Figure 1. 4Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusGuidance notes: 4Q total revenue guidance of $206B to $213B; 4Q operating income guidance of $21B to $26B.Amazon reported healthy 4Q results. Total revenue grew +13.6% Y/Y to $213.4B, ~90bps ahead of St. estimates ca
In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Capex guide overshadows AWS acceleration 2. 1Q26 revenue guide brackets consensus, operating income guide comes in below 3. 2026 Capex guidance well ahead of expectations with high conviction in ROIC 4. AWS revenue growth beats and we expect acceleration to continue 5. International retail growth strong as Whole Foods expands 6. Rufus, “horizontal” agents and the future of Amazon advertising
In a legislative battle pitting the interests of T v. VZ and TMUS, the Senate held a hearing last week on the reauthorization of the FirstNet Authority (FNA), with the House holding another one this coming Wednesday. In this note, we analyze the first hearing as well as a draft House bill with an eye toward whether the upcoming Congressional action is likely to change the current economics of public safety communications for T, VZ, and TMUS.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
AT&T announced this morning that they have closed the Lumen fiber transaction. As part of this transaction, AT&T acquires over 4MM fiber locations and more than 1MM fiber customers in major markets. AT&T also acquires Lumen’s fiber build engine which should help accelerate fiber deployment. We published two comprehensive reports when the transaction was announced.
Our replatforming framework is about measuring how increasing capital intensity drives revenue growth and efficiency improvement. Meta and Microsoft reported yesterday, and we track their replatforming performance by assessing how the growth gap between cash costs and revenue creates headroom for higher depreciation, in a single slide.
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD - $27.98) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX - $84.64)News Reports Paramount Is Not Prepared to Bid Higher. According to Variety, David Ellison's Paramount Skydance (PSKY) has pursued a hostile $30-per-share all-cash takeover bid for WBD (total enterprise value of $108.4 billi
Earlier today, we published our quick take on AT&T’s 4Q results and our note following the earnings call where we discussed some controversies heading into today’s results. This note focuses on the model update. Our subscriber estimate changes are modest. Revenue, EBITDA and FCF are slightly higher but within the guidance range. A full refresh reflecting the new reporting structure is forthcoming.
We shared our view of AT&T’s results this morning (note here). Results and guidance were solid. In this note following the earnings call and our multiple follow up conversations, we address key investor issues including 1) postpaid phone ARPU growth; 2) the pace of fiber deployment; 3) Internet Air net adds and ARPU growth; and 4) broadband ARPU growth. You see the trend, right? People care deeply about price and ARPU.
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