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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. While the dust has yet to settle, the good news is that the selloff has been largely contained to these AI-linked stocks. The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&P 500 was roughly flat yesterday. Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy, with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and WTI crude oil continuing to move lower, and...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 01.06.2022

 AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI Property Group raises stake in IMMOFINANZ to 76.9% during additional acceptance period (neutral)  AT: Wienerberger - Moody's affirmed Ba1 rating, outlook changed to positive from stable (neutral)  PL: Bank Pekao - Increasing interest rate offer for deposits with maturity (neutral)  PL: mBank - Demerger of mBank's mortgage bank arm with no share issue requirement (neutral)  RU: InterRAO - Shareholders approve 2021 dividends (positive)  RU: OGK-2 - Board recommends 2021...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.05.2022

 AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive)  AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive)  PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral)  PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive)  RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive)  R...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 18.05.2022

AT: OMV - OMV and ADNOC announce intention to float 10% stake in Borouge (neutral) AT: Semperit - Q1 results well ahead of RBIe and consensus (positive) CZ: CTP - Strong growth dynamics in Q1, but inflation shows effect on yield on cost (neutral) PL: Orange Polska - Competitors are pressing regulator to impose conditions of access to fiber optic network built using EU funds (negative) RU: OGK-2 - Q1 22: EBITDA marginally below expectations, FCF propped up by temporarily lower capex, no dividend ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022

 AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral)  AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive)  AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive)  AT: Oester...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 22.04.2022

 AT: AMAG - Multi-year order from Ruag Aerostructures (positive)  AT: IMMOFINANZ - Radka Doehring appointed as a memeber of the executive board (neutral)  AT: Polytec - FY 21 results broadly in line with expectations, no guidance on FY 22 (neutral)  CZ: CEZ - CEZ to extend Detmarovice hard coal-fired power plant life byond H1 2023 for security of supply reasons (neutral)  PL: PGNiG - Disappointing crude output and lower gas distribution volumes to weigh on Q1 earning (negative)  RU: Fertil...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 13.04.2022

 AT: Flughafen Wien - March traffic statistics show sequential improvements (positive)  AT: S IMMO - Acquisition of 41.5 k sqm Business Park in Bucharest (neutral)  HU: Magyar Telekom - AGM approves HUF 15 bn dividend (neutral)  PL: Bank Millennium - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral)  PL: Bank Pekao - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral)  PL: LPP - Higher inventories maintained allowing for 4 months of sales (neutral)  PL: mBank - Informing about Q1 level of FX mortgage related risk provisio...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: MSCI EM Europe Index loses half it...

EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KER KERNEL HOLDING S.A.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
CIE CIECH S.A.
ANY ALLAMI NYOMDA
AST ASTARTA HOLDING
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
LWB LUBELSKI WEGIEL BOGDANKA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
PPA PIRAEUS PORT AUTHORITY S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
FMF FAMUR SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
MTSS MOBILE TELESYSTEMS PJSC
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
TCS TCS GROUP HOLDING PLC SPONSORED GDR CLASS A REGS
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
LKODN OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
OGZD GAZPROM (GDR)
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ARNT-R-A ARENATURIST D.D.
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE ALRO SLATINA
4IG PURCARI WINERIES PCL
ONE 4IG NYRT
ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOM PW; 11B PW; KTY PW; ACP PW; CPS PW; PKO PW; ALR PW; TE...

HEADLINES: • Dom Development: homebuilders critical to alleviating shortage (stays BUY) • 11 bit studios: solid 4Q21 results, with good quality beat vs. both our and market's expectations POSITIVE • Kety: final 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above preliminary forecast POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • PKO BP/Alior Bank: another switch in the management board NEGATIVE • Transelectrica: proposes to dis...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Igor Rapokhin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 21, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - EQUITIES FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS REMAIN AMID FALLOUT OF "SPECIAL MILITARY OPERATION"EPAM Systems surged 8% and VEON 22%, while Polymetal fell 14% on Friday. The ruble fell 1.6-1.7% both in Moscow and offshore to trade around USD/RUB 104-105. While equities remain frozen, trading of ruble-denominated OFZ sovereign debt will resume today. STORIES> How the balance of payments is likely to evolve amid the crisis> Monetary policy set to be stimulatory for a couple of years> CBR Revi...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+8)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Igor Rapokhin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 21 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГОВЛЯ АКЦИЯМИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНА, ОГРАНИЧЕНИЯ НА ДВИЖЕНИЕ КАПИТАЛА СОХРАНЯЮТСЯБумаги EPAM Systems выросли в пятницу в цене на 8%, VEON - на 22%, Polymetal подешевел на 14%. Рубль в Москве и на зарубежных площадках ослаб на 1,6-1,7% до 104-105 за доллар. Торговля акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему заморожена, но сегодня должны возобновиться торги ОФЗ. НОВОСТИ> Денежно-кредитная политика станет стимулирующей> Перспективы платежного баланса в условиях кризиса> Итоги засе...

