reports
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
PostNL/A festive season coming up?/HOLD
The 3Q25 results were a slight miss versus expectations due to a more negative impact from mix in Parcels. PostNL has taken some efficiency measures to compensate and hence reiterated its outlook for FY25. However, we feel the outlook is challenging given that 4Q25F will need a significant uplift vs 4Q24. Election mail and yield/efficiency measures provide support but mix and uncertain customer confidence and close clustered timing of festive events lead us to remain a bit more cautious for 4Q25...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
- Steven Boumans
- Thomas Zlowodzki
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
SCR SCOR SE
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- ING Helpdesk
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
- Thomas Zlowodzki
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SCR SCOR SE
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
MONC MONCLER SPA
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Lewi
- Stefano Toffano
- Wim Gille
- Wim Hoste
Belysse Weak 3Q revenue performance
3Q25 revenue dropped by 10.9%, which was below our forecast of about -1%. Both Europe and US saw revenue decline by double digits, although the drop in the US was only mid single digits when excluding FX effects. 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA was not disclosed but was said to be down y/y, which is not surprising given the weak top line momentum. We have lowered our FY25 and FY26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by respectively 10% and 8%. Despite the disappointing top line momentum, valuation continues to look ...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Acomo: Acquires Manuzzi, expanding footprint in Southern Europe ASR: Ingrid de Swart to succeed Jos Baeten as CEO of ASR in May 2026 Fagron: Antitrust clearance for Brazilian Purifarma and Injeplast deals PostNL: Relaxation USO D+3 brought forward, pre-earnings analyst call 3Q25 Sofina: Over €0.5bn of additional firepower
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Michiel Declercq
PostNL From Volume to Value Amid Mail Uncertainty
During the CMD mid-September, PNL announced a normalized EBIT target of at least € 175m by 2028. The improvement is expected to come from strong international growth and a significant margin uplift in domestic e-commerce. Key drivers include the expansion of the APL network and the shift from next-day to best-day delivery. While we see these initiatives as logical next steps, we expect uncertainty in the mail business and negative mix effects at parcels to persist. As most of the guided margin i...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
B&S: Sarabel launches recommended all cash offer; Belgian Telecoms: Digi confirms possible minority stake disposal in Spain; market test for Flanders cooperation agreement due any time; Exor: Great companies outperforming the benchmark; PostNL: Feedback on Capital Markets Day event 2025 - new strategy and ambitions 2028; UCB: Encouraging P2a data for Galvokimig in Atopic Dermatitis; Wolters Kluwer: Accelerating share buyback programme and good start to 2H25
- Michiel Declercq
PostNL CMD: Launches new financial targets for 2028
Today, PNL holds a CMD in the Netherlands where it launches its new strategy and financial targets for 2028. The strategy is based on ten strategic priorities to achieve four key goals, including a strong financial performance, improved customer experience, reduced CO2 emission and greater employee engagement. The new financial targets by 2028 include revenues above € 4.0bn (kbcse: € 3.54bn), a normalized EBIT above € 175m (kbcse: € 106m), FCF above € 75m (kbcse: € 51m) and annual capex of aroun...
- Guy Sips
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Hoste
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Alfen: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ASR: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. BAM: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Basic-Fit: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. CTP: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. DEME Group: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Fugro: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Heijmans: Highlights ING Bene...
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
RAND RANDSTAD NV
PNL POSTNL NV
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
LOTB LOTUS BAKERIES NV
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
ARCAD
ARCADIS NV
ASRNL ROYAL VOPAK NV
TWEKA ASR NEDERLAND NV
ALFEN TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
FUR ALFEN NV
CTPNV FUGRO NV
DEME CTP NV
DEME GROUP NV
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Belysse 1H adjusted EBITDA down on Europe but market bottoming out?
1H adjusted EBITDA dropped by c. 20% which was below our expectations. Belysse. The decline is entirely due to Europe, as the US business held up very well and even increased adjusted EBITDA y/y, on stable volumes and higher unitary margins. After the weaker than expected 1H performance, we have lowered our FY25/26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by c. 9%. Nevertheless, European volumes appear to be bottoming out and any volume rebound might have a significant positive effect on margins. Valuation con...
- Steven Gould
BRE MBANK SA
VONN VONTOBEL HOLDING AG
ENX EURONEXT NV
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
KER KERING SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
BON BONDUELLE SCA
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
GMM GRAMMER AG
ERG ERG S.P.A.
BKT BANKINTER SA
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CABK CAIXABANK SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CSM CORBION NV
INGA ING GROEP NV
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
STM STABILUS SE
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
ATO ATOS SE
TRIO TRIODOS BANK N.V.
- Steven Gould
BRE MBANK SA
VONN VONTOBEL HOLDING AG
ENX EURONEXT NV
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
KER KERING SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
BON BONDUELLE SCA
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
GMM GRAMMER AG
ERG ERG S.P.A.
BKT BANKINTER SA
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CABK CAIXABANK SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CSM CORBION NV
INGA ING GROEP NV
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
STM STABILUS SE
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
ATO ATOS SE
TRIO TRIODOS BANK N.V.
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