These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.
1H adjusted EBITDA dropped by c. 20% which was below our expectations. Belysse. The decline is entirely due to Europe, as the US business held up very well and even increased adjusted EBITDA y/y, on stable volumes and higher unitary margins. After the weaker than expected 1H performance, we have lowered our FY25/26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by c. 9%. Nevertheless, European volumes appear to be bottoming out and any volume rebound might have a significant positive effect on margins. Valuation con...
The 2Q25 earnings of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] continue to look soft. Interestingly, a network carve-out in the UK now seems off the table, while Liberty Global is working to unlock the intrinsic value of its separate businesses through divestitures, as they have done with Sunrise. Nevertheless, 2Q25 performance was underwhelming and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. Despite stable QoQ leverage, we see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is st...
Belgian telcos: Telenet small positive net adds, good financials, guidance up. Kinepolis: US Cinemark strong, 5% growth in US tickets, consumption per visitor. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 2Q25 very weak, guidance maintained. PostNL: 2Q25 beats underlying slightly; FY25 guidance reiterated, EU court appeal
We keep our HOLD but reduce our target price from €12.5 to €11.5 following Sligro's weak 1H25 results. We continue to view the equity story as a margin recovery play but note that improvements in FY25F are expected to remain modest with the company guiding for a 5.5-6.0% EBITDA margin, well below the Street's expectations. We therefore reduce our EBIT forecast by 36/23% in FY25F and FY26F respectively. Sligro's balance sheet offers limited room for inorganic growth or for more cash return to sha...
Aalberts: First hydronic flow control takeover in US; Ahold Delhaize: Preview 2Q25; EVS: Wins 2026 world cup contract Big Event Rental; Exor: A tad more Philips; Via Transportation reviving IPO plans; Heijmans: 1H25 preview; looks to be on track; KPN: 2Q25 preview; Montea: €24m acquisition in Dutch logistics hotspot; Ontex: Peer Essity 2Q25 results; RELX: 1H25 preview; Sligro: Weak 1H25 calls for 7.5% downgrade to consensus at EBITDA level; Events Calendar
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