Figure 1. 4Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusGuidance notes: 4Q total revenue guidance of $206B to $213B; 4Q operating income guidance of $21B to $26B.Amazon reported healthy 4Q results. Total revenue grew +13.6% Y/Y to $213.4B, ~90bps ahead of St. estimates ca
In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Capex guide overshadows AWS acceleration 2. 1Q26 revenue guide brackets consensus, operating income guide comes in below 3. 2026 Capex guidance well ahead of expectations with high conviction in ROIC 4. AWS revenue growth beats and we expect acceleration to continue 5. International retail growth strong as Whole Foods expands 6. Rufus, “horizontal” agents and the future of Amazon advertising
A director at Walmart Inc sold 76,181 shares at 123.790USD and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in January 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
Our replatforming framework is about measuring how increasing capital intensity drives revenue growth and efficiency improvement. Meta and Microsoft reported yesterday, and we track their replatforming performance by assessing how the growth gap between cash costs and revenue creates headroom for higher depreciation, in a single slide.
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD - $27.98) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX - $84.64)News Reports Paramount Is Not Prepared to Bid Higher. According to Variety, David Ellison's Paramount Skydance (PSKY) has pursued a hostile $30-per-share all-cash takeover bid for WBD (total enterprise value of $108.4 billi
After a string of multi-GW contracts and capex announcements, the attractiveness of cloud AI returns remains a hot question amongst investors. In this report, we build a simple framework to answer that question. We estimate Cloud AI returns from CSP disclosures and what we know about large real-world contracts, and benchmark them against what we know about the economics of traditional cloud.
Japan’s Generative AI app market accelerated sharply in 2025, led by AI Assistant apps, with downloads up +126% YoY and in app purchase (IAP) revenue surging 329% YoY. ChatGPT dominated the category, ranking No.1 among GenAI apps by both downloads and IAP revenue. It is also the top non game app by downloads in Japan. Despite rapid adoption, domestic developers remain under represented, creating a strategic opportunity for ecosystem embedded players. Analyst Thao Nguyen highlights Rakuten as a b...
Earlier this week, the Information reported (and a company spokesperson confirmed) that on January 26th, SHOP will begin making merchants’ products widely available for purchase through checkout features in OpenAI’s ChatGPT, GOOGL’s AI Mode and Gemini, and MSFT Copilot. SHOP merchants will begin being surfaced on Gemini, AI Mode and Copilot by default, whereas they will be required to opt into selling on ChatGPT, and OpenAI will receive a 4% take rate on any ChatGPT sales. In this brief note, w...
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