Mastercard Inc: 1 director

A director at Mastercard Inc sold 15,775 shares at 550.156USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Moody's Ratings assigns Aa3 rating to Mastercard's senior unsecured no...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned an Aa3 rating to Mastercard Incorporated's ("Mastercard") proposed senior unsecured notes issuance. The rating outlook is stable. The net proceeds from the debt issuance are expected to be used for general corporate purposes. RATINGS RATIONALE Mastercard's Aa3 ...

Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis

STRATEGY Market dynamics remain risk-on, and our outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5850 and 5600-5670. Shorter-term, the S&P 500 remains above the prior bull flag support (currently 5900) that we have discussed over the past two weeks in our Compass reports, and is coiling for a likely breakout above 6100 resistance. As discussed throughout the first half of January in our Compass reports, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tacti...

Visa Inc: 2 directors

Two Directors at Visa Inc sold/sold after exercising options/gave away 36,791 shares at between 0.000USD and 349.768USD. The significance rating of the trade was 78/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all ...

In-Payments: X Money and Musk: risks to PayPal (Venmo), Cash App and p...

X announced last week it was partnering with Visa to develop a real-time payment system in the US. Through Visa Direct, X Money Account will support an in-platform digital wallet and peer-to-peer payments connected to users’ debit cards, with an option to transfer funds to a bank account.

PayPal (BUY, TP: $100, +25%) - Solid beat at Q4; branded concerns appe...

PayPal reported another solid quarter, coming in ahead of expectations: 4% at transaction margin $ and 6% at non-GAAP EPS. Guidance for FY 25 suggests a small uplift to TM$ and EPS for the street though the bears seem (still) very focused on branded TPV growth.

Dropping Coverage

In-Payments: a new bi-weekly blog! Paze to be Fastlane? Click to Pay ...

To kick off 2025 we’re launching “In-Payments”, a bi-weekly blog which will leverage off recent news flow for a quick dive into what we see as key themes to be tracking across the Payments and broader Fintech space.

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Mastercard Incorporated - September 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

PYPL US (BUY, TP: $100, +12%) SQ US (Neutral, TP $70 - UR) CFPB overs...

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) issued a finalized version of a rule at the end of last week, saying it will soon supervise non-bank firms, including PayPal and Block, that offer financial services. With an inbound Trump, does this still matter?

Mastercard Incorporated: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its positive secular trends and high business stability, offset by its consistently elevated regulatory and litigation risks.

PYPL US (BUY, TP: $100, +25%) PayPal - Pillar Two tax / EPS risk for F...

We spoke to PayPal today for a broader Q3 wrap but specifically also to focus on Pillar Two, given this tax angle is the current topic du jour (and following Mastercard’s guide last week) and given market whispers that 10% of PayPal EPS could be at risk from FY 25. Such extreme estimates seem a stretch.

Money 20/20 USA - Key takeaways

While still recovering from the whirlwind of information we’re taking an initial crack at summarizing some of the key takeaways from attending the annual Money 20/20 USA jamboree in Las Vegas last week. While the subject of many discussions was quite predictable—did anybody mention AI?— insight came from conversations around ROI considerations for AI, Open banking/finance use cases and compliance, Real-time payments and the ever-present issue of Fraud.

PYPL US (BUY, TP: $100, +25%) Healthy Q3 beat; sneak preview for FY 25...

PayPal reported solid Q3s, coming in ahead of expectations: 4% at transaction margin $ and 11% at non-GAAP EPS. FY guidance for 2024 was lifted, and consensus will move up, although less so for Q4 once higher higher investment costs are factored in.

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Mastercard Incorporated and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 9 October 2024 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the con...

PYPL US (BUY, TP: $100, +28%) PayPal - Everywhere CAC/LTV modeling, A...

We are pushing up our mid-term TM$ estimates on PayPal. Whilst remaining very constructive on Fastlane as a key product driver (see Faster Lane, bigger destination, Aug 20th), we are incorporating stronger debit adoption into estimates, modelling in more detail the direct and flywheel effects of PayPal Everywhere (and indirectly Venmo) and looking in more detail at how CAC/LTV can make sense (push back has been on the 5% cash back incentive and the merit/effectiveness of reward schemes).