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David Barden
  • David Barden

TMT Finance Conference Takeaways

We attended the TMT Finance Conference in NYC earlier this week and took the opportunity to meet with several private fiber companies. This short note highlights our takeaways from those meetings.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Amazon (Buy, $270 target) Price increase rejuvenates the AWS bull cas...

AWS has raised publicly-listed Capacity Block pricing on B200 instances, a material and unexpected positive development supporting our above-consensus revenue estimates for AWS.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+2)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Timothy Rahill

Euro debt markets in favour with tech firms in 2025/Foreign tech compa...

Euro-denominated issuance by TMT companies has been ahead of expectations in FY25. American companies issued far more Euro debt than expected. This is driven by attractive funding costs in Euro markets, because the risk premium required by investors for European credit markets is lower. Some of the large issuers of Euro-denominated debt are active in the technology sector. This was contrary to our earlier expectations because these companies fund their capital expenditures from cash flow. Finall...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+2)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Timothy Rahill

Euro debt markets in favour with tech firms in 2025/Foreign tech compa...

Euro-denominated issuance by TMT companies has been ahead of expectations in FY25. American companies issued far more Euro debt than expected. This is driven by attractive funding costs in Euro markets, because the risk premium required by investors for European credit markets is lower. Some of the large issuers of Euro-denominated debt are active in the technology sector. This was contrary to our earlier expectations because these companies fund their capital expenditures from cash flow. Finall...

David Barden
  • David Barden

3Q25 Broadband Estimate Deep Dive

If you are one of those eager contrarians looking for the quarter where a combination of discount valuations and even a modest turnaround in cable KPI trends could boost the stocks, this probably ain’t it. The cable industry continues to lose subscribers at an elevated pace with Comcast doing worse than Charter thanks to the 1-2 punch of fiber and FWA.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AWS/GCP: How long does it take to pay off an XPU?

We take a closer look at how long it takes for AWS and GCP to pay back the investment in both GPUs and custom chips (TPUs and Trainium) on both a revenue and contribution margin basis, using our estimates of per-chip costs and realized pricing for each of AWS and GCP.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

GOOGL/AMZN/META: Updated AI D&A and Lower META AI RO

we've updated our bottom-up AI depreciation analysis for GOOGL, AMZN and META following our latest AI capex update (see HERE).

Amazon Com Inc: 1 director

A director at Amazon Com Inc sold 2,500 shares at 217.100USD and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Wedbush Research
  • Wedbush Research
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
XNCR XENCOR INC.
XENE XENON PHARMACEUTICALS INC
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
VYGR VOYAGER THERAPEUTICS INC.
TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
RARE ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
PEGA PEGASYSTEMS INC.
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVCR NOVOCURE LTD.
NBIX NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES INC.
KURA KURA ONCOLOGY INC.
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
GERN GERON CORP.
FATE FATE THERAPEUTICS INC
CTMX CYTOMX THERAPEUTICS INC.
CHKP CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
BMRN BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
BIIB BIOGEN INC.
ASND ASCENDIS PHARMA A/S SPONSORED ADR
ARDX ARDELYX INC
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
FRX_CN FENNEC PHARMACEUTICALS
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
ANAB ANAPTYSBIO INC.
ARGX ARGENX ADS
MRSN MERSANA THERAPEUTICS
ISR ISORAY
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
APLS APELLIS PHARMACEUTICALS
ZG ZILLOW GROUP INC. CLASS A
DNLI DENALI THERAPEUTICS INC
RCUS ARCUS BIOSCIENCES
SRRK SCHOLAR ROCK HOLDING CORPORATION
KNSA KINIKSA PHARMACEUTICALS
REPL REPLIMUNE GROUP
ARVN ARVINAS HOLDING
STRO SUTRO BIOPHARMA
CRWD CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
STOK STOKE THERAPEUTICS
IDYA IDEAYA BIOSCIENCES
PASG PASSAGE BIO
BDTX BLACK DIAMOND THERAPEUTICS
ACET ADICET BIO INC
KROS KEROS THERAPEUTICS
ZNTL ZENTALIS PHARMACEUTICALS
BEAM BEAM THERAPEUTICS
LRMR LARIMAR THERAPEUTICS INC
PRAX PRAXIS PRECISION MEDICINES
U UNITY SOFTWARE
TVTX TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS INC
VRDN VIRIDIAN THERAPEUTICS INC
PLTK PLAYTIKA HOLDING
RBLX ROBLOX
DAWN DAY ONE BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC
APP APPLOVIN CORP
ATXS ASTRIA THERAPEUTICS INC
GMTX GEMINI THERAPEUTICS INC
TYRA TYRA BIOSCIENCES INC
EWTX EDGEWISE THERAPEUTICS INC
APGE APOGEE THERAPEUTICS INC
EMBRAC B EMBRACER GROUP AB
DNTH DIANTHUS THERAPEUTICS INC
LAC. LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP NEW
ORKA ORUKA THERAPEUTICS INC
ZBIO ZENAS BIOPHARMA INC.
TLX TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
MAZE MAZE THERAPEUTICS INC
Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Update for 3 More States

In this latest update, we now include BEAD proposals from 51 states & territories. We have updated our analysis for Alaska, Florida and Utah. Comcast, Brightspeed and AT&T remain at the top of the list among wireline operators. Fiber remains the dominant technology both in terms of locations as well as funding.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

SATS’ Spectrum Deals with T and now VZ: How Will the DOJ React?

SATS, already having announced deals to sell spectrum to T and SpaceX, is reportedly close to a deal to sell its AWS-3 band to VZ. We expect easy approval from the FCC but given the DOJ Antitrust Division’s comments recently about the risks of leaving “the market vulnerable to increased coordination among the remaining three carriers” how will it react to the new deals? In this note we analyze the DOJ language and what it means for reviews of the spectrum sales to incumbent wireless carriers.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Updated AI ROICs: AMZN higher, GOOGL lower, META mixed

Our updated AI ROIC estimates reflect the latest AI Capex and Cloud AI revenue updates. The original AI ROIC analysis is HERE. In the report, we review changes for each company and the primary drivers of AI returns.

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt
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