ODDO : Raising our 2025 market forecast, rotation towards chip makers ...

ODDO : Relèvement de notre prévision de marché 2025, rotation engagée ...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 06/30/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 30/06/2025

IBERIAN DAILY 30 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, REDEIA. Lower trade and geopolitical risks It was a week of gains on European stock markets, underpinned by the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and the expectations of a trade agreement with the US. Thus, in the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors on the week were Construction and Travel & Leisure, whereas Food and Energy ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone June’s economic confidence index worsened unexpectedly. In Spain, June’s prelim...

INFORME DIARIO 30 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, REDEIA. EUROPA: KERING Menores riesgos comerciales y geopolíticosSemana de ganancias en los índices europeos, apoyados por el alto al fuego entre Israel e Irán y las expectativas de acuerdo comercial con EE.UU. Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Construcción y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Alimentación y Energía terminaron con las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona el índice de confianza económica de ju...

Deep dive into Chinese Semicap: How much of a headwind for Western pla...

Chinese WFE spending quadrupled in five years to $41bn, driven by aggressive local deployments, while domestic vendors rapidly gained traction, capturing 13% of local spending already, mostly in deposition, etch, and CMP. In this deep dive, we assess the competitiveness of key Chinese vendors, including Naura, AMEC, and SiCarrier. We estimate first the pace (and the scope) at (and on) which they could close the gap with their western peers. On that basis we estimate the share they can gain ov...

INFORME DIARIO 27 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. El mercado de divisas, nuevo foco de atención Jornada mixta en las bolsas europeas, que cotizaron divididas con la vista puesta en el dólar y el nuevo retroceso que sufrió ayer, cayendo a mínimos de 2022. En el STOXX 600 R. Básicos e Industriales fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a las mayores caídas de Hogar y B. de Consumo (sectores con bastante exposición a dólar). Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. el PIB 1...

IBERIAN DAILY 27 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. Spotlight now on the currency market It was a mixed session on European stock markets, which were a mixed bag with all eyes on the dollar and the drop it suffered yesterday, falling to a low since 2022. In the STOXX 600, Basic Materials and Industrials were the sectors rising the most, with Household Goods and Consumer Goods falling the most (sectors highly exposed to the USD). On the macro side, in the US the 1Q’25 GDP was lowered in its third rea...

IBERIAN DAILY 25 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA/ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AMPER, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. Stock markets looking to return to 2025 highs The ceasefire between Iran and Israel continued to fuel stock markets at both sides of the Atlantic, with the Ibex returning to 14,000 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600, all sectors except Energy (due to the drop in oil prices) saw gains, led by Travel&Leisure and Construction. On the macro side, in Germany the IFO index climbed slightly more than expected for the sixth consecutive ...

INFORME DIARIO 25 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AMPER, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. Las bolsas con ganas de volver a los máximos del año El alto el fuego entre Irán e Israel siguió impulsando las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico, con el Ibex recuperando los 14.000 puntos. En el STOXX 600 todos los sectores menos Energía (por la caída del precio del petróleo) subieron, liderados por Viajes&Ocio y Construcción. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO repuntó ligeramente más d...

IBERIAN DAILY 23 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS, IAG, INDRA, NEINOR, OHLA. US attacks Iran The risk of a military intervention by the US in Iran weighed on the market last week, and the 2-week deadline decided by D. Trump calmed stock markets. However, the movement of the military arsenal continued in the Middle East area, and in the end the US launched a weekend air attack on 3 Iranian nuclear targets. In the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Energy saw the biggest gains last week vs. Pharma and Retail that ended with the bigge...

INFORME DIARIO 23 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, IAG, INDRA, NEINOR, OHLA. EUROPA: SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC. EE.UU. ataca Irán El riesgo de una intervención militar de EE.UU. en Irán sobrevoló sobre el mercado durante la semana pasada y el plazo de dos semanas que se había dado D. Trump alivió a las bolsas. Sin embargo, el movimiento de arsenal militar seguía llegando a la zona de O. Medio y finalmente EE.UU. ha lanzado durante el fin de semana un ataque aéreo sobre 3 objetivos nucleares. Irán h...

Moody's Ratings upgrades Schneider Electric to A2, outlook stable

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded the long-term issuer rating of Schneider Electric SE to A2 from A3 (Schneider Electric or the company). Concurrently, we changed the outlook to stable from positive. "The upgrade to A2 recognizes robust organic growth, continuous improvements of Schneid...

IBERIAN DAILY 20 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY, OHLA. Geopolitical and trade pressure The risks that the US takes part in the war between Israel and Iran and that the trade agreement with Europe is less favourable than initially expected resulted in new corrections in European stock markets. Thus, in the STOXX 600 most sectors ended in negative territory (only 3/20 closed with gains), with Energy and Pharma being the best performers vs. Travel&Leisure and Construction that saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, the ...

INFORME DIARIO 20 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY, OHLA. EUROPA: UNICREDIT. Presión desde el frente geopolítico y comercial Los riesgos de que EE.UU. intervenga en la guerra entre Israel e Irán y que el acuerdo comercial con Europa sea menos favorable a lo inicialmente esperado volvieron a llevar a las pérdidas a las bolsas europeas. Así, en una jornada más, la mayoría de los sectores del STOXX 600 terminaron en rojo (sólo 3/20 se libraron del castigo) siendo Energía y Farma los mejores fre...

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 237 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

IBERIAN DAILY 17 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, AMADEUS, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. The market recovers European stock markets rallied, driven by the possibility of a de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East. In this regard, Iran would be trying to stop the hostilities through the US in exchange for resuming talks on the nuclear agreement. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Travel & Leisure and Banks, whereas defensive sectors like Pharma and Food suffered the biggest drops. On the macro side...