AT: Utilities - Austrian government announces electricity price caps for households (negative) Oil&Gas - Oil price: G7 is getting serious about a price ceiling on Russian oil RO:Banca Transilvania - Banca Transilvania takes a loan of EUR 25 mn from the EBRD to support lending to businesses (neutral)
AT: Andritz - Andritz acquried Bonetti group (neutral) AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply fiberline and lime kiln equipment to Sun Paper, China (neutral) AT: UBM - UBM sells project and construction management subsidiary Alba (neutral) AT: Wienerberger - Strong Q2 results trigger FY EBITDA guidance upgrade (positive) AT: Zumtobel - Better than expected Q4 results despite higher warranty costs, FY 21/22 guidance beat, implied FY 22/23 EBIT range in line with RBIe (positive) CZ: CEZ - CEZ...
HEADLINES: • LiveChat Software: 4Q21-22 (calendar 1Q22) results - EBITDA up 10% yoy, 8% below our estimates NEGATIVE • PCF Group: Outriders Worldslayer released, initial Steam reviews disappoint NEGATIVE • Nuclearelectrica: calls GMS to approve EUR 185m financing for EnergoNuclear NEGATIVE • OMV Petrom: the government adopts the Ordinance reducing fuel prices by RON 0.5/litre • Romgaz: transaction with Exxon to be completed at end-July 2022 NEUTRAL • Gazprom: AGM fails to approve its 2021 divid...
AT: Lenzing - Minimum dividend as of FY 23 raised to EUR 4.50 (positive) RO: Digi Communications - A joint venture between Digi and Citymesh won spectrum to operate in Belgium for EUR 114 mn (positive) RO: Medlife - Medlife consolidates its position in the West part of the country (positive) RO: OMV Petrom - The Supervisory Board approved the proposed special dividend and share capital increase (neutral) RU: Gazprom - Additional MET payments of RUB 416 bn could reduce 2022e DPS by RUB ...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI offer deadline to end on May 30, instead of May 28 (neutral) AT: Telekom Austria - Acquisition of Bulgarian ICT market leader (positive) AT: Verbund - Verbund announced special dividend of EUR 1.15 on top of 22e payout (neutral) HU - Introduction of windfall profit taxes esp. hitting the financial and energy sector (negative) PL: CCC - Q1 22/23 conference call stressed an increasing interest in lower priced products (neutral) RU: Gazprom - BoD recommends record high dividend...
HEADLINES: • Cognor Holding: record results could serve as re-rating trigger (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Hungary macro: taxes and budget consolidation • Alpha Bank: strong 1Q22 numbers, with upside risk for FY22E estimates POSITIVE • Kernel: 3Q22 EBITDA materially below our estimates, amid weak farming segment result NEGATIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q22 - small beat, fare levels exceed expectations, summer outlook encouraging POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 1Q22 earnings in line, still ...
MSCI May Index Review - Standard indices (STD) changes: DEL: Raiffeisen Bank Intl.; SmallCap indices (SC) changes: ADD: STRABAG SE, DEL: Zumtobel AT: AGRANA - Final FY 21/22 results match preliminary figures, FY 22/23e guidance confirmed (neutral) AT: AT&S - AT&S proposed dividend of EUR 0.90/share for 2021/22e (neutral) AT: Oesterreichische Post - Final Q1 22 numbers in line with prliminary figures, outlook reiterated (neutral) AT: Palfinger - Takeover of remaining 35% stake in French...
AT: Addiko Bank - Q1 22 profit slightly ahead of market expectations, CET 1 deterioration (neutral) AT: Wienerberger - Share buyback programme extended (positive) PL: mBank - Q1 22 net profit >30% ahead of consensus and RBI on robust set of results (positive) PL: PGNiG - The Board proposed not to distribute any dividends for 2021 (neutral) RO: Banca Transilvania, BRD-GSG - National Bank of Romania raises key interest rate by 75 bps to 375 bps (positive) RU: Gazprom - Ukraine halts t...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Russia can live (but not thrive) without EU gas payments • Erste Bank: strong start to 2022 with the 1Q22 delivery POSITIVE • Kruk: publishes detailed 1Q22 - solid trends, but supported by positive revaluations, as suspected NEUTRAL • Tekfen Holding: 1Q22 results - another major miss NEGATIVE • Turkcell: 1Q22 results in line, except a 10% NI miss; FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q22 results review - mixed, but FY guidance revised up NEUTRA...
