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SURGUTNEFTEGAZ PAO loses on its star level and is downgraded to Slight...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of SURGUTNEFTEGAZ PAO (RU), active in the Integrated Oil & Gas industry. The title has lost a star(s) at the fundamental level and now shows 3 out of 4 stars. Its exposure to market risk remains nonetheless the same and can be still described as defensive. theScreener slightly downgrades the general evaluation to Slightly Positive for the title on account of the lost star(s). As of the analysis date Januar...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Сургутнефтегаз - Освещение прекращено

Мы прекращаем аналитическое освещение обыкновенных и привилегированных акций Сургутнефтегаза ввиду неопределенности относительно будущего распоряжения компанией накопленными денежными средствами. Финальные оценки, представленные в данном обзоре, приводятся только Ð...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+9)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova
  • Yuri Popov

CIS Market Daily - September 17, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIA NEARLY ATOP EMS AS SAUDI ATTACK SEES OIL SURGEThe RTS climbed 2.0% yesterday to 1,396, versus a flat day for the MSCI EM and a weak performance (-1.2%) for the MSCI Europe. Oil and gas companies were easily in the lead. APAC markets continue to struggle this morning, but we expect Russia not to follow given the different relationship with oil prices.STORIES> Industrial production expands 2.6% y-o-y in 8m19> Fed set to cut at least twice, completing mid-cycle adjustment> R...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Russian Oil and Gas. September 2019 - The Competitive Edge of Russian ...

In this report, we focus on the competitive edge of Russian gas suppliers. European spot prices have plunged close to coal heating parity, which has temporarily rendered even Russian regulated gas sales a premium market. Meanwhile, LNG supply from the US, with a much reduced cost base, is set to increase in 2019-21. However, both Gazprom and Novatek have the ability to easily outcompete US LNG, as they have cash breakeven costs below $3/MMBtu, or a discount of $2/MMBtu to rising US LNG supply ca...

Andrew Keeley ... (+11)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Nikolay Minko
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - September 4, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - STRONG SURGUT, WEAK US DATA, TOPSY-TURVY BREXIT AND RISING APACThe RTS trimmed back 0.4% to 1,303, a better result than the MSCI EM's 1.1% decline. An unexpectedly weak US ISM manufacturing index that showed a contraction reignited fears of a global economic slowdown but spurred hopes for dovish moves to come from the Fed. APAC markets are mostly gaining this morning.STORIES> CBR preview: Third straight cut likely, but a pause may ensue> Surgutneftegaz: $50 bln cash question, up...

Andrew Keeley ... (+11)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Nikolay Minko
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - 4 сентября 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ СУРГУТНЕФТЕГАЗА РЕЗКО ПОДОРОЖАЛИ, В США ВЫШЛА СЛАБАЯ СТАТИСТИКА, СИТУАЦИЯ С BREXIT ОСТАЕТСЯ НЕЯСНОЙ, РЫНКИ АТР РАСТУТИндекс РТС отступил на 0,4% до 1 303 пунктов, MSCI EM потерял 1,1%. Неожиданно слабый индекс ISM зафиксировал сокращение деловой активности ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Сургутнефтегаз - Денежный вопрос на $50 ...

> Объем денежных средств, аккумулированных Сургутнефтегазом (денежные средства и депозиты) превысил $50 млрд, достигнув $51,5 млрд по состоянию на конец 1П19. На наш взгляд, чистую денежную позицию такого размера сложно игнорировать.

Alexey Kirichok ... (+9)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - July 31, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - FED, US SENATE DELIBERATIONS, AND A HEAVY COMPANY AND MACRO CALENDARGlobal markets were mostly in negative territory yesterday, the RTS slipping 0.1% to 1,353 and the MSCI ACWI falling 0.4%, with US/China woes and possibly pre-positioning for tonight's Fed decision among the main stories. Brent has gained more than 3% since Monday night, with a large drop in API inventories (6.0 mln bbl) among the drivers. APAC markets look weak this morning, taking their lead from the soft US s...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+9)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - 31 июля 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - Ð’ ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ФЕДРЕЗЕРВ, СЕНАТ США, А ТАКЖЕ МАКРОСТАТИСТИКА И КОРПОРАТИВНЫЕ НОВОСТИГлобальные рынки вчера в основном отступали. Индекс РТС снизился на 0,1% до 1 353 пунктов, MSCI ACWI - на 0,4%. Давление на рынок оказали опасения, связанные с торговыми переÐ...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+13)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - May 6, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - NEW US TARIFF THREAT AGAINST CHINA SENDS MARKETS TUMBLING THIS MORNINGGlobal markets moved little over the first few days of Russia's May holidays, the MSCI EM slipping less than 0.1% since our last comment on Tuesday and the RDX down 0.1%. APAC markets are down sharply this morning after Trump unexpectedly announced he is considering new, even more widespread tariffs against Chinese imports. Futures and commodity prices suggest the dour market move will spread to the European s...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+12)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - 6 мая 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - УГРОЗА ВВЕДЕНИЯ Ð’ США НОВЫХ ПОШЛИН НА КИТАЙСКИЙ ИМПОРТ СПРОВОЦИРОВАЛА РЕЗКОЕ ПАДЕНИЕ РЫНКОВ СЕГОДНЯ УТРОМЗа время первомайских каникул в России ощутимых изменений на глобальных рынках не произошло: после выхода нашего последнего комментария по Ñ€Ñ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Russian Oil and Gas. April 2019 - 1Q19 Earnings Season Early Birds

