reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. While the dust has yet to settle, the good news is that the selloff has been largely contained to these AI-linked stocks. The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&P 500 was roughly flat yesterday. Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy, with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and WTI crude oil continuing to move lower, and...
SYK STRYKER CORPORATION
GBX GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC.
TRN TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC.
MMSI MERIT MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC.
MDT MEDTRONIC PLC
ISRG INTUITIVE SURGICAL INC.
INGN INOGEN INC.
IART INTEGRA LIFESCIENCES HOLDINGS CORPORATION
GMED GLOBUS MEDICAL INC CLASS A
CRY CRYOLIFE INC.
PEN PENUMBRA INC.
BSX. BELO SUN MINING CORP.
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
GATX GATX CORPORATION
RAIL FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC.
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
OFIX ORTHOFIX MEDICAL INC.
ECOR ELECTROCORE INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
NUE NUCOR CORPORATION
CNHI CNH INDUSTRIAL NV
WDAY WORKDAY INC. CLASS A
VALE.N VALE S.A. ADS
UEC URANIUM ENERGY CORP
TX. TERNIUM S.A. SPONSORED ADR
TWI TITAN INTERNATIONAL INC.
SYY SYSCO CORPORATION
RGEN REPLIGEN CORPORATION
POOL POOL CORPORATION
LEA LEAR CORPORATION
JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON
HSIC HENRY SCHEIN INC.
GIS GENERAL MILLS INC.
EXAS EXACT SCIENCES CORPORATION
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC.
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
BAX BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC.
CF. CANACCORD GENUITY GROUP
MG/CN MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC.
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
AMWD AMERICAN WOODMARK CORPORATION
CMCO COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPORATION
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
DRI DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC.
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
SSD SIMPSON MANUFACTURING CO. INC.
YUMC YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC.
MT ARCELORMITTAL
ASGN ASGN INC
ADNT ADIENT PLC
PTAL PETROTAL
GNMSY GENMAB A/S
ORIC ORIC PHARMACEUTICALS
IMCR IMMUNOCORE HOLDINGS ADS
OI O-I GLASS INC
ENOV ENOVIS CORPORATION
WMC WESTMOUNT MINERALS CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
WTM WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTD
TGL. TECNOGLASS INC.
RPD RAPID7 INC.
RLI RLI CORP.
PCRX PACIRA BIOSCIENCES INC.
M MACY'S INC
LVS LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP.
IRDM IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS INC.
IPAR INTER PARFUMS INC.
HCI HCI GROUP INC.
FIX COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC.
CBAY CYMABAY THERAPEUTICS INC.
BMI BADGER METER INC.
ADUS ADDUS HOMECARE
MMC MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INC.
AXXDF ALDERON IRON ORE CORP
BLDP BALLARD POWER SYSTEMS INC.
FPC. FALCO RESOURCES
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
WSO WATSCO INC.
CCF CHASE CORP.
WINA WINMARK CORP.
PLSE PULSE BIOSCIENCES
ELF E.L.F. BEAUTY INC.
SCWX SECUREWORKS
SGU SINO GERMAN UNITED AG
KNSL KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
KIDS ORTHOPEDIATRICS CORP
DFH DREAM FINDERS HOMES
FDMT 4D MOLECULAR THERAPEUTICS
BMEA BIOMEA FUSION INC
VECT VECTIVBIO HLDG AG
RPHM RENEO PHARMACEUTICALS INC
ACLX ARCELLX INC
BRBR BELLRING BRANDS INC
SYM SYMBOTIC INC
RVPH REVIVA PHARMACEUTICALS HLDGS INC
ATLX ATLAS LITHIUM CORPORATION
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 03.06.2022
WIG20/WIG30 indices review - No change in constituents AT: OMV - OMV received a binding offer for the acquisition of Borealis' nitrogen business (positive) Oil&Gas: OPEC+ meeting - OPEC to accelerate oil production in July and August PL: PKN/Lotos - Lotos and PKN agreed on a share swap ratio, merger finalization aimed for August (neutral/positive) RU: Moscow Exchange - May trading volumes 5% up yoy, no statistics on account balances (neutral)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 23.05.2022
FTSE Index June review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe AT: Strabag - Haselsteiner Foundation proposes share buyback resolution to AGM (positive) CZ: CEZ - CEZ paid for small Gazprom contract in EUR, rumoured to have opened an account with Gazprombank (neutral) RU: Moscow Exchange - April trading is 8% yoy down, account balances undisclosed (neutral) RU: Petropavlovsk - A likely initiation of takeover by UMMC (negative)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.05.2022
AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive) AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive) PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral) PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive) RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive) R...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022
AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral) AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive) AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive) AT: Oester...
