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Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY media & communications coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and a peer table. 

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices down; energy the only ...

EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
SNT SYNEKTIK
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
SHO SHOPER SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Equal Weight) Why Buy WhyFibre in the UK? Our take

Digi has announced that it has bought 51% of Whyfibre Limited, a small fibre network in the UK. We outline our thoughts in this short piece.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OMV AV; BFT PW; HUG PW; DIGI RO; GEKTERNA GA; EME Macro/St...

HEADLINES: OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY) Benefit Systems: 4Q25 miss on adjusted EBIT; supportive update of 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE Huuuge Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA above expectations, DTC channel continues to grow POSITIVE DIGI Communications: takes steps to enter UK telco market NEUTRAL GEK Terna: increases EYDAP stake to 12.8% POSITIVE EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 March) Austriacard: expands US footprint with new card personalisation facility POSITIVE

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: THEON NA; INPST NA; DAT PW; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; APR PW...

HEADLINES: • Theon International: model update due to KAPPA and Exosens deals (stays BUY) • InPost: 4Q25 well below expectations due to the UK; only flat FY26E EBITDA guidance NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q25 results – sales down 26% yoy, to PLN 6.68m NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: final 4Q25 group results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: management recommends DPS of PLN 0.15 from 2025 earnings NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: announces dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: FFO u...

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Iran Conflict – Impact On Supply Chains And Our European Key Sector Co...

Following the attack on Iran by the US and Israel late last month which targeted key military sites and strategic infrastructure, as well as a retaliation by Iran, there have been structural shifts in the oil & gas and energy markets. In this report, we discuss the effects of these structural shifts, as well as the impact of the conflict on global supply chains and our coverage universe.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; BDX PW; APR PW; DIA PW; CEZ CP; BELA GA; MA...

HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: oil price spike negative NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.59bn rail contract signed with PKP PLK NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: February sales growth of 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 4Q25E preview – 8% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 20 April) NEUTRAL • CEZ: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 12 March) • Jumbo: February sales growth slows to 3% yoy on tough comps, as expected NEUTRAL • Mavi: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 March) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 Febru...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Equal Weight) CMD 2026 – Continuation of the plan to disrupt in...

Digi held their first CMD since 2018 in Madrid yesterday and we attended. Management provided more detailed information on their plans for the next 5 years with the main focus being Spain given an IPO of the business looks likely in 2026

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish ISE back in the lead

EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TL Food Retailers; BDX PW; ALE PW; HU Macro; RICHT HB; NRP...

HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...

Dmitry Vlasov
  • Dmitry Vlasov

WOOD Flash – Georgia Capital: solid 4Q25 financial results – positive ...

Georgia Capital (GCAP) reported its 4Q25 financial results this morning (24 February). We view the results as strong, with the NAV for both the large and emerging companies above our expectations. GCAP has reduced its share count by 2% qoq, buying back 0.7m shares, and remains net cash positive. The NAV per share was up 14% qoq in GEL terms and 14% qoq in GBP terms, 4% and 3% above our estimates, respectively. The beat was the result of better-than-expected large companies’ NAV growth (4% above ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALR PW; OTP HB; DIGI RO

HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: 4Q25 results beat expectations, on low admin and credit risk costs POSITIVE • OTP Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 March) • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Telecom Italia, Digi Communications, TK Elevator, Azelis, EnQuest Plc, TAP, Guala Closures, Odfjell Drilling, Sasol, Victoria, International Personal Finance

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Equal Weight) Q4 25: New bullish Spanish guidance; Portugal fibr...

Digi has reported a weak set of results vs our expectations, but has given new bullish mid-term guidance for Spain, and reported good Spanish EBITDAaL growth (+41% y/y) as the MNO benefits continue to come through.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GSPARK HB; KRU PW; CPS PW; DNP PW; DIGI RO; BIMAS TI; EME ...

HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 4Q25 – low LTV, high ROE POSITIVE • Kruk: issues preliminary 2025 net profit, almost in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: main shareholders (Mr. Solorz's heir) want to participate in next nuclear power project NEGATIVE • Dino Polska: 4Q25E preview – 3% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 4Q25 preliminary results – adjusted EBITDA up 7% yoy, 6% below our estimate NEGATIVE • BIM: BoD decides to increase the paid-...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

CelcomDigi (Buy, RM 5.6, +72%) Q4 25 Quick Take: Slow recovery in pro...

: CelcomDigi saw the recovery in service revenue trends continue, backed by continued Postpaid and Fibre strength. Profitability was weaker however due to higher traffic and bad debt costs, and margin guidance is disappointing.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; WPL PW; BDX PW; PKN PW; INPST NA; ENA PW; TPE PW;...

HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; ING PW; MBK PW; CAR PW; VGO PW; GEKTERNA GA; DIGI ...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; TPE PW; ENA PW; WPL PW; CZ Macro; MTELEKOM HB; BR...

HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

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