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Antoine Lebourgeois
  • Antoine Lebourgeois

Eutelsat: Q4 delivers, LEO momentum builds

Eutelsat delivered Q4 results above consensus with revenues 5% above expectations, mainly thanks to a positive surprise in government services (up 41% organically yoy). H2 EBITDA also came in ahead of expectations (+4%), although margins ended up 180bps below consensus. The company disclosed EUR187

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €15.8, +19%) MasOrange (Equal Weight) It’s not all a...

We have been long-term Buyers of Orange, and are pleased about the YTD share price performance (+37% vs the sector +10%). Some of that outperformance is probably due to the prospect of French market repair (France is 56% of the value), but actually it is the Spanish and AME divisions that cause our target to rise to €15.8 from €14.9 post the Q2 results.

Antoine Lebourgeois
  • Antoine Lebourgeois

SES: modest beat, stable guidance

SES has reported solid Q2 2025 results: a modest revenue beat (c.1% vs css) and adj. EBITDA margin +130bps vs css. As expected, Networks achieved double-digit growth (+12.5% organic in Q2), propelled by new mPOWER capacity in Gov (+21.1%) and Mobility, narrowly offsetting a double-digit decline in

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €14.9, +14%) Q2 25: EBITDA guidance lifted thanks to...

Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco EBITDA c+0.3% ahead of consensus, and has lifted Group EBITDAaL guidance thanks to AME. French KPIs are solid, but French retail SR growth has turned negative y/y. There are some encouraging signs on French front-book low-end mobile pricing in July (HERE), but clearly overall conditions remain difficult (albeit Orange is doing a good job of off-setting those difficulties at the EBITDAaL level in France).

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice International (Equal Weight) Sale process Hot-ting up in Israe...

Bezeq has confirmed that its subsidiary, Pelephone, has made an offer for Altice International’s Israeli business, Hot Mobile, HERE, for NIS2bn (c€500m). In addition, it seems that Cellcom and Hot have sold their stakes in IBC, HERE. Cellcom has sold its 23% stake for NIS520m (c€130m), and we would assume that Altice has sold its 23% stake for the same amount. In this report we look at the implications of the sales for ATCI lenders.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Overweight) Iliad (Equal Weight) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €55...

There have been several recent articles about French M&A. The latest article from TMT finance yesterday has some fairly specific details, and most importantly, seems to suggest that the price demanded for SFR is now approaching what we would see as fair value.

Adrien Frachette ... (+2)
  • Adrien Frachette
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

ODDO : Profiter du momentum des SMID, repondérer les défensives

La surperformance des Small&Midcaps au S1 reste marquée par un contexte de i/ momentum sans dynamique haussière (sauf peut-être en Italie ou en Espagne), alors que les devises impacteront T2&T3, ii/ géopolitique instable, iii/ fébrilité : les 2 plus grandes puissances économiques (Chine et USA) sont en phase de pivot et/ou présentent certaines fragilités, iv/ valorisations toujours attractives (décote de 30% par rapport aux large caps, et multiples sous leurs niveaux historiques). Nous sommes ra...

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