OMV OMV AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
LKOH OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO.
SNGS SURGUTNEFTEGAS PJSC
TCS TCS GROUP HOLDING PLC SPONSORED GDR CLASS A REGS
HT-R-A HRVATSKI TELEKOM DD
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ENRU ENEL RUSSIA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
ATGR-R-A ATLANTIC GRUPA
SNP PETROM S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADRS2-R-A ADRIS GRUPA D.D. PFD.
ERNT-R-A ERICSSON NIKOLA TESLA D.D.
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 22.04.2022
AT: AMAG - Multi-year order from Ruag Aerostructures (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Radka Doehring appointed as a memeber of the executive board (neutral) AT: Polytec - FY 21 results broadly in line with expectations, no guidance on FY 22 (neutral) CZ: CEZ - CEZ to extend Detmarovice hard coal-fired power plant life byond H1 2023 for security of supply reasons (neutral) PL: PGNiG - Disappointing crude output and lower gas distribution volumes to weigh on Q1 earning (negative) RU: Fertil...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 13.04.2022
AT: Flughafen Wien - March traffic statistics show sequential improvements (positive) AT: S IMMO - Acquisition of 41.5 k sqm Business Park in Bucharest (neutral) HU: Magyar Telekom - AGM approves HUF 15 bn dividend (neutral) PL: Bank Millennium - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: Bank Pekao - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: LPP - Higher inventories maintained allowing for 4 months of sales (neutral) PL: mBank - Informing about Q1 level of FX mortgage related risk provisio...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 05.04.2022
AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply Metris platform to Forsyning Helsingor in Denmark (neutral) AT: PORR - Cartel fine legally binding (neutral) HR: Podravka - DPS of HRK 13 to be paid to shareholders (positive) RO: Medlife - Medlife bought 100% of Life Med (positive) RU: Moscow Exchange - March 2022 statistics: account balances grow 4x yoy and 2.5x mom, the currency split undisclosed; total trading up 71% yoy (positive)
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: MSCI EM Europe Index loses half it...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KER KERNEL HOLDING S.A.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
CIE CIECH S.A.
ANY ALLAMI NYOMDA
AST ASTARTA HOLDING
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
LWB LUBELSKI WEGIEL BOGDANKA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
PPA PIRAEUS PORT AUTHORITY S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
FMF FAMUR SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
MTSS MOBILE TELESYSTEMS PJSC
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
TCS TCS GROUP HOLDING PLC SPONSORED GDR CLASS A REGS
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
LKODN OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
OGZD GAZPROM (GDR)
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ARNT-R-A ARENATURIST D.D.
