reports
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: May 2025 – bottomed out
Brent crude prices continued to decline in May, but trends within the month suggest that we may have hit the bottom. The WOOD benchmark refining margin strengthened again, to USD 11.5/bbl, with all product groups and differentials playing their part. Petrochemicals remained in the doldrums, despite lower input costs. The gas market appears to be stable, but prices are sticky. Storage rose to 48% full at the end of the month, similar to the seasonal average. LNG imports declined a little, but cum...
- Emira Sagaama
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Marc Lavaud
- Maxime Kogge
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
BNR BRENNTAG SE
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Emira Sagaama
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Marc Lavaud
- Maxime Kogge
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
BNR BRENNTAG SE
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Middle Eastern Oil Services – ADNOCDRI UH, ARABIAND AB; PL...
HEADLINES: • Middle Eastern oil services: time to switch horses (ADNOC Drilling downgraded to HOLD, Arabian Drilling upgraded to BUY) • Poland macro: Presidential election – final results and implications • 4iG: 1Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • GTC: 1Q25 – some notes, post the results • PCF Group: suspension of development works on Gemini and Bifrost, over 60 people to be laid off NEGATIVE • OMV: to sell stake in Ghasha sour gas proje...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BHW PW; ACP PW; PGE PW; HUG PW; DIA PW; BFT PW; GPP PW; WP...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
HUGE HUUUGE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Polish Food Retail – DNP PW; EUR PW; JMT PL; ZAB PW; BFT P...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
OMV OMV AG
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Markus Remis
- Oddo Sustainability Team
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
DGE DIAGEO PLC
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ALO ALSTOM SA
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
STR STRABAG SE
SAP SAP SE
EVD CTS EVENTIM AG & CO. KGAA
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Markus Remis
- Oddo Sustainability Team
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
DGE DIAGEO PLC
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ALO ALSTOM SA
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
STR STRABAG SE
SAP SAP SE
EVD CTS EVENTIM AG & CO. KGAA
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
- Oddo Sustainability Team
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
CLN CLARIANT AG
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
GLJ GRENKE AG
RBT ROBERTET SA
POS PORR AG
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
HBH HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
FNTN FREENET AG
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
MFEA MEDIASET NV
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
- Oddo Sustainability Team
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
CLN CLARIANT AG
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
GLJ GRENKE AG
RBT ROBERTET SA
POS PORR AG
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
HBH HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
FNTN FREENET AG
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
MFEA MEDIASET NV
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Oleg Galbur
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBR PW; DSPW CP; CPS PW; CPS PW; PCO PW; ALE PW; APR PW; C...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 1Q25 EBITDA 7% below our forecast, but a substantial 24% miss vs. the consensus NEGATIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: weak 1Q25 – EBITDA down 70% yoy NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 5% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court dismisses Zygmunt Solorz's lawsuit against his children POSITIVE • Pepco Group: 1H25 slightly below expectations on worsening Poundland; lfl improvement at Pepco; another EUR 234m impair...
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
R22 R22
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA (stays BUY); Romania macro; Poland macro; 11B PW;...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
- Mihaly Gajda
MOL beats consensus on unusually strong Q1 refined product sales
The company outperformed market consensus across all key metrics—USD 833 mn clean EBITDA, USD 495 mn EBIT, and USD 393 mn net profit—the surprise is mainly driven by an unusual 15% YoY increase in Downstream sales and consolidation effects. Upstream also surprised positively due to lower exploration spending and limited royalty impact. Other segments had lower but also positive surprise.
- Mihaly Gajda
OMV Misses Clean CCS EBIT Consensus Amid Continued Refining Weakness
OMV reported a clean CCS EBIT of EUR 1,160 mn in Q1 2025, down 16% quarter-on-quarter and 22% year-on-year, missing the market consensus of EUR 1,232 mn. The shortfall was primarily driven by the continued weak performance of the refining segment, which also disappointed significantly in Q4.
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