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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 23/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas prospects to start drilling by YE25 – ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhanc...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly and trade ideas update

Investors are still waiting for clarity ahead of potential tariff developments in April, which could push spreads wider in EM credit, while progress towards fiscal stimulus from Europe is an offsetting factor, in particular for CEE.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/03/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.10 per share: Significant power transaction highlights the value of the S. Africa electricity trading business – Etana Energy, the South African electricity trading business (49% held by Chariot) has arranged a US$55 mm guarantee finance facility through Standard Bank and secured an equity investment of up to US$20 mm from Norfund for working capital. In exchange, Standard Bank and Norfund will ho...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 24/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Historic permit award in Italy opens a new growth area - ADX has been offered and accepted the “d 363 C.R-.AX” permit in the Sicily Channel, offshore Italy, covering a maximum area of 346 km2. ADX applied for the permit in 2018, but the moratorium on awarding new exploration blocks in Italy was only lifted last year. ADX will become a licensed operator in Italy as well as Austria ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/11/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of NOK51 per share: Water inflow from a small interval in Welchau deeper formation. Continuing well test up hole – Two intervals in the Steinalm formation (1452.5 m-1463.5 m and 1474.5 m-1480 m MD) were tested at a stable rate (natural flow) of 240-290 bbl/d of drilling mud, likely contaminated formation water and some oil traces. Gas was initially observed at surface. While the achieved flow rate hig...

Egor Fedorov ... (+3)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

A quiet week has just passed ahead of the FOMC decision, marked by lower volatility in EM credit spreads and reduced volumes in the primary market. The Fed might trigger a significant market rally in EM credit and open opportunities for patient borrowers who have been waiting for the right time. The question is, will the market be able to absorb the new supply?

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY -136/09/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price £0.40 per share: Anchois-3 encounters gas in the appraisal targets but one of the exploration target is dry – The Anchois-3 well has 3 objectives. While the initial pilot hole encountered the targeted reservoirs at the Anchois Footwall prospect, they were interpreted as water wet. Our ReNAV for this prospect was £0.03/sh. The well was sidetracked in the B sands which are the main appraisal targets. Prel...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/04/2024

Sartorius is set to outperform the underlying biopharmaceutical market based on higher exposure to novel biologics and its focus on single-use components. Destocking is likely to end soon but the changing ordering pattern could distort order intake as KPI and organic growth should recover faster. In our view, the expected cut to its FY 2024 guidance is already largely reflected in the share price. Based on the expected turnaround, we have upgraded to Outperform with a new target price...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/07/2024

Sartorius is set to outperform the underlying biopharmaceutical market based on higher exposure to novel biologics and its focus on single-use components. Destocking is likely to end soon but the changing ordering pattern could distort order intake as KPI and organic growth should recover faster. In our view, the expected cut to its FY 2024 guidance is already largely reflected in the share price. Based on the expected turnaround, we have upgraded to Outperform with a new target price...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Trump / Biden: Drill Baby Drill vs IRA? Not such a clear-cut eq...

>Elections for the no.1 oil producer on 5 November - The first debate between Trump and Biden on CNN last week did not address the questions/challenges surrounding energy. At the end of this very unique year (almost half of the global population will go to, or has already been to, the ballot box), all eyes will be on the US elections (5 November 2024), a country that has become the world’s no.1 oil producer (production growth of 19% under the Biden mandate, see char...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Trump / Biden : Drill Baby Drill versus IRA ? Une équation pas ...

>Elections chez le premier producteur de pétrole le 5 novembre - Le premier débat entre Trump et Biden qui s’est déroulé sur CNN la semaine dernière n’a pas abordé les questions/ enjeux énergétiques. En cette fin d’année si particulière (près de la moitié de la population mondiale passera ou est passée par les urnes), les yeux seront rivés sur les élections américaines (5 novembre 2024) qui est devenu le premier producteur mondial de pétrole (croissance de la product...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

EM credit markets stabilised this week, after some volatility driven by spillovers from Europe. We see gradual improvements in the global macro environment as positive for EM, which should see steady performance as we head into the summer lull.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/06/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.65 per share: Flow rate of high impact horizontal well above expectations – The first CN Horizontal well (CNB HZ-1) from the Carrizales Norte B pad has been on production since 14 June at a rate of 3,150 bbl/d (~1.6 mbbl/d net) with less than 1% water cut while still recovering load fluid. The flow rate is currently constrained with the ESP operating on the minimum setting. The flow ra...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 24/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Drilling at the second well onshore Morocco has commenced – Chariot has started to drill the Dartois prospect onshore Morocco. The well is targeting a different reservoir system and trapping style than the Gaufrette prospect. The main target at Dartois is estimated to hold 12 bcf of gross prospective resources. Success would de-risk a total of 20 bcf of gross prospective resources (+...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Turkey surprises market with further rate hike. Aydem Renewables: fragile standalone liquidity. Corporate results review briefly: Anadolu EFES, Turkcell, Energean. CEEMEA corporates briefly: ratings, issues, events: CPI Property, Tengiz/ NC KazMunayGas.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Very high impact exploration well encounters gas and condensate in Austria – The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and 1567 m. The deepest gas shows were encountered at a depth of 1645 m. The well has reached TD at 1733 m. The Steinalm Formation intersection in the well is in l...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

EM credit markets continue to hold up well amid the challenging macro backdrop, with some more optimism building around the higher-yielding portion of the market. With valuations fairly tight on the whole, we expect more positive technical tailwinds, such as a return of inflows to the asset class, will be needed for spreads to tighten further. Key topics: • EM Credit: Weekly review. • Egypt surges amid foreign investment from UAE. • CEEMEA corporates: Brief review of key events: ENGPRO, KZO...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Namibia: the place to be

The emergence of Namibia as a new oil-producing country offers opportunities for players in the sector. Regarding the oil companies, although at this stage the volumes discovered by TotalEnergies and Shell have not been quantified, the zone seems to be a real game-changer for GALP, leading to an upgrade to our rating (Outperform vs Underperform, target price € 16.5). In the medium term, it could also represent a new El Dorado for oil services despite the challenges of starting up...

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