Novatek and Rosneft are set to kick off 1Q19 earnings season in the Russian oil and gas sector. We expect slightly stronger FCF generation for Rosneft and positive one-offs for Novatek. Despite weaker headline oil prices, upstream profitability should be stronger as export duties fell more than the crude price did (the so-called lag effect), with the export crude oil price less base taxes increasing by 13% Q-o-Q. In addition, the cost base was seasonally lower. In the oil sector in particular, F...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+10)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - April 1, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - STRONG YTD GAINS, SKRIPAL NEWS, UKRAINE, VENEZUELA, BREXIT AND MOREEMs closed out the quarter on a positive note, the MSCI EM gaining 1.2% on Friday. DMs were also positive, their benchmark rising 0.6%. The RTS fell 0.8%, after a 1.4% drop shortly following a report from Bloomberg claiming that Skripal-related sanctions are imminent. A busy week ahead includes results of the Ukrainian and Turkish weekend elections, and ongoing developments in Venezuela, the Brexit process and US...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+10)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - 1 апреля 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ХОРОШАЯ ДИНАМИКА РОССИЙСКОГО РЫНКА С НАЧАЛА ГОДА; ТЕМЫ ДНЯ - ДЕЛО СКРИПАЛЕЙ, УКРАИНА, ВЕНЕСУЭЛА, BREXITÐ’ пятницу индекс MSCI EM прибавил 1,2%. Индекс MSCI World поднялся на 0,6%. Индекс РТС после сообщения Bloomberg о грядущих санкциях по делу Скрипалей упал на 1,4%, по итоÐ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Cole Akeson
  • Nikolay Minko
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - February 11, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - MTS SLUMPS ON FRIDAY; MSCI, SANCTIONS, US/CHINA, BREXIT ON AGENDARussia slightly outperformed on a globally flattish Friday, except for a more than 8% decline in the MTS ADR. US/China news flow was mixed over the weekend and will likely remain a major topic for global markets today. Other items on this week's agenda include MSCI's rebalancing, a US hearing on sanctions and the threat of another government shutdown, another Brexit plan for the UK Parliament, and more that we deta...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Russian Oil and Gas. February 2019 - Scoping Out Cash Flows Through th...

Russia's oil sector is in the midst of another - supposedly final - tax maneuver. The export duty is gradually being phased out, while excess profit taxation (EPT) is on the way in. Getting one's head around the complicated and oft-changing taxation of Russia's oil sector can be a daunting task, but understanding the intricacies can improve visibility on the sector's cash flows. Despite the oil price correction in 2H18 and ongoing changes to taxation, we believe the financial outlook for the oil...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+9)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Sergei Konygin

CIS Market Daily - November 1, 2018

MARKET COMMENT - POSITIVE ASIAN AND BREXIT NEWS FLOW WHILE OIL SLUMPSThe MSCI EM and World (DM) climbed 2.1% and 1.3%, respectively. The MSCI Russia's 2.6% gain placed the market in the top quintile of EMs. Oil slumped more than 2% overnight amid signs of at least temporarily reviving supply and inventories. Progress on UK and EU Brexit negotiations and decent if not inspiring Chinese and Japanese PMIs support sentiment this morning, while the BoE decision, political discussions and results from...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+13)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Krylov
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Maxim Afanasiev
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Sergei Konygin
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - 1 ноября 2018

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВОСТИ ИЗ АЗИИ И СООБЩЕНИЯ О BREXIT ПОЗИТИВНЫ, ОДНАКО ЦЕНЫ НА НЕФТЬ УПАЛИИндексы MSCI EM и MSCI World (индикатор развитых рынков) выросли соответственно на 2,1% и 1,3%. Благодаря росту MSCI Russia на 2,6% Россия опередила 80% развивающихся рынков. Нефть за ночь подешевела б...

Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Нефть и газ - Добыча нефти в России верÐ...

Агентство Reuters представило данные ЦДУ ТЭК по добыче нефти и конденсата в России за июль.

Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Сургутнефтегаз - Результаты за 2К18 по Р...

Сургутнефтегаз представил отчетность по РСБУ за 2К18. Чистая прибыль составила 309 млрд. руб. ($5,0 млрд.), объем денежных средств и депозитов на конец периода достиг $40,6 млрд.

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