In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a
Ahold Delhaize is said to have approached Carrefour in late 2024 before walking away in January 2025. The failed discussions are positive for us as a deal would have totally transformed Ahold Delhaize's equity story from "defensive/yield" to a tentative and very risky "growth/recovery" with a likel
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
Following the confirmation of a 180p/share cash bid by DoorDash (first analysed here), we have downgraded our rating from Buy to Neutral and aligned our PT with the offer at 180p.We will recommend that shareholders vote in favour of the upcoming court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement under the UK C
Post a strong Q1 print, we have cut our FY25 EBIT and EPS by 2% and 3% respectively, to reflect the reversing USD while a faster European profitability recovery should offset likely US margin erosion fuelled by a dilutive sales mix. PT lifted to EUR39 however, with a lower beta and untouched safe-h
Post a good set of Q1 results with reassuring current trading comments, we have left our estimates unchanged with a EUR39 PT. Persistent risks concerning deflationary pressures in the European fashion sector in H2 continue to weigh on Zalando's ST rerating despite an appealing MT equity story based
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