Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Pre-close 3Q: HAL inclusion. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons 2Q25/26 results. AMG: Lithium supply deal with Beijing Easpring. ASML: 3Q25 results supportive. Barco: 3Q25 trading update inline, surprise buyback. Belgian telcos: Start of the market test for cooperation agreement in Flanders. CM.com: Preview 3Q25 trading update. NSI: Vacancy increase as expected, marginal guidance update. Staffing sector: PageGroup 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: 3Q25 Preview - Like-for-Like(...

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ASML NA, BAR BB, OPTI BB, HEIA NA, IVA FP, PRO...

: ABI BB, ASML NA, BAR BB, OPTI BB, HEIA NA, IVA FP, PROX BB, SEQUA BB, MRUS US

LVMH: VENTAS 3T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 18.280 M euros (-4,2% vs -5,1% BS(e) y -4,6% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 58.090 M euros (-4,4% vs -4,7% BS(e) y -4,5% consenso).

ASML FY25 outlook in line with CSS, 2026 will not be below 2025

ASML reported 3Q25 revenues below expectations, yet the outlook for 4Q25 is ahead of CSS. ASML expects approximately 15% sales growth in 2025 in line with CSS (14.4%). Despite the revenue miss, net earnings were slightly better than expected due to lower SG&A, R&D and net interests. ASML expects 2026 sales not to be below 2025, as Chinese demand will be significantly lower. Net bookings came in above a low CSS estimate. We would like to see a very strong order intake in 4Q25 before we lose visib...

INFORME DIARIO 15 OCTUBRE + RDOS. EUROPA 3T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BAN...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ENAGÁS, INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: ASML, INTESA SANPAOLO, LVMH, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. De nuevo, el frente comercial Correcciones en los índices de Europa, enfrascados en el enfrentamiento come...

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 10/13/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 13/10/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 10/13/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 13/10/2025

ASML : Le réveil de la mémoire, tiré par l’IA, améliore la visibilité ...

ASML : AI-powered memory revival improves visibility to 2026 and beyon...

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

Semicap and the $3tn AI bull-case: material upside, but well below the...

We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral

The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...

INFORME DIARIO 02 OCTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SECTOR BANCARIO. EUROPA: ASML, INFORME ANUAL, NOKIA. Subidas en bolsa con malos datos A pesar de un comienzo con dudas, las bolsas europeas terminaron con ganancias después de que los malos datos desde EE.UU. apoyen bajadas de tipos por parte de la Fed. Sobre el shutdown pocos avances, el gobierno federal habría congelado 26.000 M dólares para los estados de tendencia demócrata (18.000 M dólares en infraestructuras para la ciudad de Nueva York). E...