reports
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ORSTED ORSTED
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
AENA AENA SME SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/02/2024
We are removing GALP from our ODDO BHF European Large Caps list. The stock has chalked up a performance of +31.3% since its inclusion in the list on 20 March. Our analyst is adopting today a Neutral recommendation (vs Outperform) on the stock. - ...
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ORSTED ORSTED
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
AENA AENA SME SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Mercedes-Benz AG : Continued erosion and risks still underestimated
>Continued erosion of Cars fundamentals - MBG reported subdued Q1 results Tuesday morning, below expectations (adjusted EBIT 5% below consensus, -10% for the Cars division), see First Take. The group reported a marked erosion of its earnings and margins in the Cars division (adjusted EBIT € 2.3bn, -44% y-o-y, margin 9.0%, -580bp y-o-y), partly offset by a still very solid performance from Vans (adjusted EBIT € 0.8bn, +11% y-o-y, margin 16.3%, -20bp y-o-y). The group ...
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Mercedes-Benz AG : Poursuite de l’érosion et des risques encore sous-a...
>Poursuite de l’érosion des fondamentaux de Cars - MBG a publié hier matin des résultats T1 mitigés et inférieurs aux attentes (EBIT ajusté 5% en dessous du css, -10% pour la division Cars), voir First Take. Le groupe a fait état d’une forte érosion de ses résultats et de ses marges dans la division Cars (EBIT ajusté 2,3 Md€, -44% y-o-y, marge 9,0%, -580 pb y-o-y, partiellement compensée par une performance toujours très solide dans les Vans (EBIT ajusté 0,8 Md€, +11%...
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Mercedes-Benz AG : Q1 even weaker than expected, below guidance and co...
>Q1 below dragged by weak profitability for Cars - Mercedes-Benz this morning reported Q1 results that came in weak and below expectations (adj. EBIT 5% below consensus with Cars 10% below). MBG reported Q1 revenues of €35.9bn, -4% y-o-y, broadly in line with expectations (company-compiled css €35.2bn, ODDO BHF € 34.9bn), while adj. EBIT was € 3.60bn, down -34% y-o-y, below expectations (css € 3.79bn, ODDO BHF € 4.01bn), and net profit was € 3.0bn, -25% y-o-yHow...
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Mercedes-Benz AG : Q1 even weaker than expected, below guidance and co...
>Q1 below dragged by weak profitability for Cars - Mercedes-Benz this morning reported Q1 results that came in weak and below expectations (adj. EBIT 5% below consensus with Cars 10% below). MBG reported Q1 revenues of €35.9bn, -4% y-o-y, broadly in line with expectations (company-compiled css €35.2bn, ODDO BHF € 34.9bn), while adj. EBIT was € 3.60bn, down -34% y-o-y, below expectations (css € 3.79bn, ODDO BHF € 4.01bn), and net profit was € 3.0bn, -25% y-o-yHow...
- Stephane Beyazian
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean Danjou
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
PHNX PHOENIX GROUP HOLDINGS PLC
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean Danjou
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
PHNX PHOENIX GROUP HOLDINGS PLC
- Anthony Dick
- Marc Lavaud
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Maxime Kogge
- Michael Foundoukidis
ODDO : Véhicules électriques : d’un excès à l’autre ?
Le momentum autour de l’électrification, moins favorable dernièrement, a conduit à un changement profond de perception, passant d’un optimisme sans doute excessif à un pessimisme qui le semble tout autant. En effet, si nous avons revu en baisse nos hypothèses, nous visons néanmoins toujours une croissance dans les années à venir (y compris cette année), bien supérieure à celle du marché automobile dans son ensemble. Face à ces changements, tous les acteurs au sein de la chaîne de...
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
VTSC VITESCO TECHNOLOGIES GRP AG
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
- Anthony Dick
- Marc Lavaud
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Maxime Kogge
- Michael Foundoukidis
ODDO : Electric vehicles: from one extreme to another?
With momentum around electrification less favourable of late, we have seen a major shift in perception, from doubtless overly rose-tinted optimism to what looks to be similarly excessive pessimism. While we have reduced our BEV assumptions, we nonetheless still anticipate growth in the next few years (including this year), well ahead of that of the automotive market as a whole. In the face of these changes, the players in the value chain (mines, semiconductors, auto) are differen...
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
VTSC VITESCO TECHNOLOGIES GRP AG
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Rolling Over We continue to see more and more global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. This is classic bull market behavior. Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. U.S. Dollar (DXY); 10-Year Treasury Yield. We continue to get more evidence that suggests the U.S. dollar (DXY) is rolling over; last week we discussed the failed breakout a...
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
1COV COVESTRO AG
GET GETLINK SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
FGR EIFFAGE SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
KGX KION GROUP AG
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
1COV COVESTRO AG
GET GETLINK SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
FGR EIFFAGE SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
KGX KION GROUP AG
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Luis de Toledo Heras
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
AMS AMS AG
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
RNO RENAULT SA
ATO ATOS SE
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
MF WENDEL SE
KORI KORIAN SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
G24 SCOUT24 AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
GLB GLANBIA PLC
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
VID VIDRALA SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PAT PATRIZIA AG
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
FNTN FREENET AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
SMCP SMCP SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
NEOEN NEOEN S.A.
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
SOL SOLTEC POWER HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
EXN EXCLUSIVE NETWORKS SA
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
EAPI EUROAPI
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
- Michael B. Schäfer
ENGI ENGIE SA.
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
BAS BASF SE
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
MRNA MODERNA INC.
JDEP JDE PEET'S NV
FER FERROVIAL SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Michael B. Schäfer
ENGI ENGIE SA.
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
BAS BASF SE
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
MRNA MODERNA INC.
JDEP JDE PEET'S NV
FER FERROVIAL SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Mercedes-Benz AG : Buybacks masking fundamentals
>Light on fundamentals, generous on shareholder returns - MB yesterday morning posted a mixed set of Q4 results (EBIT better overall, but in line on Cars with lower-than-expected margin, see First Take). During the call, management did not, in our view, dispel concerns around the erosion in the group’s fundamentals, on the contrary. However, good news was to be found on capital allocation, with the announcement of a new €3bn share buyback plan and, importantly, the a...
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