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE ALRO SLATINA
4IG PURCARI WINERIES PCL
ONE 4IG NYRT
ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 31.03.2022
Oil&Gas: Oil price - A potential announcement of another release of US oil reserves puts pressure on the oil price ahead of today's OPEC meeting PL: PKN - The 2021 DPS proposal of PLN 3.50 is fully in line with previous guidance and market expectation (neutral) RU: Fertilisers - Essential goods incl. fertilizers are exempted from any U.S. anti-Russia sanctions (positive) RU: NLMK - NLMK continues steel supplies to Europe and USA (neutral) RU: Petropavlovsk - Loan from Gazprombank may ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOM PW; 11B PW; KTY PW; ACP PW; CPS PW; PKO PW; ALR PW; TE...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: homebuilders critical to alleviating shortage (stays BUY) • 11 bit studios: solid 4Q21 results, with good quality beat vs. both our and market's expectations POSITIVE • Kety: final 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above preliminary forecast POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • PKO BP/Alior Bank: another switch in the management board NEGATIVE • Transelectrica: proposes to dis...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 21, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - EQUITIES FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS REMAIN AMID FALLOUT OF "SPECIAL MILITARY OPERATION"EPAM Systems surged 8% and VEON 22%, while Polymetal fell 14% on Friday. The ruble fell 1.6-1.7% both in Moscow and offshore to trade around USD/RUB 104-105. While equities remain frozen, trading of ruble-denominated OFZ sovereign debt will resume today. STORIES> How the balance of payments is likely to evolve amid the crisis> Monetary policy set to be stimulatory for a couple of years> CBR Revi...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 21 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГОВЛЯ АКЦИЯМИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНА, ОГРАНИЧЕНИЯ НА ДВИЖЕНИЕ КАПИТАЛА СОХРАНЯЮТСЯБумаги EPAM Systems выросли в пятницу в цене на 8%, VEON - на 22%, Polymetal подешевел на 14%. Рубль в Москве и на зарубежных площадках ослаб на 1,6-1,7% до 104-105 за доллар. Торговля акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему заморожена, но сегодня должны возобновиться торги ОФЗ. НОВОСТИ> Денежно-кредитная политика станет стимулирующей> Перспективы платежного баланса в условиях кризиса> Итоги засе...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 14.03.2022
AT: Verbund - Press reports on windfall profit politics, special dividend in discussion (neutral) CEE: Banks - Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank announced withdrawal from Russia (neutral) CZ: CEZ - Tender for new block at Dukovany nuclear power plant to be launched this week (neutral) RU: Russia - Stock market to stay frozen another week (neutral) RU: Russian Steel - EU bans steel import from Russia (negative) RU: Russian Steel - Government plans to reduce domestic steel prices by restri...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CEZ CEZ AS
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
NLMK NOVOLIPETSK STEEL
CHMF SEVERSTAL PAO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
MAGN MAGNITOGORSK IRON & STEEL WORKS PJSC
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
MOEX MOSCOW EXCHANGE MICEX-RTS PJSC
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 11.03.2022
AT: Oesterreichische Post - Q4 21 in line, muted outlook wording (neutral) AT: OMV - Borealis declined the binding offer of EuroChem for the acquisition of its fertilizer business (neutral) AT: OMV - OMV is considering building a waste sorting plant in Germany (neutral) CZ: Komercni Banka, Erste Group - Central bank to increase counter-cyclical capital buffer to 2.5% from April 22 (negative) HR: Hrvatski Telekom - Dividend proposal od HRK 8.00 per share (neutral) HR: Valamar Riviera ...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 10.03.2022
AT: AGRANA - Update on current situation in Ukraine and Russia (neutral) AT: Lenzing - FY results below expectations on higher cost inflation, outlook of better EBITDA yoy vague, but in line (neutral) AT: Lenzing - Lenzing appoints Stephen Sielaff to CEO position (neutral) AT: Verbund - Verbund acquired 70% in a wind/solar portfolio in Spain (neutral) PL: AmRest - Temporary suspension of operations in Russia (negative) PL: Eurocash - Solid Q4 21 preliminary figures with EBITDA 14% ah...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 07.03.2022
AT: OMV - Initiation of a strategic review on its exposure to Russia will trigger a value adjustment of EUR 1.5-1.8 bn in Q1 22 (negative) AT: Wienerberger - Share buyback of up to 3% (positive) HU: OTP - Q4 21 conference call notes with focus on RU/UA (neutral) RU: Moscow Exchange - Q4 21 conference call: Strategy revision should take time, the stock market trading freeze carries on (neutral) SI: NLB Group - Conference call on Sberbank Slovenia acquisition (positive)
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 3, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...
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