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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Telecom: Growth in fixed & semis; mobile stabilizing

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Stronger November market value and volatility; KPN: Collective labour agreement over 18 months with a total salary increase of 5%; Theon International: 99% subscribed, rump covered; VÅR ENERGI: Good old Ekofisk.

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

FWA is on the horizon It has the potential to be disruptive: Keep a v...

FWA has reached 38% penetration in Austria today, 13% in Italy, but is just 1-2% elsewhere in Europe. Furthermore, the EC has just made a major decision to dedicate a further 540MHz of spectrum to mobile carriers increasing their bandwidth by 60%.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Snam, Veolia, Engie, CTP, Vonovia, SES, BT...

Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

KPN (Neutral, TP: €3.9, +0%) strategy update – not the same as Telefon...

Telefonica caused ripples through the sector this week when it outlined its medium-term vision, which involved a c.20% cut to medium-term FCF guidance, HERE, HERE. We think Telefonica has its own specific issues, and one has to be careful therefore not to draw conclusions across the sector as a whole from what it has said and done. KPN, for example, updated its medium-term vision this afternoon, and it is very different to Telefonica’s.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Strong beat driven by one-offs Alfen: Bull bear fight continues bpost: 3Q25 results in line with INGF but miss vs consensus, FY25 outlook fine-tuned to top-end CM.com: Takeover offer from Bird Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Refreshing D'Ieteren: Belron peer Driven Brands 3Q25 talks of lower Q4, choppiness in Collision and Direct Repair Exor: Ferrari reassures with strong 3Q25, improved guidance KPN: Strategy update reassures, largely in line, with solid cash returns expec...

Konrad Zomer
  • Konrad Zomer
Kristof Samoy ... (+7)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, V...

: AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, VPK NA, WDP BB, WKL NA, ALFEN NA

 PRESS RELEASE

KPN delivers on Connect, Activate & Grow strategy

KPN delivers on Connect, Activate & Grow strategy Executing against Connect, Activate & Grow strategic objectives; reaffirming 3-3-7 CAGR ambitions for the full plan periodFiber roll out continues at a more moderate pace; focus shifting from infrastructure expansion to connecting and activating householdsCapex to decline to below € 1bn in 2027, stable thereafterKPN’s transformation programs accelerating, targeting ~€ 100m net indirect Opex savings annually by 2030 (vs. 2025)ESG leadership sustained, with continued progress on our #BetterInternet missionCapital allocation policy reiterated, ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Feedback from conference call 3Q25. Belgian telcos: Telenet positive net adds in broadband, near ECM decision. CTP: 34k sqm lease signed in Poland. Eurocommercial Properties: Organic momentum is getting stronger. Fugro: Reasonable 3Q, challenging 4Q and beyond. Heijmans: Order book quality improves further. KPN: VodafoneZiggo guidance maintained, ECM decision near. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio reports strong 3Q25 results. Retail Estates: Jysk new tenant of 5 Leen Bakker B...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Update about the deal. BAM Group: Preview - you have this and you have that. Basic-Fit: Investor call highlights Clever Fit acquisition. dsm-firmenich: Symrise 3Q25 results. KPN: Odido reduces fibre prices for higher speeds, increases prices for lower speeds. KPN: In line EBITDAal on lower revenues, guidance reiterated. Philips: 3Q25 preview, strong 4Q25 needed. Sif Group: Preview - boosting factory output and profit. Vastned: Strong progress on synergies,...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

KPN (Neutral, TP: €3.9, -5%) Q3 25: Weak SR, but all guidance reiter...

KPN has reported a mixed set of results (-0.7% SR miss, with slower trends in B2C and B2B), but EBITDA is in-line and guidance has been reiterated. We flagged last quarter that the SR issue was going to cause problems (growth is now +1.7% y/y vs guidance of 3%), and this is now coming to a head in our view.

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