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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Benelux Local Champions Feedback document

Below our feedback notes written at the occasion of our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference that took place on 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place Brussels. This event offered the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR: ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMICORE

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Benelux Local Champions 27 May 2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference set to take place on Tuesday, 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR. ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AGEAS | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | KBC GROUP | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMIC...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

1Q25 Results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Delays until the...

The 1Q25 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q24, leverage deteriorated across the board in 1Q25, while all companies lost broadband customers. We were especially disappointed by the weaker outlook for VodafoneZiggo. Although all businesses have their intrinsic strengths, there are challenges, as described below, and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. We see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is still ups...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Dead cat bounce? Ayvens: Overhang cure. Belgian telcos: Hey! discontinues €5 offer, OBEL price increases from June 2025. B&S Group: Pulls FY EBITDA guidance in light of tariffs. D'Ieteren: CMD, 1Q25 Preview. Kendrion: Wrestling through difficult macro conditions. NN Group, ASR: Vote on Dutch pension reforms postponed. TKH Group: Not that bad, good progress at Eemshaven. UCB: US Most Favoured Nation initiative back on the agenda. Vastned: Good results, integration ongoing...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Proximus, Orange, Telefonica

Proximus is confident it can weather Digi's competition and reports solid results. Orange could acquire remaining stake in MasOrange. Telefonica could sell is business in Chile

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica, Cofinimmo: Aedifica CMD feedback bpost: 1Q25 results beat strongly, outlook surprises Brunel: 1Q25 results disappoint on perm, weak revenue Cofinimmo, Aedifica: Negative reaction on Aedifica offer Eurocommercial Properties: Good with no surprise Montea: Good results, guidance reconfirmed Proximus: Small 1Q beat, guidance reiterated, soft commercial performance Sif Group: The jury is still out Talabat: Preview 1Q25 Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music slowdown in streaming and prof...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Proximus (Neutral, TP: €12.5, +92%) Q1 25: Good results (trends ahead...

Proximus has reported a good set of numbers and reiterated guidance (but could have lifted it, if it wasn’t being cautious in our view). Digi’s impact appears to be minimal this quarter, and its prominence in the market seems to be declining not rising.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AED BB, BPOST BB, COFB BB, MONT BB, ONTEX BB, PROX BB,...

: AED BB, BPOST BB, COFB BB, MONT BB, ONTEX BB, PROX BB, UCB BB, VGP BB, AUTL US, ECMPA NA

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: Strong brew. Adecco: 1Q25 beats on timing of JV income; 2Q25 outlook momentum positive. Alfen: Preview - 1Q25 should arrive in line. AMG: Strong 1Q25 EBITDA beat, guidance raised. BAM Group: Non-residential backs EBITDA increase. CTP: Strong results combined with strong message on demand dynamics. JDE Peet's: Jumping Beans. Kinepolis: Peer AMC 1Q25 results - revenues per visitor more subdued. Prosus: CEO letter highlights strong profit growth in 2026. Proximus: CpaaS ...

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Proximus/DIGI weak for now, fibre deals taking longer/BUY

The stock has performed strongly, up 30% YTD, reflecting the huge EV to equity bridge – we estimate the EV is up 8% YTD – benefiting from DIGI's poor start, Proximus' incoming CEO, chairman changes and the resilient nature of telecom (SXKP index up 12% YTD). We acknowledge a potential positive has emerged; a change in governance, with a new CEO and chairman possibly keener to exit the carrier/CPaaS business and cut staff aggressively, a highly political, contentious move given the highly unionis...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

BE Semiconductor Industries: Important TCB Next order. Belgian telcos: Telenet weak Q1 commercially across the board, financials reasonable. D'Ieteren: Belgian April car registrations down 5%, VW down 11%. GBL: NAV per share above estimates. Kinepolis: US Peer Cinemark 1Q25 results a slight miss. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 1Q25 very weak, cut guidance on EBITDA, revenue after 2 months

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

4Q24 Results: Sunrise, Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Earning...

The 4Q24 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Sunrise and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q23, the 4Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was weak across the board. We currently prefer Sunrise, as it guides for adj. EBITDAaL growth and lower leverage. We also like VodafoneZiggo, as there is less uncertainty with respect to a potential network carve-out than at Virgin Media O2 and Telenet. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies.

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
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