3Q25 results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Better than fear...

VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2 presented mixed results over 3Q25. Fortunately, KPIs are improving somewhat. Given the competitive end markets, our conviction to buy or sell the notes of any of the three companies remains low. Leverage remained stable QoQ. Nevertheless, we still see upside to the VMED and ZIGGO notes if either Vodafone or Telefonica were to acquire full ownership of their joint ventures or if the businesses where to IPO.

Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY media & communications coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and a peer table. 

Belysse Weak 3Q revenue performance

3Q25 revenue dropped by 10.9%, which was below our forecast of about -1%. Both Europe and US saw revenue decline by double digits, although the drop in the US was only mid single digits when excluding FX effects. 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA was not disclosed but was said to be down y/y, which is not surprising given the weak top line momentum. We have lowered our FY25 and FY26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by respectively 10% and 8%. Despite the disappointing top line momentum, valuation continues to look ...

Sligro/3Q25 postview; another weak trading update/HOLD

We keep our HOLD but reduce our target price from €11.5 to €10.5 following Sligro's weak 3Q25 trading update. We continue to view the equity story as a margin recovery play but note that improvements in FY25F are expected to remain modest with the group reiterating its 5.5-6.0% EBITDA margin guidance, while delays in client onboarding in Belgium is another negative, in our view. We therefore reduce our EBIT forecasts by 10% for both FY25F and FY26F. Sligro's balance sheet offers limited room for...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 10/17/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 17/10/2025

Sligro Food Group N.V. : Value yes, visibility and momentum no; Downgr...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 10/16/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 16/10/2025

Sligro Food Group N.V. : Disappointing Q3 2025, both in the Netherland...

Benelux Morning Notes

DEME Group: First Havfram vessel ready. Fastned: 3Q25 trading update – new stations boost growth, organic lags BEV penetration. NN Group & ASR: Pension reform on track for 1st tranche move from DB to DC in Jan 26. Sligro: Another weak trading update, but FY25 guidance reiterated. Talabat: Surprise CEO departure

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 10/08/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 08/10/2025

Sligro Food Group N.V. : Decent underlying growth expected, including ...

Telenet - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Inmobiliaria Colonial, Benelux TMT Credits

Real Estate: Inmobiliaria Colonial was back in the market with a green bond; TMT: Benelux TMT Credits - How's it going? Where's the value?

Benelux TMT Credits: How's it going? Where's the value?

These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.

Belysse 1H adjusted EBITDA down on Europe but market bottoming out?

1H adjusted EBITDA dropped by c. 20% which was below our expectations. Belysse. The decline is entirely due to Europe, as the US business held up very well and even increased adjusted EBITDA y/y, on stable volumes and higher unitary margins. After the weaker than expected 1H performance, we have lowered our FY25/26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by c. 9%. Nevertheless, European volumes appear to be bottoming out and any volume rebound might have a significant positive effect on margins. Valuation con...

2Q25 Results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/A strategic pivo...

The 2Q25 earnings of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] continue to look soft. Interestingly, a network carve-out in the UK now seems off the table, while Liberty Global is working to unlock the intrinsic value of its separate businesses through divestitures, as they have done with Sunrise. Nevertheless, 2Q25 performance was underwhelming and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. Despite stable QoQ leverage, we see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is st...

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Telenet small positive net adds, good financials, guidance up. Kinepolis: US Cinemark strong, 5% growth in US tickets, consumption per visitor. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 2Q25 very weak, guidance maintained. PostNL: 2Q25 beats underlying slightly; FY25 guidance reiterated, EU court appeal