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Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q1 reporting continues

This week, Castellum and Balder reported Q1 results, Wihlborgs announced a new lease, and SBB corrected 2023 profits and dissolved Unobo. Norges Bank has signalled interest rates might stay higher for longer. K2A has halted preference dividend payments. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.69% for 2024e and 4.97% for 2025e.

 PRESS RELEASE

Notice of Yara Annual General Meeting 2024

Notice of Yara Annual General Meeting 2024 Yara International ASA will hold its Annual General Meeting on Tuesday, 28 May 2024 at 10:00 CEST. Notice of the Annual General Meeting together with all relevant documents is available at The Annual General Meeting will be held as a digital meeting with electronic voting via Lumi platform. It is also possible to cast votes or give proxy authorizations in advance. No pre-registration is required for shareholders who wish to participate, apart from nominee-registered shareholders. For detailed information about participation and voting, p...

 PRESS RELEASE

Innkalling til Yara generalforsamling 2024

Innkalling til Yara generalforsamling 2024 Yara International ASA vil avholde sin ordinære generalforsamling tirsdag, 28. mai 2024 kl. 10.00. Innkalling til generalforsamling og alle relevante dokumenter er publisert på Generalforsamlingen avholdes som et digitalt møte hvor aksjonærer kan stemme elektronisk via Lumi-plattformen. Det er også mulig å forhåndsstemme eller å gi fullmakt. Det gjelder ingen påmeldingsfrist for aksjonærer for å delta på generalforsamlingen, med unntak av aksjonærer som eier forvalterregistrerte aksjer. For mer informasjon om deltakelse og stemmegivning se Inn...

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Albert Broock
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Nordic banks – statistical update – Swedish bankruptcies April 2024

The total number of bankruptcies was up 65% y-o-y and up 16% m-o-m in April 2024. Corporate bankruptcies were up 81% y-o-y and up 16% m-o-m in April 2024.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Telenor (Buy, TP: NOK145, +14%) Q1 24: Good numbers, impressive FCF g...

Telenor has reported a good set of Q1 numbers, with SR and EBITDA c1% ahead, and FCF 49% ahead. FY24 guidance has not been lifted (but has been reiterated) despite the good Q1 numbers, with phasing of payments/items to impact FCF throughout the rest of the year, and this is perhaps a little disappointing, but momentum is clearly with Telenor at present, and if current trends persist, then guidance and estimates will move up.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Albert Broock
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Nordic banks – Statistical update - Norwegian lending March 2024

Total lending grew by 3.3% y-o-y (3.4% adjusted for FX effects) and 0.3% m-o-m. Last month, total lending was up 3.3% y-o-y.

Swedbank AB: 2 directors

A director at Swedbank AB bought 2,350 shares at 211.100SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 47/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
 PRESS RELEASE

Solid momentum into the year for Telenor

Solid momentum into the year for Telenor Telenor showed good momentum going into the first quarter with top-line growth in both the Nordics and Asia. "The first quarter was yet another solid quarter for Telenor. We continue to develop security services to protect our customers against digital attacks, and we see that it is important for our customers," says Sigve Brekke, CEO of Telenor. Services revenues in the first quarter ended at NOK 15.8 billion, corresponding to an organic increase of 5.6 per cent compared to the same period last year. EBITDA ended at NOK 8.5 billion, correspondin...

 PRESS RELEASE

God fart inn i året for Telenor

God fart inn i året for Telenor Telenor hadde god fart inn i første kvartal med solid topplinjevekst i både Norden og Asia.  – Første kvartal var nok et solid kvartal for Telenor. Vi fortsetter å utvikle sikkerhetstjenester som kan sikre våre kunder mot digitale angrep, og ser at det er viktig for kundene våre, sier Sigve Brekke, konsernsjef i Telenor. Tjenesteinntektene i første kvartal endte på 15,8 milliarder kroner, tilsvarende en organisk økning på 5,6 prosent sammenlignet med samme periode i fjor. EBITDA endte på 8,5 milliarder kroner, tilsvarende en organisk vekst på 6,9 prosent. ...

Yara International ASA: 2 directors

Two Directors at Yara International ASA bought/maiden bought 2,337 shares at between 315.000NOK and 316.600NOK. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the compa...

Wallenstam AB: 1 director

A director at Wallenstam AB bought 16,000 shares at 47.180SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

 PRESS RELEASE

Yara International ASA - Mandatory notifications of trade

Yara International ASA - Mandatory notifications of trade Yara Board member Jannicke Hilland has purchased a total of 1,587 Yara shares on Friday, 26 April 2024 at an average price of NOK 315 per share. Following this purchase, Jannicke Hilland owns a total of 1,587 shares in Yara international ASA. Yara Board member Therese Log Bergjord has purchased a total of 750 Yara shares on Friday, 26 April 2024 at an average price of NOK 316.6 per share. Following this purchase, Therese Log Bergjord owns a total of 750 shares in Yara International ASA. Details of the transactions can be fo...

ABGSC Chemicals Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Chemicals Research
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Martin Melbye

It does not add up - Down to HOLD (Buy)

Price headwinds stronger than expected. Slashing estimates for 2024-26e. ~7% ATRoCE suggests EV/CE ~1x is fair - HOLD (Buy) TP 325.

Niclas Gehin
  • Niclas Gehin

Yara (Buy, TP: NOK425.00) - Q1 disappoints the market

While the Q1 results disappointed the market, we consider a ~USD70m–120m EBITDA miss to be within a normal standard deviation and have made only minor estimate changes. Yara’s share price in dollar terms (USD29) is among its lowest since 2010, yet consensus earnings forecasts are at normalised levels. We believe this reflects investor fears it will act irrationally with its capex (NIBD/EBITDA of 2.3x does not give it the muscle to carry out the announced blue ammonia investments). While we hear ...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q1 reporting season kicks off

Q1 reporting season kicked off this week, with results from Nyfosa, Entra, Wallenstam, Fabege, KMC Properties, Pandox, and Catena. In other news, Public Property Invest is to be listed on the Oslo stock exchange on 29 April. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.75% for 2024e and 5.04% for 2025e.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier

Alligo (Buy, TP: SEK180.00) - Happy to put Q1 behind us

Alligo’s Q1 results were mixed, with the model far from immune to weak markets but now more integrated and enhanced, positioning the company for profitable growth when demand recovers. We find its >10% EBITA margin target ambitious but realistic in a 2026e perspective, and see an industrial roll-up case evolving with recent acquisitions at attractive valuations. We reiterate our BUY and SEK180 target price.

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