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Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Becoming more innovative; valuation increasingly att...

China’s healthcare industry has experienced a slump in stock prices due to weak market sentiment. Our channel check indicates that the industry is generally in good shape and has become increasingly innovative. Most healthcare companies are improving their operating efficiency and expecting to generate stronger revenue and/or earnings growth in 2024. The recent sell-off has made valuations more attractive. BUY on weakness. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Easing pressure from anti-corruption campaign, long-...

Most healthcare companies reported satisfactory 1H23 results while revising down revenue growth to factor in delays in some academic conferences and hospital procurement in 3Q23. As pressure from the anti-corruption campaign is easing, we believe sales activities of medical products will resume soon and that long-term growth outlook remains intact. We prefer companies with positive long-term outlooks and attractive valuations. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK): 1H23: Revenue rose 17.8% yoy due to...

WuXi Bio’s 1H23 revenue rose 17.8% yoy while adjusted net earnings were flat from 1H22. The slow revenue and earnings growth was mainly due to a significant decrease in COVID-19-related business. Revenue growth of 30% yoy remains a challenging target for 2023, while the improving global funding environment may benefit the company in obtaining an increasing number of new projects. Upgrade to HOLD with a higher target price of HK$47.00.

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+11)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 25, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/ HK$15.56/ Target: HK$14.50) 1H23: Margins deteriorated further; better visibility of recovery in 2H23. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$69.95/Target: HK$95.00) 1H23: VONB in line; margin slumps a concern. Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb18.02/Target: Rmb26.00) 1H23: Satisfactory results; strong demand to further boost revenue growth. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.11/Target: HK$6.30) 1H23: Earnings continue to thrive despit...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+17)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, August 25, 2023

GREATER CHINA Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/ HK$15.56/ Target: HK$14.50): 1H23: Margins deteriorated further; better visibility of recovery in 2H23. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$69.95/Target: HK$95.00): 1H23: VONB in line; margin slumps a concern. Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb18.02/Target: Rmb26.00): 1H23: Satisfactory results; strong demand to further boost revenue growth. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.11/Target: HK$6.30): 1H23: Earnings continue to thrive despite...

Samsung Biologics Co Ltd: 1 director

A director at Samsung Biologics Co Ltd bought 1,050 shares at 731,286.000KRW and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last tw...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Underpenetrated ICL market in China; leading leading...

ICL is a promising segment of medical services. China’s ICL market had a low penetration rate of about 6% in 2021 vs developed countries’ 35-60%. The roll-out of DRG programmes continues to accelerate the outsourcing of testing services from hospitals. The accelerating post-pandemic market consolidation may also benefit leading ICL players. Our channel check shows that leading players (KingMed and Dian) expect to deliver steady growth in 2023 non-COVID-19-related revenue. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Global CDMOs - Overcapacity is Coming (Thematic Research)

We have calculated the significant supply about to enter the biologics manufacturing space & analysed demand growth. Whilst the market assumes an improvement in utilisation from 2024, we forecast there will be significant overcapacity in the coming years resulting in even lower utilisation at an industry level. Our detailed bottom-up analysis shows that total mammalian cell supply is set to grow by 11% p.a. 2023-26 but demand is set to grow just 8% p.a. over the same period. However, much more c...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK): Expect slow revenue growth of about...

Management estimated WuXi Bio’s revenue growth at 10% yoy in 1H23. The company maintained its revenue growth guidance of 30% yoy in 2023. We anticipate a cloudy growth outlook for WuXi Bio in 2023 as the global biotech funding environment remains challenging. Downgrade to SELL with a lower target price of HK$30.00 to reflect possibly slower revenue growth and continued margin pressure.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+8)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, June 21, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Aviation Airlines: Expecting strong summer peak travel; equity-raisings still an overhang. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Internet 618 shopping gala – Price war reignited amid tempered consumption. Update WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK/SELL/HK$38.75/Target: HK$30.00) Expect slow revenue growth of about 10% yoy in 1H23. Downgrade to SELL. Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/NOT RATED/HK$8.22) Store visit and management takeaways: 618 mid-teens growth, soft tone on sales in Jun...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+13)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, June 21, 2023

REGIONAL Sector Plantation: Thailand, the third-largest CPO-producing country, is adding planting area by converting land used for other crops. The dry weather in 1Q23 is affecting production in 2H23. GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: Expecting strong summer peak travel; equity-raisings still an overhang. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Internet: 618 shopping gala – Price war reignited amid tempered consumption. Update WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK/SELL/HK$38.75/Target: HK$30.00): Expect slow r...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare - Regaining Strength

Now that the business environment has returned to normal, most healthcare companies expect higher visibility of revenue and earnings prospects in 2023. Medical services and consumable producers will likely benefit the most and see robust revenue expansion. CRO/CDMO firms may become less appealing to investors given their slower revenue growth and lower margin trend. Biotech firms have made significant R&D and commercial achievements, but will still face significant funding challenges in 2023. Ma...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK): 2022: Adjusted net profit up 48.5% ...

WuXi Bio’s revenue and adjusted net profit rose 48.4% yoy and 48.5% yoy respectively in 2022. It targets revenue growth at over 30% in 2023, supported by the robust growth of non-COVID-19 revenue. Gross margin may be under pressure in the next 2-3 years as new overseas facilities are put into use. The company expects net earnings to grow at 26-27% yoy in 2023. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$70.00 to reflect the slower revenue growth and continued margin pressure.

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+9)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jessie Guo Yuting
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu

Greater China Daily: Friday, March 24, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/ HK$17.34/ Target: HK$19.00) 4Q22: Impacted by optics again, management expecting recovery from 2H23. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$9.00/Target: HK$11.69) 2022: Results beat with stable segment margins; reiterating 30% growth target. WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK/BUY/HK$50.70/Target: HK$70.00) 2022: Adjusted net profit up 48.5% yoy; slower revenue growth in 2023. Zhongsheng Group Holdings (881 HK/SELL/HK$36.40/Targe...

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+13)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Hazmy Hazin
  • Jessie Guo Yuting
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, March 24, 2023

GREATER CHINA Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/ HK$17.34/ Target: HK$19.00): 4Q22: Impacted by optics again, management expecting recovery from 2H23. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$9.00/Target: HK$11.69): 2022: Results beat with stable segment margins; reiterating 30% growth target. WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK/BUY/HK$50.70/Target: HK$70.00): 2022: Adjusted net profit up 48.5% yoy; slower revenue growth in 2023. Zhongsheng Group Holdings (881 HK/SELL/HK$36.40/Target: ...

Greater China Research Team ... (+6)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - February 2023

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We expect consolidation in February, as investors await management guidance for 2023 in the upcoming earnings season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jan 23, Add HMSP: Our picks: HMSP, ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, EXCL, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Off To A Strong Start In January: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in January. Feb 23 picks: BAT, Genting Malaysia, Hap Seng Plantations, Malaysia A...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) (2269 HK): Targets revenue to expand 30% yoy i...

WuXi Bio has entered into a licence agreement with GSK on multiple novel bi- and multi-specific TCE antibodies. With strong R&D and service capabilities, the company is confident it can obtain 120 new integrated projects and expects to deliver resilient revenue growth of over 30% yoy in 2023. Having achieved cash flow breakeven in 2022, the company indicates there is no need to use equity financing to fund its business expansion. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$95.00.

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