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Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Anheuser-Busch InBev : Q1 2024 seen as the slowest quarter for EBITDA ...

>Q1 2024 seen as most challenging quarter of 2024 due to the US - Anheuser-Busch InBev (ABI) is set to report its Q1 2024 results on 8 May at 07:00 and host a conference call later that day at 15:00. Predominantly due to the US, we expect ABI’s Q1 2024 to be the most challenging quarter of 2024. As a reminder, following the issues with Bud Light that started as from Q2 2023, the brewer reported organic EBITDA declines in North America of 24.4%, 26.7%, and 31.3% in Q2,...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Olympic Games and Euro 2024: a limited economic impact but an o...

In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Jeux Olympiques et Euro 2024 : un impact économique limité mais...

En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier  : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: Smoked steak. Basic-Fit: FY23 results in line; small beat on members, FY24 outlook touch below. Greenyard: New share buyback programme for up to 1.2m shares. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex February box office revenue at 67% of 2019 level

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Fernand de Boer
  • Fernand de Boer

AB InBev - Altria finally to reduce its stake

Altria announced to reduce its stake in AB InBev from approx. 10% to 8% through a secondary global offering. AB InBev will buy back some USD 200m or some 9% of the placement.We are pleased that Altria starts to take away the overhang. However, we would have preferred this at a later moment, allowing AB InBev to buy back a bigger part of the shares instead of 9%. In addition, Altria could return after the 180 days lock up.     We maintain our Buy rating but given short term uncertainty we take AB...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: A Bit Light, Bud. Ackermans & van Haaren: Core units AM/Banks and DEME. Adecco: Beats by 17% on 4Q23 EBITA; outlook solid. Air France-KLM: Peak reached already? Allfunds Group PLC: MoreFunds. ASR: 2H23 squeezed between two CMDs, no surprises. Belgian telecoms: Digi to launch convergent offers in Belgium. CM.com: FY23 results, EBITDA positive in 2H23. Fugro: Strong? Excellent!. NN Group: FY23 better, modest 2025 targets, capital distribution strategy better. Recticel...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AGS BB, AGFB BB, ARGX BB, ASRNL NA, FUR NA, MI...

: ABI BB, AGS BB, AGFB BB, ARGX BB, ASRNL NA, FUR NA, MITRA BB, NN NA, RECT BB, VAN BB, ONWD BB

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Anheuser-Busch InBev : Light Q4 2023 results; disappointing dividend; ...

>Results below forecasts on most operational lines; meagre dividend of € 0.82 - ABI’s volumes decreased 2.6% in Q4 2023, below our estimates and consensus. Most regions disappointed. Sales growth was 6.2% organically, in line with estimates. Organic EBITDA growth was 6.2% in Q4 2023, ahead of estimates. However, absolute EBITDA fell short 6-7%. North America and South America mainly disappointed. Underlying EBIT fell short 8-10%. Lower-than-expected finance costs and ...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

AB InBev FIRST LOOK: 4Q growth in line, FY24 guidance in line with mid...

4Q organic growth rates were close to our and consensus figures with actual figures slightly below forecasts given a bigger than expected impact from FX/hyperinflation accounting. FY24 guidance of 4-8% EBITDA growth is in line with the mid term growth ambition while we and CSS are respectively at +8% and +9% respectively. We still appreciate ABI for its leadership positions in the global beer market, high intrinsic profitability and LT growth prospects in its emerging markets businesses. Delever...

 PRESS RELEASE

AB InBev publie les résultats de l’exercice et du quatrième trimestre ...

BRUXELLES--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- AB InBev (Brussel:ABI) (BMV:ANB) (JSE:ANH) (NYSE:BUD): Ce communiqué de presse contient des éléments multimédias. Voir le communiqué complet ici : Tableau 14. Échéancier de remboursement des dettes au 31 décembre 2023 (milliards d’USD) (Graphic: Business Wire) Information réglementée et privilégiée1 « Notre entreprise a réalisé une nouvelle année de croissance rentable et constante, avec une hausse des produits de 7.8% et une hausse de l’EBITDA de 7.0%. Une solide génération de flux de trésorerie disponible nous a permis de progresser sur la voie de notre désend...

 PRESS RELEASE

AB InBev Reports Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2023 Results

BRUSSELS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- AB InBev (Brussel:ABI) (BMV:ANB) (JSE:ANH) (NYSE:BUD): This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: Figure 14. Terms and debt repayment schedule as of 31 December 2023 (billion USD) (Graphic: Business Wire) Regulated and inside information1 “Our business delivered another year of consistent profitable growth with a revenue increase of 7.8% and EBITDA growth of 7.0%. Strong free cash flow generation enabled us to progress on our deleveraging, propose an increased dividend to our shareholders and execute on a 1 billion USD share buyback. Our ...

Fernand de Boer
  • Fernand de Boer

AB InBev - Bud Light and Argentina dominating results

Volumes and absolute EBITDA figures came in below expectations, organic growth figures exceeded. Bud Light and Argentina hyperinflation had a large impact on the results. Deleverage continued, but dividend proposal is below expectation. Outlook for EBITDA growth of 4-8% in 2024 is line and there is room to exceed. However, given slightly lower base we expect estimates to come down marginally. Buy and TP of EUR 68 maintained. 

Fernand de Boer
  • Fernand de Boer

AB InBev - Challenging Q4, but a strong 2024 expected

Q4 results to be depressed by the Bud Light saga and Argentine peso devaluation. Nevertheless, we expect full year organic EBITDA growth of 6.5%, in line with the company's guidance. Given the ongoing deleverage we foresee dividend to be raised from EUR 0.75 to EUR 1.00 We reiterate our Buy rating as we are very optimistic on the earnings growth for 2024 and 2025 further deleveraging the company. However, as it is early in the year, with market condition still challenging and Bud Light stil...

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