AT: EVN - Cutoff of Russian gas delivieries only minor on Bulgarian electricity generation, potential regional price effect though (neutral) AT: IMMOFINANZ - FY 22 guidance withdrawn due to bond repurchase (negative) AT: Telekom Austria - Robust trends trigger earnings beat, guidance confirmed (positive) AT: Warimpex - FY 21 significantly ahead of expectations (positive) PL: Alior Bank - Q1 22 net profit missed expectations on one-offs and weaker NII / pessimistic costs outlook in 2022...
AT: Andritz - Andritz received paper machine upgrade order from the Netherlands (neutral) PL: Banks - PFR head sees 5.5%-6% new rte equilibrium (neutral) RU: Gazprom - EC sees gas payments in RUB may be possible (positive) RU: Petropavlovsk - Weaker qoq Q1 22 trading update likely mispriced by the market (negative) SI: NLB/Addiko - Change of the political climate in Slovenia after yesterday's parliamentary elections (negative)
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
GE: Baader Bank - Annual profit 2021 in line with preliminaries, 2022 outlook significantly below RBIe (negative) Oil&Gas: OPEC+ meeting - OPEC+ stick to its strategy of a gradual increase of supply despite the biggest-ever oil release of the US strategic reserves PL: CCC - CCC faces opposition from banks against sale of a stake in Modivo to Modivo's CEO (neutral) PL: CCC - Modivo started marketplace testing, launch likely delayed until July (neutral) PL: mBank - mBank plans to forgo d...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: still a market leader, with ambitions for more (upgraded to BUY) • Nuclearelectrica: riding the power price boom (upgraded to BUY) • Czech Republic macro: CNB hikes, with a cautious undertone • CEE macro: CE4 yields and macro forecasts update • Ekspress Grupp: final 4Q21 figures in line with prelims, ambitious 2026E profitability target • Ten Square Games: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: management proposes PLN 2.68/share div...
AT: Kapsch TraffiCom - Arbitration court decides in favour of Kapsch TrafficCom regarding German toll claim (positive) DE: Encavis - Encavis Asset Management bought 11 MWp wind park for EIF II fund (neutral) RO: Electrica - Distribution tariffs for electricity will increase starting April 1 (positive) RU: ALROSA - Tiffany refused to buy diamonds with a Russian origin (negative) RU: Petropavlovsk - Gold sales complicated on UK sanctions against Gazprombank (negative) RU: Russian gold ...
HEADLINES: • Arena Hospitality Group: more pleasure, less business (upgraded to BUY) • Bank of Cyprus: unjustified valuation gap (stays BUY) • PZU: very strong 4Q21, on strong real estate investment result and restarting of GWP growth POSITIVE • Ceska zbrojovka Group: big miss in 4Q21 due to one-offs, but FY22E guidance is upbeat POSITIVE • CA Immo: 4Q21 - massive revaluation gain and strong sales result, but weak underlying FFO • Aegean Airlines: 4Q21 - capacity continues to recover, but pro...
MARKET COMMENT - RSPP PROPOSES STRIPPING MINORITY RIGHTS, EU AND US OFFICIALS CONSIDER MORE SANCTIONS AND EXPELLING RUSSIA FROM THE G20The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs proposed to the government to strip nonresident minority shareholders of their shareholder rights on a temporary basis, according to RBC and other sources. Top EU and US officials remarked that more sanctions would be considered Thursday. Equity trading remains suspended in Russia. STORIES> RSPP proposes to st...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РСПП ПРЕДЛАГАЕТ ВРЕМЕННО ОГРАНИЧИТЬ В ПРАВАХ ИНОСТРАННЫХ МИНОРИТАРИЕВ, ЕС И США РАССМАТРИВАЮТ ВОЗМОЖНОСТЬ ВВЕДЕНИЯ НОВЫХ САНКЦИЙРоссийский союз промышленников и предпринимателей предложил правительству временно ограничить в правах иностранных миноритариев, сообщают РБК и другие источники. ЕС и США рассмотрят в четверг возможность введения новых санкций. Торги акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему не проводятся. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть после ралли начали стабилизироваться в предд...
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