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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 MAY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Strong week for European peripheral nations and the US European peripheral nation indices rose up to +2.0% over the week and the S&P 500 hit a new 2024 high, benefiting from the disappointing macro data and the falling debt yields. Within the STOXX 600, Telecoms and Real Estate led the gains last week, whereas Energy and Travel & Leisure ended with the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the euro zone the 2.4% YoY growth from April’s gene...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 MAYO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ASML. Buena semana para la periferia europea y EE.UU. Semana de avances de hasta el +2,0% en la periferia europea y de nuevos máximos anuales en el S&P 500, beneficiadas por la decepción en los datos macro y el recorte en la rentabilidad de la deuda. Dentro del STOXX 600, lideraron las ganancias semanales los sectores Telecos e Inmobiliario (c. +3,0%) mientras que Energía y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con l...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/17/2024

Growth momentum remains solid, and the publication of Q1 sales bodes well for the future (12.5% organic growth, including 27% for Aerospace). Margins are set to pick up in 2024 (by an estimated 110bp), with the underlying operating profit expected to jump 33%. With good visibility for Aerospace, medium-term potential for Automotive and profitable growth for Medical, we estimate the potential for margin improvement at no less than 500bp in the medium term. We are raising our underlying...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 17/05/2024

La dynamique de croissance reste solide et la publication du CA T1 est de bon augure (croissance organique de 12.5% dont 27% pour l’Aerospace). 2024 devrait voir un redressement des marges (+110 pb estimés) pour un ROC attendu en hausse de 33%. A l’appui d’une bonne visibilité pour l’aéronautique, d’un potentiel MT pour l’automobile et d’une croissance profitable pour le Médical, nous estimons le potentiel d’amélioration des marges à au moins 500 pb à MT. Nous relevons nos estimations...

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

FCC : Spin-off of Real estate and Cement divisions

>New shares to be listed before end-2024 - FCC has announced that it will spin-off its Real estate and Cement businesses and give the shares back to its shareholders, all subject to the shares in the new vehicle being listed in Spain. The rationale for such a deal is boosting the company’s strategic focus while providing more visibility and financial flexibility to shareholders who will have the new shares in the new vehicle while maintaining the shares in FCC, compri...

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

COLONIAL: MÁS DETALLES SOBRE LA ENTRADA DE CRITERIA EN EL CAPITAL DE C...

COL ha anunciado un acuerdo con Criteria por el cual ésta se ha comprometido a suscribir acciones nuevas de COL por un importe de 622 M euros (c.16,78% del capital, subiría su participación a c.20%) a un precio de 7,1 euros/acc. (+15% sobre cierre previo, con descuento del -29% sobre NTA’23 y con descuento del -2,5% frente a nuestro P.O.).

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 MAY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, OHLA. European stock markets pause for a break European stock markets saw moderate corrections after several sessions of gains that led the Stoxx 600 to record highs and the Ibex to 2015 highs above 11,300 pints. In the STOXX 600, Insurance and Basic Resources were the best performers vs. the losses of Autos and industrials. On the macro side, in the US, April’s industrial output stagnated, contrary to expectatio...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 17 MAYO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, MERLIN PROPERTIES, GRIFOLS, OHLA, SECTOR BANCARIO ESPAÑA. EUROPA: PROSUS. Respiro en las bolsas europeas Jornada de pérdidas moderadas en Europa, tras varios días de subidas que han llevado al STOXX 600 a máximos históricos y al Ibex a máximos de 2015, superando los 11.300 puntos. Dentro del STOXX 600, Seguros y R. Básicos mostraron el mejor comportamiento frente a las pérdidas de Autos e Industriales. Desde la macro, en la E...

Sacyr S.A.: 1 director

A director at Sacyr S.A. sold 88,760 shares at 3.723EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...

 PRESS RELEASE

VINCI Autoroutes and VINCI Airports traffic in April 2024

VINCI Autoroutes and VINCI Airports traffic in April 2024   Nanterre, 16 May 2024 VINCI Autoroutes and VINCI Airports traffic in April 2024 I-      Change in VINCI Autoroutes’ intercity networks traffic   April YTD at the end of April(4 months)   % change 2024/2023 % change 2024/2023 VINCI Autoroutes −1.5% −1.4% Light vehicles −2.8% −1.4% Heavy vehicles +6.7% −1.5% Traffic in April was impacted by various calendar effects: unfavorable for light vehicles (start of Easter weekend in March this year instea...

 PRESS RELEASE

Trafics de VINCI Autoroutes et de VINCI Airports en avril 2024

Trafics de VINCI Autoroutes et de VINCI Airports en avril 2024     Nanterre, le 16 mai 2024 Trafics de VINCI Autoroutes et de VINCI Airports en avril 2024 I-      Évolution du trafic des réseaux interurbains de VINCI Autoroutes   Avril Cumul à fin avril(4 mois)   Variation 2024/2023 Variation 2024/2023 VINCI Autoroutes −1,5 % −1,4 % Véhicules légers −2,8 % −1,4 % Poids lourds +6,7 % −1,5 % Le trafic du mois d’avril a été impacté par différents effets calendaires : défavorables pour les véhicules légers (début du week-end de Pâques position...

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

COLONIAL: CRITERIA ENTRA EN EL CAPITAL DE COLONIAL (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

COL ha anunciado un acuerdo con Criteria por el cual ésta se ha comprometido a suscribir acciones nuevas de COL por un importe de 622 M euros (c.16,78% del capital) a un precio de 7,1 euros/acc. (+15% sobre cierre de ayer, con descuento del -29% sobre NTA’23 y con descuento del -2,5% frente a nuestro P.O.).

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Benoit Valleaux
  • Benoit Valleaux

Allianz : Favourable operating trends in Q1

>Robust revenue growth in Q1 - Allianz released its Q1 2024 results yesterday. Revenues stood at € 48.4bn, up 7.5% l-f-l and 5.3% reported, with l-f-l growth at 7.5% in P&C insurance (continuing sharp price hikes in Q1 at 7.4% on average for renewed businesses, notably for individuals), 7.6% in health insurance and 5.7% in AM. In life insurance, the new business volume was sharply up (+20.6%), far above forecasts, with a new business margin that remained high at 5.7% ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...

>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...

>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...

Benoit Valleaux
  • Benoit Valleaux

Allianz : Des tendances opérationnelles favorables au T1

>Forte croissance des revenus au T1 - Allianz a publié hier son RN du T1 2024. Les revenus ont été de 48.4 Md€, en hausse de 7.5% à données comparables et de 5.3% en publié, avec des croissances à données comparables de 7.5% en assurance dommages (poursuite des fortes hausses tarifaires au T1 de 7.4% en moyenne sur les affaires renouvelées, notamment pour les particuliers), de 7.6% en assurance vie et santé et de 5.7% en AM. En assurance vie, le volume d’affaires nouv...

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