reports
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Record quarterly cash flow
Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) Q324 results, announced 7 November, showed a less than 1% variance for the quarter relative to our forecasts at the earnings level. Notably, however, three mines (Constancia, Stillwater and Voisey’s Bay) outperformed our expectations in terms of production but underperformed in terms of sales. This arguably sets up the potential for a rebound in Q4 when Wheaton’s streaming partners traditionally flush through sales ahead of the end of the financial year. Note tha...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Salobo tasting sweet
Ahead of Wheaton’s scheduled Q3 results after the bell on Thursday 7 November, we have adjusted our earnings forecasts for the quarter to take account of generally higher precious metals prices, lower production and sales at Penasquito, Constancia and San Dimas, but higher production and sales at Salobo. Specifically, Vale’s announcement that Salobo produced 46.6kt of copper in Q3 implies gold production attributable to Wheaton of 65,019oz ±3,480oz (cf 54,750oz previously forecast). As a result,...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Downgrading Health Care to Underweight Our outlook remains bullish following the S&P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670-5783, alongside constructive market dynamics. The market is quite clearly telling us that the path of least resistance is higher. We would treat any pre-election pullback (if it comes) as a buying opportunity, and we expect to see support on the SPX at 5760 and 5655-5670. The prior two election years (2016 and 2020) saw 5% and 10% pullbacks, respectfully, during Septem...
NLM FROSTA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SUM SUMMIT MATERIALS INC. CLASS A
WYNN WYNN RESORTS LIMITED
NCLH NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTD.
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LVS LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP.
HL HECLA MINING COMPANY
BYD BOYD GAMING CORPORATION
MAG. MAG SILVER CORP.
SVM. SILVERCORP METALS
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
POH3 CARNIVAL PLC
USLM U.S. LIME & MINERALS
USA.. AMERICAS SILVER CORP
WPM WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP
PTM. PLATINUM GROUP METALS LTD.
CZR CAESARS ENTERTAINMENT INC
KNF KNIFE RIVER CORPORATION
FVI. FORTUNA MINING CORP
COE 51TALK ONLINE EDUCATION GROUP
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Continuing where Q1 left off
Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) Q224 results exceeded our forecasts, as well as the market’s. In general, WPM produced more than we had expected during the quarter, albeit sales were in line. As such, the main points of variance were G&A costs (US$1.9m better) and ‘other’ income (also US$1.9m better) to result in earnings that were US$6.6m (5.7%) above our estimates. We have upgraded our earnings forecasts by a modest 2.4% for FY24 in light of the Q2 results. In the meantime, our forecasts for ...
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp: 1 director
A director at Wheaton Precious Metals Corp sold 15,850 shares at 73.500CAD and the significance rating of the trade was 88/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - A strong start to FY24
Wheaton’s (WPM’s) Q124 results exceeded both our and the market’s forecasts. It produced more (with the single exception of gold, which recorded a small negative variance in production) and sold more at higher prices than our prior expectations for the period. This led to a positive 5.6% (US$15.8m) variance in sales that was minimally counteracted by a US$0.8m negative variance in costs (including G&A costs) to result in a US$15.3m (10.3%) positive variance in pre-tax profits that, to all intent...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging & Frontier Markets The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days -- and even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). The Fed's next move is almost guaranteed to be a cut (though when it happens is up for debate). And ...
GBX GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC.
HL HANNIBAL LEASE
WLK WESTLAKE CHEMICAL CORPORATION
TRN TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC.
OEC ORION ENGINEERED CARBONS SA
KOP KOPPERS HOLDINGS INC.
BAK BRASKEM S/A ADS
MX. METHANEX CORPORATION
EDR. ENDEAVOUR SILVER CORP.
SVM. SILVERCORP METALS
FR. FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP.
FVI. FORTUNA SILVER MINES INC.
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
CENX CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY
GATX GATX CORPORATION
KALU KAISER ALUMINUM CORPORATION
RAIL FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC.
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
VVV VALVOLINE INC.
AA ALCOA CORPORATION
FSTR L.B. FOSTER CO.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
WPM WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP
NOHA NORSK HYDRO ASA ADS
AWCMY ALUMINA LTD ADS
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CDE COEUR MINING INC
PLG PULDIN LION GROUP REIT-SOFIA
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Celebrating the Ides of March
Wheaton’s (WPM’s) Q4/FY23 results were released after the market close on 14 March, within the context of known metals sales and almost known production. Even so, net earnings were US$2.9m (or 1.8%) better than our prior forecast for the quarter, largely as a result of achieved metals prices that were higher than average market prices. Otherwise, the quarter was characterised by accelerated levels of investment into underlying mineral streams and the announcement of a new, progressive dividend p...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Putting WPM onto GMT
On 20 February, Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) announced that it had produced 14,615oz (15.2%) and sold 18,618oz (19.3%) more gold than our prior expectations for Q423, and produced 326koz (7.8%) and sold 530koz (20.0%) more silver. As a result, ahead of Q423/FY23 results scheduled for 14 March, we have increased our EPS forecast for Q423 by 25.3%, to close to the top of the range of market expectations for both the quarter and the full year.