Anton Stroutchenevski ... (+6)
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 14, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW EQUITIES TO BE CLOSED ANOTHER WEEK WHILE VALUE STOCKS OUTPERFORMThe CBR has announced that equity trading will be closed another week. Possible negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are the focal point for Russia investors this week, while main themes elsewhere include resumed rotation to value stocks and above $100/bbl oil prices, all of which would be benefiting Russia in a normal market environment, but not this one.STORIES> Government allocates R1 trln to support th...

Anton Chernyshev ... (+7)
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 14 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГИ В МОСКВЕ НЕ БУДУТ ПРОВОДИТЬСЯ ЕЩЕ НЕДЕЛЮ; НА ГЛОБАЛЬНОМ РЫНКЕ ОПЕРЕЖАЮЩУЮ ДИНАМИКУ ПОКАЗЫВАЮТ АКЦИИ СТОИМОСТИЦБ РФ принял решение еще неделю не возобновлять торги на МосБирже в секции фондового рынка. На текущей неделе в центре внимания будут возможные переговоры между Россией и Украиной. НОВОСТИ> Правительство выделило 1 трлн руб. на поддержку экономики> Нефтяные котировки консолидировались около минимумов прошлой недели в преддверии многочисленных событий на этой ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 11.03.2022

 AT: Oesterreichische Post - Q4 21 in line, muted outlook wording (neutral)  AT: OMV - Borealis declined the binding offer of EuroChem for the acquisition of its fertilizer business (neutral)  AT: OMV - OMV is considering building a waste sorting plant in Germany (neutral)  CZ: Komercni Banka, Erste Group - Central bank to increase counter-cyclical capital buffer to 2.5% from April 22 (negative)  HR: Hrvatski Telekom - Dividend proposal od HRK 8.00 per share (neutral)  HR: Valamar Riviera ...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+12)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 9, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS HALTED WHILE EYES REMAIN ON UKRAINERussian stocks continued to see only slight trading through Russia's long weekend. That will not change today, with the CBR having decided yesterday not to allow Moscow equity trading, continuing the halt since February 25 for a sixth business day.STORIES> How the crisis is evolving> US and UK seeking to embargo Russian oil and gas imports> Gazprom's export flows remain very strong> Rostelecom posts neutral 4Q21 IFRS resu...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+12)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 9 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСША и Великобритания вводят эмбарго на импорт нефти и газа из России, экспортные доходы Газпрома растут, Ростелеком, HeadHunter, Магнит и М. Видео представили отчетность.НОВОСТИ> Как развивается кризис> США и Великобритания вводят эмбарго на импорт нефти и газа из России> Экспортные доходы Газпрома растут> Ростелеком представил нейтральные результаты за 4К21 по МСФО> Вопрос о погашении облигаций Яндекса и Ozon> HeadHunter: результаты за 4К21 несколько ниже прогнозов, выкуп а...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: stocks bleed amid Russian invasion...

EME Equity Market – February 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities bled in February due to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. The MSCI EME Europe Index declined by 38.7% in EUR terms and 38.8% in USD terms. Russian stocks, represented by the MOEX Index, lost the most in February, declining by 34.6% in EUR terms and 30.0% in RUB terms. The Hungarian BUX Index lost 21.8% in EUR terms and 18.2% in HUF terms; while the Polish WIG20 Index declined by 11.7% in EUR and 9.5% in PLN. In Prague, the...

BRE MBANK SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
YNDX YANDEX NV CLASS A
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
CIE CIECH S.A.
VESBE VESTEL BEYAZ ESYA SANAYI VE TICARET
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
SISE TURKIYE SISE VE CAM FABRIKALARI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
FMF FAMUR SA
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO. SPONSORED GDR REGS
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
ADPL-R-A AD PLASTIK D.D.
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
5M71 MAGNIT PJSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
PLZL POLYUS (GDR)
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
OGZD GAZPROM (GDR)
COTE CONPET SA
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
NLBR NLB GROUP
ENJSA ENERJISA ENERJI
SF3 STS GROUP AG
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
GR6 GRADUS
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
OZON OZON HOLDINGS
HUGE HUUUGE
ALR ALRO SLATINA
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
SHO SHOPER
GDEV NEXTERS INC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
KCEL KCELL JSC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 2, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...

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