‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Eni S.p.A. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 13 September 2024 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context of th...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. EUROPA: ENI. Semana de rebote en las bolsas Las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana pasada con avances a ambos lados del Atlántico, recuperando parte de las últimas caídas y buscando volver a su zona de máximos de la mano de los cíclicos y el growth. El Ibex 35 lideró las subidas de la semana, marcando nuevos máximos anuales por encima de los 11.500 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 mayoría de ganancias en los sectores, lideradas ...
>Growth in demand slowing due to China - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised further down its demand growth estimates by 70kb/d to +900 kb/d for 2024 and by 30 kb/d to +950 kb/d for 2025. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d pre-Covid and a record of +2.1 Mb/d in 2023, an exceptional year marked by a catch-up effect. This decline is mainly due to the slowdown in China, which contributes to the tune of ~60% to growth in global demand....
>La croissance de la demande ralentit à cause de la Chine - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise une nouvelle fois en baisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 70 kb/j à +900 kb/j pour 2024 et de 30 kb/j à +950 kb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j avant le COVID et un record de +2.1 Mb/j en 2023, une année exceptionnelle marquée par un effet rattrapage. Cette baisse s’explique pour l’essentiel par le ralentissement en Chine, ...
>Oil prices impacted by bearish sentiment on oversupply - Brent prices fell yesterday by almost 5% to $ 73/b amid bearish sentiment. This is mainly due to news that i/ OPEC+ could start a planned gradual easing of the cut in October by 180 kb/d per month, ii/ weak economic data from China, the largest crude importer and iii/ news that Libya may soon resume production after a shutdown of 0.7 Mb/d out of its 1.2 Mb/d production.The market is expected to swing to...
>Oil prices impacted by bearish sentiment on oversupply - Brent prices fell yesterday by almost 5% to $ 73/b amid bearish sentiment. This is mainly due to news that i/ OPEC+ could start a planned gradual easing of the cut in October by 180 kb/d per month, ii/ weak economic data from China, the largest crude importer and iii/ news that Libya may soon resume production after a shutdown of 0.7 Mb/d out of its 1.2 Mb/d production.The market is expected to swing to...
Questions are mounting for the equity markets on multiple fronts: economic (turbulence or slowdown), monetary (how quickly will central banks cut rates) and geopolitical (France, US, Russia/Ukraine, China). For the rest of the summer, we are maintaining our positive bias on US vs European equities. On European equities, we are returning to a neutral stance between cyclicals and defensives, between value and growth styles, between large caps and small caps, and recommend increasing pos...
Les questions s’accumulent pour les marchés actions : sur les plans économique (trou d’air ou ralentissement ?), monétaire (à quel rythme les banques centrales vont-elles baisser les taux) et (géo)politique (France, Etats-Unis, Russie/Ukraine, Chine). Pour le reste de cet été, nous conservons notre biais positif sur les actions américaines vs européennes. Sur les actions européennes, nous revenons à la neutralité entre cycliques et défensives, entre les styles Value et Growth, entre L...
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