- Sid Rajeev
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Putting net cash to work
On 15 November, Wheaton Precious Metals acquired three streams from Ivanhoe’s Platreef project in South Africa, BMC Minerals’ Kudz Ze Kayah project in the Yukon and Dalradian’s Curraghinalt project in Northern Ireland. In summary, the streams allow for varying purchases of precious metals by Wheaton at varying prices and we calculate that the trio will add an initial c 26.3koz of gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) to WPM’s production profile from FY25, rising to c 35.4koz GEOs when all three are in p...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Teeing up to hit long-term targets
Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) Q323 profits exceeded our prior forecasts by US$4.0m (or 3.4%) at the pre-tax level and by US$4.2m (or 3.6%) at the post-tax level, driven by very strong production performances at Salobo and Constancia in particular. Production during the quarter amounted to 154,800oz gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) compared to our prior estimate of 151,919oz, as a consequence of which our FY23 production forecast remains within the company’s 600–660koz GEO guidance range, while o...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Honing Q323 numbers
Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) Q323 results are scheduled for 9 November. This note adjusts our forecasts – principally for Q3 – for metals prices ( 0.3% simple average for the quarter since our last note), Penasquito (returning to production from mid October, rather than end August), a new life of mine production profile at Constancia (in the aftermath of a site visit in late September) and production at Salobo, Sudbury and Voisey’s Bay (in the aftermath of Vale’s production and sales report ...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Peerless
Wheaton’s Q223 results exceeded our expectations. Production of gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) was 4.6% higher than our prior forecasts, while sales of GEOs were 6.9% higher, driving a positive variance in revenue of 6.6%, or US$16.4m. This was partially offset by costs but nevertheless resulted in a US$7.8m (or 5.4%) positive variance in earnings from operations that, to all intents and purposes, dropped through to the bottom line.
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Honing Q223 forecasts
Ahead of Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) Q223 results, scheduled for 10 August, we have honed our forecasts to reflect, principally (1) Newmont’s suspension of mining at Penasquito since 8 June, (2) updated metals prices, (3) estimated production from Salobo in the light of Vale’s Q223 production and sales report (released on 18 July) and (4) the closure of the Minto mine on 13 May. As a result, we have reduced our Q223 basic EPS forecast by 5 US cents per share to 28 cents per share and our FY...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Q123 in line; looking to H2
Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) net earnings for Q123 were US$2.6m (or 2.5%) better than our forecast. In general, production of precious metals was slightly higher than our expectations, but sales, costs and depletion were in line. Our forecasts for FY23 have therefore remained substantially unchanged. However, we note that the broader market appears to be reticent in incorporating higher precious metals prices into its earnings estimates.
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Setting the scene for FY24 and beyond
Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) released its Q422/FY22 financial results in the context of known production and sales volumes. As a result, financial results were very close to our prior expectations for both Q422 and FY22. The main (positive) variances were in depletion (US$3.3m) and ‘other’ income (US$1.9m), to result in net earnings that were US$5.0m better than our prior forecasts for both periods (equating to a positive percentage variance of 5.1% for the quarter and 1.0% for the full year).
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Adjusting for ‘major maintenance’ at Salobo ...
On 21 February 2023, Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) announced that it had produced and sold 286,985oz and 293,234oz gold, respectively, and 23,979koz and 21,570koz silver, respectively in FY22. Subject to any historical restatements in its FY22 financial results next week (possible but unlikely and very unlikely to be material), this implies that it produced and sold 66,025oz and 68,996oz gold and 5,353koz and 4,935koz silver, respectively, in Q4. In the case of gold, in particular, this was belo...
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Results closely in line with prior expectati...
Wheaton Precious Metals produced 159,852 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in Q322, of which it sold 138,824 GEOs, representing a positive variance of 2.8% and a negative variance of 0.7% relative to our prior estimates, respectively. Its adjusted net earnings were US$1.4m, or 1.6%, above our prior forecast at US$93.9m and the fourth quarterly dividend for the year was maintained at US$0.15/share. In the wake of Q3 results we have revised our forecasts for Q422 and FY22 only very fractionally.
- Alison Turner
Wheaton Precious Metals - Honing Q322 forecasts
Wheaton’s Q322 results are scheduled for 3 November after the market closes in Toronto. Ahead of their release, we have updated our forecasts to reflect recent moves in precious metals prices, forex, Wheaton’s share price and Vale’s Q322 production report (released on 17 October), which gives an indication of possible gold production at Salobo.
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