We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 243 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
The recovery has largely played out in Legacy, but growth rates keep accelerating. With agentic AI driving demand for traditional infrastructure, this could create positive surprises. Public-cloud growth also accelerates on broad-based strength across AI and traditional workloads. SaaS revenue growth remains in the low-teens with no sign of material reacceleration, suggesting that low-teens growth is becoming the new normal.
MSFT, Data center: Microsoft to rent site Open AI and Oracle discardedView: Bloomberg is reporting that Microsoft has agreed to terms to rent a 700 MW facility in Abilene. The site had been initially set for development to support Oracle and OpenAI requirements, but the latter seemingly walked away
A director at Cisco Systems Inc sold 4,892 shares at 77.974USD and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 30th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. AI is increasing capital intensity and productivity. Public cloud growth is approaching 35% YoY, constrained by capacity addition. Similar comments at every step of the supply chain: compute, m...
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