5% below Concorde estimates. While the consumerservices segment delivered a positive surprise, the Petrochemical segment underperformed expectations. We anticipate that these results may slightly disappoint investors. However, thecompany is set to pay a HUF 250 dividend, offering an 8% yield, which is exceptional among Hungarian blue-chips. The ex-dividend date is scheduled for May2...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TLV RO; ADNOCDRI UH; OTKAR TI; TBCG LN; ELM AB; ISCTR TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: NIM resilience and strong loan book expansion the key positives of 1Q24 bottom-line beat, on non-recurring revenue, low provisions and a one-off POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 1Q24 results – new venture and updated dividend policy POSITIVE • Otokar: lacklustre 1Q24 results, but strong backlog NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 1Q24 results and conference call NEUTRAL • Elm: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Isbank: 1Q24 highlights – margin pressure worsening • Polish banks: ...

Jumbo SA: 1 director

A director at Jumbo SA sold 4,000,000 shares at 0.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...

Research Team
  • Research Team
BRE MBANK SA
MOL MOL NYRT ... (+15)

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...

Egor Fedorov ... (+4)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating

Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.

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