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Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Pinterest (PINS, Buy, $45 target) Agentic commerce fears are way over...

Post print, PINS forged a new trough multiple on risk of a prolonged, tariff-related UCAN slowdown and fears of disintermediation by AI agents. The former is understandable; the latter is not and we walk through the reasons why in the report

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Tariffs, Tech, NATL: Reciprocal tariffs in Jeopardy?View: The Supereme Court justices appeared skeptical of the Trump administration's arguments that the Executive Branch has the power to levy broad reciprocal tariffs. While we would see a return to a pre-reciprocal tariff regimen as broadly positi

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Snap Inc. (SNAP, Neutral, $8 target) Revenue growth in-line, and Perpl...

What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Stock pops on improved results and surprise Perplexity deal 2. DR recovers & continued enthusiasm for SMBs, but large advertisers down 3. North America DAUs steady but we remain cautious as age verification rolls out 4. Perplexity boosts the AI narrative 5. Very good cost control and margins

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Reddit (RDDT, Neutral, $225 target) Executing well, but we remain Neut...

Our estimates are increasing on another strong beat and raise however our target price slightly declines to $225 from $230 as we increase the beta in our DCF valuation.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

The Match Group (MTCH, Neutral, $31 target) A show-me story with gree...

Nothing in this print was thesis-changing or moved our numbers materially, as management continues to set the groundwork for product improvements in trust, security, and recommendations ahead of a large product launch in spring 2026, and an expected “resurgence” in 2026 and 2027, particularly at Tinder.

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Rising AI Risk; OP, Lowering PT to $34

Figure 2. 3Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusGuide: 3Q revenue guide of $1,033mm to $1,053mm; 3Q adj. EBITDA guide of $282mm to $302mmPinterest reported modest 3Q revenues. Revenue in the quarter of $1,049mm (+16.8% Y/Y) was in line with expectations and the hi

Amazon Com Inc: 2 directors

Two Directors at Amazon Com Inc sold 32,673 shares at between 250.030USD and 250.582USD. The significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Pinterest (PINS, Buy, $49 target) US tariff impact clouds otherwise st...

What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Is Retail/Home Furnishing tariff headwind temporary or more structural? 2. Advertising growth solid as new ad products continue rolling out 3. Looking for more clarity on taking audience data off-platform 4. Global user growth remains strong, including North America 5. AI winner or loser? Investors are still not sure 6. Margin outlook remains strong and on track for long-term target

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

The Match Group (MTCH, Neutral, $31 target) Quick thoughts ahead of t...

Ahead of earnings tonight, we offer some quick thoughts on what to look for, including Tinder MAUs and payers, the outlook for in-app payments, and the trajectory of FCF and share buybacks.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Amazon (Buy, $340 target) Reiterate Top Pick as OpenAI bull case emerg...

Our target increases to $340 from $270 as we raise revenue, EBITDA and EPS, partially offset by higher capex and lower near-term FCF. We also increase valuation multiples as conviction in the AWS bull case grows.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Meta Platforms (META, Buy, $800 target) AI investment = Metaverse inve...

Our target declines to $800 from $900 on lower estimates. With that said, 4Q25 revenue guidance appears low, with both implied impression and pricing growth decelerating against easier comps. In the report, we also discuss the AI = Metaverse narrative that has taken hold, the addition of $30B of new debt and why we are ending share buybacks in our model.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Amazon (Buy, $270 target) Implications of the AWS + OpenAI deal – Is a...

This morning Amazon Web Services (AWS) announced a multi-year partnership to run OpenAI’s core AI workloads starting immediately. Our Take: Positive for AWS and our Top Pick AMZN, and we see several important implications: 1. This deal is well above our expectations for AWS’s share of OpenAI workloads 2. No mention of Trainium but that could come with Trainium3 3. This is likely the biggest piece of the “unannounced deals” in October 4. Increased likelihood of a commerce integration between AMZ...

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