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Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT 1Q25 results: Verizon, T-Mobile US, AT&T and IBM/Most value in 4-y...

The three largest mobile telecom operators in the USA - Verizon, T-Mobile USA, and AT&T - continue to perform well. IBM's performance also looks solid. Notable was the strong EBITDA performance for all three mobile telecom operators. We think the notes with a duration of c.4 years look attractive on a spread basis, while the steepness of the spread curve looks healthy. Furthermore, the Euro notes of T-Mobile US with a somewhat longer duration look attractive.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, part I – the Special Theory

Capex ROI is the trending question these days, but what does it actually mean? In a “replatforming”, capex are enablers of revenue growth and productivity enhancements, as long as they are the foundation for a good “right to make money” (a defensible competitive advantage) and meet good demand. Our “Special Replatforming Theory” looks at how it has been at play for a decade already at hyperscalers, and how we expect the next 10 years to play out, with AI bringing an even more capital-intensive...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Rethinking BEAD 2.0 as States Rethink Their Options

Earlier this month, as expected, Secretary of Commerce Lutnick released new rules for BEAD, requiring all the states to rebid and prioritizing the lowest cost option. Our initial reaction was that the new rules would shift funds from fiber to satellite, a negative for wired providers including CMSCA, CHTR, T, and VZ/FYBR. We still think that but in talking to numerous stakeholders, that magnitude of the shift may be less than we initially thought. In this note we examine two themes that have ...

Blair Levin ... (+2)
  • Blair Levin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

Mobile and broadband pair trades to consider this summer

While we have been intensively focused on such things as a Presidential intervention to prevent a Chapter 11, we admit that our mind occasionally drifts to thoughts of summer. So to help others who may have similar thoughts, we thought, in honor of summer beginning, we should provide our thoughts as to which alcohols pair best with the purchase of the stocks we cover (actually, we just asked ChatGPT and, given its attitude about intellectual property, we have no fears about just cutting and pas...

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AMZN (Buy, $260 target)/TTD (Neutral, $75 target) Part II: CTV footpri...

This week at Cannes, Amazon DSP announced integrations with ROKU and DIS, both of which have driven more questions about competitive positioning in CTV with TTD. • We discussed a variety of changes at Amazon DSP and its positioning versus TTD and GOOGL’s DV 360 earlier this month in Part I HERE. Getting less attention are advances in AI ad creative tools, including AMZN’s first disclosure about adoption of its tools. TTD is not developing its own gen AI ad creative tools but expanded its roste...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Growth in Public Cloud: Where from? What’s next?

Growth in Public Cloud reaccelerated, in line with our expectations, and, if anything, even stronger than we thought, and shifting fast, with AI representing an increasing share of public cloud growth, and with the fast-growing crowd of native AI start-ups becoming a meaningful segment. We gathered all the initial datapoints at hand and looked at all angles we could, to provide a first perspective of how public cloud is growing today and where it is headed next.

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